CAIR Reduces Minnesota’s Emissions
- By 2015, CAIR will help Minnesota sources reduce emissions
of sulfur dioxide (SO2) by 40,000 tons or 36%.
| SO2 Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2010 |
2015 |
| Minnesota SO2 emissions without CAIR |
112 |
83 |
82 |
| Minnesota SO2 emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
69 |
72 |
- By 2015 CAIR will help Minnesota sources reduce emissions
of nitrogen oxides (NOx) by 53,000 tons or 59%.
| NOx Emissions (thousand tons) |
2003 |
2009 |
2015 |
| Minnesota NOx emissions without CAIR |
90 |
72 |
74 |
| Minnesota NOx emissions with CAIR |
N/A |
36 |
37 |
CAIR Helps Minnesota and its Neighbors
- Because air emissions travel across state boundaries,
reducing the emissions from sources in Minnesota also will reduce
fine particle pollution in other areas of the country.
- Currently, Minnesota sources significantly contribute
to fine particle pollution in 2 other states including:
Illinois & Indiana
CAIR Makes Minnesota’s Air Cleaner
- CAIR helps Minnesota meet and maintain the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particle
pollution.
- SO2 and NOx contribute to the formation of fine particles (PM)
and NOx contributes to the formation of ground-level ozone.
- Areas meeting the NAAQS are in attainment. Those areas not meeting
the standards are known as “nonattainment areas”.
Fine Particle Pollution
- At the end of 2004, no Minnesota counties were designated
nontattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for fine
particle pollution.
Ground-level Ozone
- At the end of 2004, no Minnesota counties were designated
nontattainment for EPA’s health-based standards for ground-level
ozone pollution.
CAIR Is Smart for Minnesota’s Economy
- CAIR helps maintain coal as a viable fuel/energy source.
- Regional electricity prices are not significantly impacted by CAIR,
and are projected to be below 2000 levels.
| Average Retail Electricity
Prices (AREP) in 1999 dollars |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
| Minnesota’s AREP without CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
57.4 |
52.8 |
49.3 |
| Minnesota’s AREP with CAIR (mills/kWh*) |
N/A |
52.9 |
49.6 |
| *mill = 1/10 of a cent |
Notes:
1) Partial counties are identified by (P) following the county
name.
2) Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific
geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models
available. They are estimations, however, and should be characterized
as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly
if any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the
assumed values used in the projections shown here.
3) Small emission increases can occur in a State under CAIR where
shifts in power generation occur, but overall improvements occur
throughout the CAIR region. The Final CAIR includes a compliance
supplement pool of NOx allowances (roughly 200,000 allowances)
for the annual program, which could lead to slightly higher annual
NOx emissions than are stated here.
4) The data presented here is based on recently completed, revised
IPM modeling, reflecting CAIR as finalized. This recent data may
differ slightly from modeling results in the Final CAIR Federal
Register Notice and RIA which were based on modeling that was completed
before EPA had determined the final scope of CAIR. The primary
difference in the earlier modeling included AR, DE, and NJ in the
annual SO2/NOx requirements, and did not include an ozone season
cap on any states.
5) Emissions reductions take into account state and federal pollution
control programs in place when EPA last updated its models in mid-2004.
Reductions from more recent state programs or settlement actions
are not reflected in these tables.
6) Retail electricity prices are by NERC region.
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