Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Carbon Monoxide Maintenance Plan, Conformity Budgets, Emissions Inventories; State of New Jersey

Note: EPA no longer updates this information, but it may be useful as a reference or resource.

[Federal Register: May 9, 2006 (Volume 71, Number 89)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Page 26895-26910]
From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov]
[DOCID:fr09my06-26]

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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[Docket No. EPA-R02-OAR-2006-0342; FRL-8167-8]

Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Carbon
Monoxide Maintenance Plan, Conformity Budgets, Emissions Inventories;
State of New Jersey

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.

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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve a State Implementation Plan (SIP) revision submitted by the
State of New Jersey. This revision will establish an updated ten-year
carbon monoxide (CO) maintenance plan for the Nine Not-Classified Areas
in the State (the City of Atlantic City, the City of Burlington, the
Borough of Freehold, the Town of Morristown, the Borough of Penns
Grove, the City of Perth Amboy, the Borough of Somerville, the Toms
River Area, and the City of Trenton) and Camden County. In addition,
this document proposes to approve revisions to the CO, NO_X,
VOC, and PM_2.5 motor vehicle emissions budgets for Northern
New Jersey. Finally, this document also proposes to approve revisions
to the general conformity budget for McGuire Air Force Base and the
2002 base year emissions inventory.
The Nine Not Classified Areas and Camden County were redesignated
to attainment of the CO National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS)
on February 5, 1996 and maintenance plans were also approved at that
time. By this action, EPA is proposing to approve the New Jersey
Department of Environmental Protection's (New Jersey) second
maintenance plans for these areas because they provide for continued
attainment for an additional ten years of the CO NAAQS.

DATES: Comments must be received on or before June 8, 2006.

ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R02-
OAR-2006-0342, by one of the following methods:
? http://www.regulations.gov: Follow the on-line
instructions for submitting comments.
? E-mail: Werner.Raymond@epa.gov.
? Fax: 212-637-3901.
? Mail: Raymond Werner, Chief, Air Programs Branch,
Environmental Protection Agency, Region 2 Office, 290 Broadway, 25th
Floor, New York, New York 10007-1866.
? Hand Delivery: Raymond Werner, Chief, Air Programs Branch,
Environmental Protection Agency, Region 2 Office, 290 Broadway, 25th
Floor, New York, New York 10007-1866. Such deliveries are only accepted
during the Regional Office's normal hours of operation. The Regional
Office's official hours of business are Monday through Friday, 8:30 to
4:30 excluding Federal holidays.
Instructions: Direct your comments to Docket ID No. EPA-R02-OAR-
2006-0342. EPA's policy is that all comments received will be included
in the public docket without change and may be made available online at
http://www.regulations.gov, including any personal information
provided, unless the comment includes information claimed to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute. Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise protected through http://www.regulations.gov
or e-mail. The http://www.regulations.gov Web site
is an ``anonymous access'' system, which means EPA will not know your
identity or contact information unless you provide it in the body of
your comment. If you send an e-mail comment directly to EPA without
going through http://www.regulations.gov your e-mail address
will be automatically captured and included as part of the comment that is
placed in the public docket and made available on the Internet. If you
submit an electronic comment, EPA recommends that you include your name
and other contact information in the body of your comment and with any
disk or CD-ROM you submit. If EPA cannot read your comment due to
technical difficulties and cannot contact you for clarification, EPA
may not be able to consider your comment. Electronic files should avoid
the use of special characters, any form of encryption, and be free of
any defects or viruses. For additional information about EPA's public
docket visit the EPA Docket Center homepage at
http://www.epa.gov/epahome/dockets.htm.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Henry Feingersh
feingersh.henry@epa.gov for general questions, Raymond Forde
forde.raymond@epa.gov for emissions inventory questions, or Matthew
Laurita laurita.matthew@epa.gov for mobile source related questions at
the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Air Programs Branch, 290
Broadway, 25th Floor, New York, NY 10007-1866, telephone number (212)
637-4249, fax number (212) 637-3901.
Copies of the State submittals are available at the following
addresses for inspection during normal business hours:
Environmental Protection Agency, Region II Office, Air Programs
Branch, 290 Broadway, 25th Floor, New York, New York 10007-1866.
New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, Office of
Energy, Bureau of Air Quality Planning, 401 East State Street, CN027,
Trenton, New Jersey 08625.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This action is being proposed under a
procedure called parallel processing. Under parallel processing, EPA
proposes action on a state submission before it has been formally
adopted and submitted to EPA, and then EPA will take final action on
its proposal if: (1) The state's final submission is substantially
unchanged from the submission on which this proposal is based, or (2)
if significant changes in the state's final submission are anticipated
and adequately described in EPA's proposal as a basis for EPA's
proposed action.
EPA views the SIP revisions proposed in today's proposal as
separable actions. This means that if EPA receives adverse comments on
particular portions of this notice and not on other portions, EPA may
choose not to take final action at the same time in a single notice on
all of these SIP revisions. Instead, EPA may choose to take final
action on these SIP revisions in separate notices.
For detailed information on New Jersey's SIP revisions see the
Technical Support Document, prepared in support of today's proposed
action. A copy of the TSD is available upon request from the EPA
Regional Office listed in the ADDRESSES section or it can be viewed at
http://www.regulations.gov.
The following table of contents describes the format for this section:

I. What Is the Nature of EPA's Action?
II. CO Limited Maintenance Plan for Camden County and Nine Not-
Classified Areas
A. What Is a Limited Maintenance Plan?
B. What Is included in a Maintenance Plan?
1. Attainment Inventory
2. Maintenance Demonstration
3. Monitoring Network
4. Verification of Continued Attainment
5. Contingency Plan
a. Control Measures
b. Contingency Measures
6. Conformity
III. Revisions To the CO Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for
Northern New Jersey
A. Are these budgets approvable?
IV. Revisions To the NO_X and VOC Motor Vehicle Emissions
Budgets for Northern New Jersey

[[Page 26896]]

A. Are the Revised Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets Consistent
With New Jersey's 1-Hour Ozone Attainment Demonstration?
B. Are these budgets approvable?
V. PM_2.5 Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for Northern New Jersey
A. Are These Budgets Approvable?
VI. Revisions to the General Conformity Budget for McGuire Air Force Base
A. Are these budgets approvable?
VII. New Jersey Emissions Inventory
A. 2002 Base Year Inventory
B. 2009 Projection Year Inventory
VIII. Conclusions
IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

I. What Is the Nature of EPA's Action?

EPA is proposing to approve an updated ten-year CO maintenance plan
for the Nine Not-Classified Areas (the City of Atlantic City, the City
of Burlington, the Borough of Freehold, the Town of Morristown, the
Borough of Penns Grove, the City of Perth Amboy, the Borough of
Somerville, the Toms River Area, and the City of Trenton) and Camden
County in New Jersey. On June 28, 1996, the EPA approved a request from
New Jersey to redesignate the Nine Not-Classified Areas and Camden
County to attainment of the CO NAAQS (61 FR 33678). In addition, the
EPA also approved at that time a ten-year CO maintenance plan for each
of those areas. The Clean Air Act (the Act) requires that an area
redesignated to attainment of the CO NAAQS must submit a second ten-
year CO maintenance Plan to show how the area will continue to attain
the CO standard for an additional ten years. On February 21, 2006, New
Jersey submitted a second ten-year CO maintenance plan for the Nine
Not-Classified Areas and Camden County and requested that EPA approve
the plan. The following sections describe how the EPA made its
determination proposing to approve the second ten-year maintenance
plan. EPA is also proposing to approve revisions to the CO,
NO_X, VOC, and PM_2.5 motor vehicle emissions
budgets for Northern New Jersey. Finally, EPA also proposes to approve
revisions to the general conformity budget for McGuire Air Force Base
and the 2002 base year emissions inventory. These additional SIP
revisions are discussed in sections III through VII.

II. CO Limited Maintenance Plan for Camden County and Nine Not-
Classified Areas

A. What is a Limited Maintenance Plan?

A maintenance plan is a SIP revision that must demonstrate
continued attainment of the applicable NAAQS in the maintenance area
for at least ten years. The Act requires that a second ten-year plan be
submitted in order to assure that the area will continue to stay in
compliance with the relevant NAAQS. For the Nine Not Classified Areas
and Camden County, New Jersey is proposing to utilize EPA's limited
maintenance plan approach, as detailed in the EPA guidance memorandum,
``Limited Maintenance Plan Option for Nonclassifiable CO Nonattainment
Areas'' from Joseph Paisie, Group Leader, Integrated Policy and
Strategies Group, Office of Air Quality and Planning Standards OAQPS,
dated October 6, 1995. Pursuant to this approach, EPA will consider the
maintenance demonstration satisfied for ``not classified'' areas if the
monitoring data show the design value is at or below 7.65 parts per
million (ppm), or 85 percent of the level of the 8-hour CO NAAQS. The
design value must be based on eight consecutive quarters of data. For
such areas, there is no requirement to project emissions of air quality
over the maintenance period. EPA believes if the area begins the
maintenance period at, or below, 85 percent of the CO 8 hour NAAQS, the
applicability of PSD requirements, the control measures already in the
SIP, and Federal measures, should provide adequate assurance of
maintenance over the initial 10-year maintenance period. In addition,
the design value for the area must continue to be at or below 7.65 ppm
until the time of final EPA action on the redesignation.

B. What Is Included in a Maintenance Plan?

Section 175A of the Act sets forth the elements of a maintenance
plan for areas seeking redesignation from nonattainment to attainment.
The initial and subsequent ten-year plans must each demonstrate
continued attainment of the applicable NAAQS for at least ten years
after approval. In this notice, EPA is proposing action on the second
ten-year maintenance plan which covers the period from 2008 to 2017.
The specific elements of a maintenance plan are:
1. Attainment Inventory
Since New Jersey's first ten-year maintenance plan contained an
attainment inventory, this second ten-year maintenance plan did not
need to include another one. However, given the amount of time that has
passed since that submittal, New Jersey thought it more appropriate to
submit a 2002 inventory which is discussed later in this notice. Since
this was a Limited Maintenance Plan submittal, no projected inventories
were required.
EPA's October 6, 1995 Limited Maintenance Plan guidance states that
for inventory purposes the State is only required to submit an
attainment inventory to EPA that is based on monitoring data which
shows attainment. There is no requirement to project emissions over the
maintenance period. This means if 2002 is a calendar year which has
monitoring data which demonstrates attainment of the standard, the 2002
base year inventory can be used as the attainment year inventory and no
projection inventories are required over the years of the maintenance
period. Only calendar year 2002 summary emissions data (based on winter
season day) are required. In addition, the inventory should be consistent
with EPA's most recent guidance on emission inventories for nonattainment
areas available at the time and should include emissions during the time
period associated with the monitoring data showing attainment.
New Jersey submitted a limited maintenance plan which included a
2002 base year emissions inventory. The 2002 inventory is also
classified as the attainment year inventory for the limited maintenance
plan. New Jersey has elected 2002 because it is the attainment year
base year that will be used for the limited maintenance plan and 2002
represents one of the years of violation free monitored data in the
area. The inventory included peak winter season daily emissions from
stationary point, stationary area, non-road mobile, and on-road mobile
sources of CO. These emission estimates were prepared in accordance
with EPA guidance.
EPA is approving the CO inventory for the counties of Atlantic,
Burlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Salem and
Somerset (the 9 non-classified areas) and Camden County. Details of the
inventory review are located in section VII.A. of this notice. A more
detailed discussion of how the emission inventory was reviewed and the
results are presented in the technical support document.
Tables 1 and 2 present a summary of the 2002 CO peak winter season
daily emissions estimates in tons per day for the nine not classified
areas and Camden County:

[[Page 26897]]

Table 1.--2002 Attainment Inventory Nine Not Classified Areas Carbon Monoxide Emission Inventory
[Tons/peak winter season day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nonroad
County Point Area mobile Onroad mobile Total
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 0.48 62.98 21.57 153.15 238.18
Burlington...................... 1.42 59.62 54.00 308.90 423.94
Mercer.......................... 1.46 14.32 43.01 224.90 283.69
Middlesex....................... 8.27 6.34 107.85 531.04 653.50
Monmouth........................ 0.72 30.42 78.43 423.04 532.61
Morris.......................... 1.23 46.59 97.30 393.14 538.26
Ocean........................... 1.11 47.69 40.31 257.31 346.42
Salem........................... 2.21 13.72 6.97 50.24 73.14
Somerset........................ 1.17 11.65 47.55 211.93 272.30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nine Not Classified Areas 18.07 293.33 496.99 2,553.65 3,362.04
Total......................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 2.--2002 Attainment Inventory Camden County Carbon Monoxide Emission Inventory
[Tons/peak winter season day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nonroad
County Point Area mobile Onroad mobile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Camden.......................................... 3.30 18.42 53.39 269.10
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2. Maintenance Demonstration
New Jersey has met the Limited Maintenance Plan air quality
criteria requirement by demonstrating that its highest monitored design
value is less than 85 percent (7.65 parts per million) of the CO
standard of 9.0 parts per million. The highest monitored design value
for the 2002-2003 design year was 4.4 parts per million. In addition,
New Jersey commits to continued implementation of all other federal and
State measures already implemented as part of its CO SIP. Thus,
according to the Limited Maintenance Guidance, emission projections are
not required.
3. Monitoring Network
New Jersey continues to operate its CO monitoring network and will
continue to work with the USEPA through the air monitoring network
review process as required by 40 CFR part 58 to determine the adequacy
of its network. New Jersey will continue annual reviews of its data in
order to verify continued attainment of the NAAQS. As mentioned
earlier, all of New Jersey's 8-hour design values are well below the
9.0 ppm 8-hour NAAQS for CO with the highest monitor reading 4.4 ppm.
This can be seen in Table 3.

Table 3.--Design Values for CO in New Jersey
[8-hour standard--9 parts per million]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2002-2003 design
Monitoring location value (parts per
million)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ancora S.H........................................... 0.8
Burlington........................................... 2.5
Camden Lab \1\....................................... 2.1
East Orange.......................................... 4.2
Elizabeth............................................ 4.4
Elizabeth Lab........................................ 3.1
Fort Lee \2\......................................... 2.6
Freehold............................................. 2.2
Hackensack........................................... 3.4
Jersey City.......................................... 2.9
Morristown........................................... 2.4
Newark Lab \3\....................................... 2.9
Perth Amboy.......................................... 2.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes:
\1\ Data not available October-December 2003.
\2\ Data not available July-August 2002.
\3\ Data not available July-December 2003.

In its SIP revision, New Jersey used the 2002-2003 design values
since they coincide with the 2002 emissions inventory. EPA reviewed
more recent data in addition to the 2002-2003 data and found the
maximum 2004-2005 design value for New Jersey to be 3.4 ppm, which
continues to show attainment of the NAAQS.
4. Verification of Continued Attainment
New Jersey will verify that the Nine Not-Classified Areas and
Camden County areas continue to attain the CO NAAQS through an annual
review of its monitoring data. If any design value exceeds 7.65 ppm,
New Jersey will coordinate with USEPA Region II to verify and evaluate
the data and then, if warranted, develop a full maintenance plan for
the affected maintenance area.
5. Contingency Plan
Section 175A(d) of the Act requires that a maintenance plan include
a contingency plan which includes contingency measures, as necessary,
to promptly correct any violation of the NAAQS that occurs after
redesignation of the area. Contingency measures do not have to be fully
adopted at the time of redesignation. However, the contingency plan is
considered to be an enforceable part of the SIP and should ensure that
the contingency measures are adopted expeditiously once they are
triggered by a specified event. In addition, the contingency plan
includes a requirement that the State continue to implement all control
measures used to bring the area into attainment.
The triggers specified in New Jersey's previous maintenance plan
are included in this Limited Maintenance Plan. If air quality
monitoring data indicate that the CO NAAQS were exceeded, New Jersey
will analyze the data to determine the cause of the violation. If it is
determined that the violation was caused by a non-local motor vehicle
usage event, then the State will institute the contingency measures
described below.
a. Control Measures
New Jersey has implemented a number of measures to control motor
vehicle CO emissions. Emission reductions achieved through the

[[Page 26898]]

implementation of these control measures are enforceable. These
measures include the Federal Motor Vehicle Control Program, Federal
reformulated gasoline, New Jersey's pre-1990 modifications to its
inspection and maintenance (I/M) program, and local transportation
control measures.
The State of New Jersey has demonstrated that actual enforceable
emission reductions are responsible for the air quality improvement and
that the CO emissions in the base year are not artificially low due to
local economic downturn. EPA finds that the combination of existing
EPA-approved SIP and Federal measures contribute to the permanence and
enforceability of reduction in ambient CO levels that have allowed
Camden County to attain the NAAQS since 1990 and the nine not-
classified areas to attain since 1986.
New Jersey commits to continuing to implement all control measures
used to bring the area into attainment.
b. Contingency Measure
The State plans to continue to use the contingency measure from the
original maintenance plan. The plan included implementation of an
enhanced I/M program. This program is fully operational and the State
commits to meet the performance standard for an enhanced I/M program in
an effort to maintain the CO NAAQS. Although the plan is currently in
place, EPA guidance allows for it to act as a contingency measure. In
addition, since we had approved this measure in the previous
maintenance plan, we are proposing to approve it in this notice.
6. Conformity
Section 176(c) of the Act defines conformity as meeting the SIP's
purpose of eliminating or reducing the severity and number of
violations of the NAAQS and achieving expeditious attainment of such
standards. The Act further defines transportation conformity to mean
that no Federal transportation activity will: (1) Cause or contribute
to any new violation of any standard in any area; (2) increase the
frequency or severity of any existing violation of any standard in any
area; or (3) delay timely attainment of any standard or any required
interim emission reductions or other milestones in any area. The
Federal transportation conformity rule, 40 CFR part 93 subpart A, sets
forth the criteria and procedures for demonstrating and assuring
conformity of transportation plans, programs and projects which are
developed, funded or approved by the U.S. Department of Transportation,
and by metropolitan planning organizations or other recipients of
federal funds under Title 23 U.S.C. or the Federal Transit Laws (49
U.S.C. chapter 53).
The transportation conformity rule applies within all nonattainment
and maintenance areas. As prescribed by the Rule, once an area has an
applicable SIP with motor vehicle emissions budgets, the expected
emissions from planned transportation activities must be consistent
with (``conform to'') such established budgets for that area.
In the case of the Nine Not Classified Areas and Camden County CO
limited maintenance plan areas, however, the emissions budgets may be
treated as essentially not constraining for the length of this second
maintenance period as long as the area continues to meet the limited
maintenance criteria, because there is no reason to expect that these
areas will experience so much growth in that period that a violation of
the CO NAAQS would result. In other words, emissions from on-road
transportation sources need not be capped for the maintenance period
because it is unreasonable to believe that emissions from such sources
would increase to a level that would threaten the air quality in this
area for the duration of this maintenance period. Therefore, for the
limited maintenance plan CO maintenance area, all Federal actions that
require conformity determinations under the transportation conformity
rule are considered to satisfy the regional emissions analysis and
``budget test'' requirements in 40 CFR 93.118 of the rule.
Since limited maintenance plan areas are still maintenance areas,
however, transportation conformity determinations are still required
for transportation plans, programs and projects. Specifically, for such
determinations, transportation plans, transportation improvement
programs, and projects must still demonstrate that they are fiscally
constrained (40 CFR part 108) and must meet the criteria for
consultation and Transportation Control Measure (TCM) implementation in
the conformity rule (40 CFR 93.112 and 40 CFR 93.113, respectively). In
addition, projects in limited maintenance areas will still be required
to meet the criteria for CO hot spot analyses to satisfy ``project
level'' conformity determinations (40 CFR 93.116 and 40 CFR 93.123)
which must incorporate the latest planning assumptions and models that
are available. All aspects of transportation conformity (with the
exception of satisfying the emission budget test) will still be
required. Approval of the limited maintenance plan will not supersede
the current 2007 motor vehicle emissions budget. Conformity
determinations conducted prior to the end of 2007 would still have to
include a budget test for 2007.
If one of the CO attainment areas should monitor CO concentrations
at or above the limited maintenance eligibility criteria or 7.65 parts
per million then that maintenance area would no longer qualify for a
limited maintenance plan and would revert to a full maintenance plan.
In this event, the limited maintenance plan would remain applicable for
conformity purposes only until the full maintenance plan is submitted
and EPA has found its motor vehicle emissions budget adequate for
conformity purposes or EPA approves the full maintenance plan SIP
revision. At that time regional emissions analyses would resume as a
transportation conformity criteria.

III. Revisions to the CO Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for Northern
New Jersey

A. Are These Budgets Approvable?

The proposed maintenance plan revises the motor vehicle emissions
budgets (budgets) for CO for the New Jersey portion of the New York-
Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT CO maintenance area for the
years 2007 and 2014, previously approved by EPA in the August 30, 2004
Federal Register (69 FR 52834). These revised budgets include an
allocation of a portion of a ``safety margin'' established in the CO
maintenance plan.
A ``safety margin'' is the difference between the attainment level
of emissions (from all sources) and the projected level of emissions
(from all sources) in the maintenance plan. The attainment level of
emissions is the level of emissions during one of the years in which
the area met the air quality health standard. For example, 1996 is the
base year of Northern New Jersey's first ten-year maintenance plan, and
the safety margin is calculated using the differences between 1996 and
future year total emissions.
The total emissions in 1996 from mobile, stationary and area
sources equaled 1365.31 tons per day of CO. New Jersey projected the CO
emissions in Northern New Jersey from all sources for the years 2007
and 2014 to be 997.71 tons per day and 1071.93 tons per day,
respectively. The CO safety margin for Northern New Jersey in 2007 and
2014 is calculated to be the difference between the total emissions in
1996 and the total emissions for each of the projected years, 367.60
tons per day for 2007 and 293.38 tons per day for 2014. The 2007 and
2014 CO emission projections reflecting the total of point,

[[Page 26899]]

area and mobile source reductions are illustrated in Table 4.

Table 4.--CO Emissions and Safety Margin Determinations, Northern New Jersey
[Tons/day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CO emissions
Source category -----------------------------------------------
1996 2007 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total........................................................... 1365.31 997.71 1071.93
Safety Margin................................................... N/A 367.60 293.38
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In the submittal the State requested to allocate the entire safety
margin to both the 2007 and 2014 budgets. This approach provides the
transportation sector with an adequate budget increase for the two
future scenario years to account for changes in transportation-related
emissions due to updated planning assumptions, while still meeting the
requirements of the maintenance plan. The CO motor vehicle emissions
budgets that include the safety margin allocations are outlined below
in Table 5.

Table 5.--Carbon Monoxide Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets
[Tons/day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final motor
Safety margin vehicle
Year Prior motor vehicle emissions budgets allocation emissions
budgets
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2007 783.39...................................................... 367.60 1150
2014 605.63...................................................... 293.38 899
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The planned allowable levels of CO emissions are projected to
maintain the area's air quality consistent with the air quality health
standard. The safety margin credit can be allocated to the
transportation sector while maintaining air quality attainment. The
total emission level, even with this allocation, will be below the
attainment level, or safety level, and thus is acceptable.
These revised CO budgets are consistent with the State's emission
baseline, projected inventories for highway mobile sources and use of a
margin of safety. EPA is proposing to approve the 2007 and 2014 budgets
for CO.

IV. Revisions to the NO_X and VOC Motor Vehicle Emissions
Budgets for Northern New Jersey

A. Are the Revised Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets Consistent With New
Jersey's 1-Hour Ozone Attainment Demonstration?

New Jersey is proposing to revise the 2005 and 2007 VOC and
NO_X motor vehicle emissions budgets (budgets) for the
Northern New Jersey nonattainment area by setting new budgets based on
updated planning assumptions. These updated budgets apply to the North
Jersey Transportation Planning Authority. In its proposal, New Jersey
included a relative reduction comparison to show that its 1-Hour Ozone
Attainment Demonstration SIP continues to demonstrate attainment using
revised inventories for the Northern New Jersey nonattainment area. New
Jersey's attainment demonstration used photochemical grid modeling
supplemented with weight of evidence. As such, the State's methodology
for the relative reduction comparison consists of comparing the updated
on-road mobile inventories with the previously approved (67 FR 5152)
inventories for the Northern New Jersey nonattainment area to determine
if attainment will still be predicted by the established attainment
dates. Specifically, the State calculated the relative reductions
(expressed as percent reductions) in ozone precursors between the
previous 1996 base year and attainment year inventories. These percent
reductions were then compared to the percent reductions between the
revised 1996 base year and attainment year inventories.
New Jersey's relative reduction comparison shows that for the
Northern New Jersey nonattainment area the percent reduction of VOC
emissions achieved in the revised inventories is higher than the
percent reduction previously calculated, however the percent reduction
of NO_X emissions achieved in the revised inventories is
lower than the percent reduction previously calculated, and thus a
slight NO_X shortfall is indicated. New Jersey has previously
demonstrated in its Rate of Progress SIP, approved by EPA on February
4, 2002 (67 FR 5152), that VOC or NO_X emission reductions
are equally valuable towards attaining the 1-hour ozone standard.
Therefore, New Jersey substituted excess VOC emission reductions for
NO_X emission reductions, as allowed for under Section
182(c)(2)(C) of the Clean Air Act. To make such an equivalency
demonstration, the State converted the percentage changes for VOC and
NO_X to +14.01 and -6.09 tons per day, respectively. Based on
the emission inventories, New Jersey has determined for the Northern
New Jersey nonattainment area that approximately 1.29 tons of VOC
emissions equals 1 ton of NO_X emissions, as the emissions
relate to their potential to form ozone. Consistent with EPA's policy
on substitution of ozone precursor emission reductions, New Jersey
increased the NO_X reductions and decreased VOC reductions by
their equivalent amounts, resulting in offsetting effects with respect
to ozone formation. Thus, the required emission reductions needed to
attain the 1-hour ozone NAAQS are achieved for the Northern New Jersey
nonattainment area, and the SIP continues to demonstrate attainment.
New Jersey's proposed SIP revision demonstrates that the new levels
of motor vehicle emissions calculated using updated planning
assumptions continue to support achievement of the projected attainment
of the 1-Hour

[[Page 26900]]

Ozone NAAQS by the attainment date of 2007 for the Northern New Jersey
nonattainment area.

B. Are These Budgets Approvable?

Table 6 below summarizes New Jersey's revised budgets contained in
the proposed SIP revision. These budgets were developed using the
latest planning assumptions, including 2005 vehicle registration data,
vehicle miles traveled (VMT), speeds, fleet mix, and SIP control
measures and are for the North Jersey Transportation Planning
Authority. The 2005 budgets are revised budgets based on the Reasonable
Further Progress plan and the 2007 budgets are revised attainment year
budgets. The increase in the NO_X budget is attributed to the
updated planning assumptions and does not necessarily indicate an
actual increase in emissions. As described above, New Jersey, in its
proposal, has demonstrated that attainment is not impacted by this revision.

Table 6.--Revised Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for the North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority
[Tons/day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VOC NOX
---------------------------------------------------------------
2005 2007 2005 2007
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Previous........................................ 148.27 125.82 253.05 198.34
Updated......................................... 146.33 122.53 327.83 256.58
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EPA is proposing to approve the revisions to the 2005 and 2007
budgets for VOC and NO_X for the North Jersey Transportation
Planning Authority.

V. PM_2.5 Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for Northern New Jersey

A. Are these budgets approvable?

The proposed early progress PM_2.5 SIP establishes motor
vehicle emission budgets for 2009 for the New Jersey portion of the New
York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM_2.5
nonattainment area. The NY-NJ-CT PM_2.5 nonattainment area
and the Northern New Jersey portion thereof is violating the annual
PM_2.5 standard, and therefore these budgets are being
established for annual emissions of direct PM_2.5 and
NO_X, a PM_2.5 precursor. Northern New Jersey and
the larger nonattainment area are not violating and are significantly
below the 24-hour PM_2.5 standard, and EPA believes that the
State has deemed that by attaining the annual standard they will
continue to meet the 24-hour standard. Therefore, New Jersey did not
address or establish budgets for the 24-hour PM_2.5 standard
in this SIP revision. These budgets are established for annual
emissions of direct PM_2.5 and NO_X, a
PM_2.5 precursor. Other PM_2.5 precursors (VOC,
SO_X, and NH₃) were not found to be significant by
either New Jersey or EPA prior to this submittal and were not included
in the motor vehicle emissions budgets. Additionally, fugitive dust
emissions, which include re-entrained road dust and transportation-
related construction dust, were not found to be significant by either
New Jersey or EPA and were not included in the budgets. However,
approval of these budgets does not preclude New Jersey or EPA from
finding any of the above precursors or fugitive dust to be significant
contributors to nonattainment of the PM_2.5 standard in the
future. New Jersey may choose to include any or all precursors and
fugitive dust in future SIP submittals.
EPA allows for the establishment of motor vehicle emission budgets
for PM_2.5 prior to the state submitting its first required
PM_2.5 SIP (69 FR 40028). These budgets are set through the
establishment of an early SIP that meets all the requirements of a SIP
submittal, and in which emissions from all sources, when projected from
the base to a future year, show some progress toward attainment. EPA
has interpreted the phrase ``some progress toward attainment'' to mean
a 5% to 10% reduction in emissions from all sources (69 FR 40019). For
this SIP submittal emissions were projected from the 2002 base year to
2009, the attainment year.
Submittal of this early progress SIP does not satisfy the
requirement to submit a full PM_2.5 attainment SIP. New
Jersey may revise the 2009 budgets in the PM_2.5 attainment
SIP with appropriate supporting documentation.
The total annual emissions in 2002 from mobile, stationary and area
sources for Northern New Jersey equaled 13,952 tons per year of direct
PM_2.5 and 236,251 tons per year of NO_X. New
Jersey projected the PM_2.5 and NO_X emissions from
all sources for 2009 to be 13,049 tons per year of direct
PM_2.5 and 159,990 tons per year of NO_X. This
represents a 6.5% reduction in direct PM_2.5 and a 32.3%
reduction in NO_X emissions from 2002 to 2009, thereby
meeting EPA's 5% to 10% minimum reduction guideline. The 2002 and 2009
emission projections reflecting the point, area and mobile source
reductions are illustrated in Tables 7 and 8.

Table 7.--Direct PM2.5 Emissions, NJ Portion of the NY-NJ-CT Nonattainment Area
[Tons/year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Direct PM2.5 emissions
Source category -----------------------------------------------
2002 2009 Percent change
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On-Road......................................................... 2,220 1,296 -42
Nonroad......................................................... 3,206 2,788 -13
Stationary...................................................... 2,790 3,035 9
Area............................................................ 5,736 5,930 3
-----------------------------------------------
Total....................................................... 13,952 13,049 -6.5
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[[Page 26901]]

Table 8.--NOX Emissions, NJ Portion of the NY-NJ-CT Nonattainment Area
[Tons/year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions
Source category -----------------------------------------------
2002 2009 Percent change
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On-Road......................................................... 137,701 66,004 -52
Nonroad......................................................... 45,957 37,694 -18
Stationary...................................................... 34,420 36,804 7
Area............................................................ 18,173 19,488 7
-----------------------------------------------
Total....................................................... 236,251 159,990 -32.3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A detailed review of the 2002 PM_2.5 and NO_X
annual emission inventories are covered in section VII. A. of this
notice. Tables 11 and 12 present a summary of 2002 PM_2.5 and
NO_X annual emission estimates by source sector and by county
for the New Jersey portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long
Island, NY-NJ-CT PM_2.5 nonattainment area.
In the submittal, the State has established ``sub-area budgets''
for the two metropolitan planning organizations (MPO) within the New
Jersey portion of the larger PM_2.5 nonattainment area, the
North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority (NJTPA) and the Delaware
Valley Regional Planning Commission (DVRPC). These sub-area budgets
allow each MPO to work independently to demonstrate conformity by
meeting its own PM_2.5 and NO_X budgets. Each MPO
must still verify, however, that the other MPO currently has a
conforming long range transportation plan and transportation
improvement program (TIP) prior to making a new plan/TIP conformity
determination. The sub-area budgets are listed in Table 9.

Table 9.--2009 Sub-Area Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets NY-NJ-CT
Nonattainment Area
[Tons/year]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
MPO Direct PM2.5 NOX
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NJTPA \1\............................... 1,207 61,676
DVRPC \2\............................... 89 4,328
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Covers Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Passaic,
Somerset, and Union Counties.
\2\ Covers Mercer County only.

The proposed 2009 PM_2.5 budgets are consistent with the
State's 2002 emission baseline and 2009 projected inventories for
highway mobile sources, as described in Sections VII.A. and B. of this
notice. EPA is therefore proposing to approve the 2009 sub-area budgets
for direct PM_2.5 and NO_X, because these budgets
meet all applicable requirements.
These budgets are currently undergoing a process to find if they
are adequate for transportation conformity purposes prior to EPA's
final SIP action. Once budgets are deemed adequate, they may be used in
making conformity determinations. EPA believes that the proposed 2009
budgets meet EPA's adequacy criteria (40 CFR 93.118(e)(4)) and, through
a separate process, is taking comments through April 24, 2006 prior to
making an adequacy determination. For more information on the adequacy
process please see EPA's adequacy Web site: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/
stateresources/transconf/adequacy.htm. The adequacy process is separate
from the SIP approval process; therefore, these budgets may be found
adequate prior to EPA finalizing any approval action for this SIP. The
result of EPA's adequacy finding will be published in the Federal Register.

VI. Revisions to the General Conformity Budget for McGuire Air Force Base

A. Are These Budgets Approvable?

New Jersey is proposing to update the 1-hour ozone general
conformity emissions budgets for the McGuire Air Force Base previously
approved by EPA in the July 23, 2003 Federal Register (68 FR 43462).
Due to McGuire Air Force Base's vital role in the national defense and
need to have operational flexibility in order to meet its present and
future emissions, New Jersey is proposing a change to the 2005
emissions budgets. The year 2005 NO_X budget is being
increased by 450 tons per year and the VOC budget is being decreased by
468 tons per year. This budget will be used in preparation for a new
budget to be determined by the 8-hour ozone attainment demonstration.
New Jersey is proposing this change consistent with EPA's policy on
substitution of ozone precursor emission reductions. Based on the
emission inventories, New Jersey has determined for the Trenton
nonattainment area that approximately 1 ton per year of NO_X
emissions equals 1.04 tons per year of VOC emissions, as the emissions
relate to their potential to form ozone. Thus, increasing
NO_X and decreasing VOC by their equivalent amounts results
in offsetting effects with respect to ozone formation. The VOC emission
reduction has been achieved through the implementation of pollution
prevention measures. Table 10 below summarizes the revised general
conformity budgets. The revised 2005 budgets would apply to 2005 and
all future years until new budgets are established based on the 8-hour
ozone attainment demonstration. EPA is proposing to approve the revised
2005 general conformity emissions budgets.

[[Page 26902]]

Table 10.--McGuire Air Force Base General Conformity Emissions Budgets
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Previously approved budgets New budgets
---------------------------------------------------------------
VOC (tons/ NOX (tons/ VOC (tons/ NOX (tons/
year) year) year) year)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2005 \1\........................................ 1,198 1,084 730 1,534
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ 2005 budgets updated such that the increase in NOX is offset by a decrease in VOC, resulting in no expected
net increase in ozone formation.

VII. New Jersey Emissions Inventory

A. 2002 Base Year Inventory

On November 18, 2002, EPA designated the 2002 base year inventory
as the inventory for SIP planning process to address the pollutants for
the eight hour-ozone, PM_2.5 and CO national ambient air
quality standards. Identifying the base year gives certainty to States,
and the selection of 2002 harmonizes the date for EPA's Consolidated
Emissions Reporting rule (See 67 FR 39602 dated June 10, 2002), which
requires submission of the ozone, PM_2.5 and CO emission
inventories every three years; 2002 is one of the required years for
such updates. These requirements allow the EPA, based on the state's
progress in reducing emissions, to periodically reassess its policies
and air quality standards and revise them as necessary. Most important,
the 2002 ozone, PM_2.5 and CO inventories will be used to
develop and assess new control strategies that the states will need to
submit in their attainment demonstration SIPs for the national ambient
air quality standards for ozone, PM_2.5 and CO. The base year
inventory plays an important role in modeling demonstrations for areas
classified as nonattainment and transport regions. The base year
inventory may also serve as part of statewide inventories for purposes
of regional modeling in transport areas. For the reasons stated above,
EPA would therefore emphasize the importance and benefits of developing
comprehensive, current, and accurate 2002 ozone, PM_2.5 and
CO emission inventories.
There are specific components of an acceptable emission inventory.
The emission inventory must meet certain minimum requirements for
reporting each source category. Specifically, the source requirements
are detailed below.
The review process, which is described in supporting documentation,
is used to determine that all components of the base year inventory are
present. This review also evaluates the level of supporting
documentation provided by the state, assesses whether the emissions
were developed according to current EPA guidance, and evaluates the
quality of the data.
The review process is outlined here and consists of 9 points that
the inventory must include. For a base year emission inventory to be
acceptable, it must pass all of the following acceptance criteria:
1. Evidence that the inventory was quality assured by the state and
its implementation documented.
2. The point source inventory was complete.
3. Point source emissions were prepared or calculated according to
the current EPA guidance.
4. The area source inventory was complete.
5. The area source emissions were prepared or calculated according
to the current EPA guidance.
6. Biogenic emissions were prepared according to current EPA
guidance or another approved technique.
7. Non-road mobile emissions were prepared according to current EPA
guidance for all of the source categories.
8. The method (e.g., HPMS or a network transportation planning
model) used to develop VMT estimates followed EPA guidance.
9. The MOBILE model was correctly used to produce emission factors
for each of the vehicle classes.
Based on EPA's review, New Jersey satisfied all of EPA's
requirements for purposes of providing a comprehensive, accurate, and
current inventory of actual emissions for ozone, PM_2.5 and
CO nonattainment areas. Where applicable, annual emissions are provided
for VOC, NO_X, CO, PM_2.5, PM₁₀,
NH₃ and SO₂ emissions; VOC, NO_X and CO
peak summer season daily emissions are provided for ozone nonattainment
areas and CO peak winter season daily emissions are provided for CO
nonattainment areas. The inventory was developed in accordance with
Emission Inventory Guidance for Implementation of ozone and Particulate
Matter NAAQS and Regional Haze Regulation, dated August 2005. A summary
of EPA's review is given below:
1. The Quality Assurance (QA) plan was implemented for all portions
of the inventory. The QA plan included a QA/Quality control (QC)
program for assessing data completeness and standard range checking.
Critical data elements relative to the inventory sources were assessed
for completeness. QA checks were performed relative to data collection
and analysis, and double counting of emissions from point, area and
mobile sources. QA/QC checks were conducted to ensure accuracy of
units, unit conversions, transposition of figures, and calculations.
2. The inventory is well documented. New Jersey provided
documentation detailing the methods used to develop emissions estimates
for each category. In addition, New Jersey identified the sources of
data used in developing the inventory.
3. The point source emissions are complete in accordance with EPA
guidance.
4. The point source emissions were prepared/calculated in
accordance with EPA guidance.
5. The area source emissions are complete and were prepared/
calculated in accordance with EPA guidance.
6. Biogenic emissions were prepared/calculated using the EPA's
Biogenic Emission Inventory System Model version 3.12 in accordance
with EPA guidance.
7. Emission estimates for the non-road mobile source categories
were correctly based on the latest nonroad mobile model and prepared in
accordance with EPA guidance.
8. The method used to develop VMT estimates was in accordance with
EPA guidance and was adequately described and documented in the
inventory report.
9. Mobile model 6.2.03 was used correctly for each of the vehicle
classes.
The 2002 base year inventory has been developed in accordance with
EPA guidance. Therefore, EPA is proposing to approve the 2002 base year
VOC, NO_X, CO, PM_2.5, PM₁₀,
NH₃ and SO₂ emission inventories.
A more detailed discussion of how the emission inventory was
reviewed and the results of the review are presented in the technical
support document. Detailed emission inventory development procedures
can be found in the following document: Emission Inventory Guidance for
Implementation

[[Page 26903]]

of ozone and Particulate Matter NAAQS and Regional Haze Regulation,
dated August 2005.
Tables 11 and 12 present a summary of 2002 PM_2.5 and
NO_X annual emission estimates by source sector and by county
for the New Jersey portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long
Island, NY-NJ-CT PM_2.5 nonattainment area. Tables 13, 14 and
15 present a summary of VOC, NO_X and CO peak summer season
daily emissions by source sector by county in New Jersey. Tables 16
through 22 present a summary of the 2002 VOC, NO_X, CO,
PM_2.5, NH₃, PM₁₀, and SO₂
annual emissions by source sector by county in New Jersey. Section
II.B.1, Tables 1 and 2 present CO peak winter season daily emissions.

Table 11.--2002 Annual PM2.5 Base Year Inventory, the New Jersey Portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-
Long Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area
[In tons/year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nonroad
County Point Area mobile Onroad mobile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bergen.......................................... 149 537 478 376
Essex........................................... 185 411 393 291
Hudson.......................................... 1,077 269 345 134
Mercer.......................................... 188 530 203 141
Middlesex....................................... 483 467 346 347
Monmouth........................................ 55 981 501 244
Morris.......................................... 39 1,284 280 209
Passaic......................................... 19 543 178 141
Somerset........................................ 55 441 149 152
Union........................................... 540 272 333 185
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total....................................... 2,790 5,736 2,788 2,200
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 12.--2002 Annual NOX Base Year Inventory, the New Jersey Portion of the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long
Island, NY-NJ-CT PM2.5 Nonattainment Area
[In tons/year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nonroad
County Point Area mobile Onroad mobile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bergen.......................................... 988 2,815 6,707 23,917
Essex........................................... 2,441 2,436 8,137 16,537
Hudson.......................................... 9,674 1,735 5,976 7,853
Mercer.......................................... 13,034 1,257 2,427 8,505
Middlesex....................................... 3,567 2,343 4,849 22,147
Monmouth........................................ 240 1,806 4,316 14,860
Morris.......................................... 284 1,752 3,151 13,758
Passaic......................................... 122 1,361 2,413 8,748
Somerset........................................ 313 1,048 2,097 9,090
Union........................................... 3,757 1,621 5,883 12,294
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total....................................... 34,420 18,173 45,957 137,701
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 13.--2002 Statewide VOC Summer Season Daily Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VOC tons per day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources source mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 0.15 11.04 12.85 10.25 40.38
Bergen.......................... 5.72 36.86 36.09 22.05 4.60
Burlington...................... 4.02 17.54 15.80 10.01 39.84
Camden.......................... 1.23 22.68 13.80 7.23 20.06
Cape May........................ 0.20 5.26 4.72 22.61 19.55
Cumberland...................... 0.46 8.93 5.37 11.03 28.41
Essex........................... 2.95 31.53 18.26 11.92 3.40
Gloucester...................... 32.01 20.39 9.10 5.91 16.83
Hudson.......................... 7.33 21.09 9.10 5.22 3.27
Hunterdon....................... 0.64 5.49 5.99 3.66 12.44
Mercer.......................... 2.13 13.06 11.60 7.01 12.65
Middlesex....................... 16.08 34.87 26.00 14.58 12.78
Monmouth........................ 1.37 24.65 22.26 21.26 22.00
Morris.......................... 1.27 20.81 18.87 15.09 13.75
Ocean........................... 0.26 24.01 14.30 21.54 43.80

[[Page 26904]]

Passaic......................... 1.99 19.84 10.22 6.62 11.04
Salem........................... 4.92 3.47 4.23 3.37 18.64
Somerset........................ 0.73 12.29 10.65 6.87 12.20
Sussex.......................... 0.25 5.69 4.62 3.86 20.48
Union........................... 26.56 25.26 15.92 7.75 2.31
Warren.......................... 2.88 5.07 4.99 2.78 13.50
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 113.15 369.83 274.74 220.60 371.95
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 14.--2002 Statewide NOX Summer Season Daily Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX tons per day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 1.67 1.17 24.50 6.26 0.21
Bergen.......................... 3.64 3.83 63.24 23.38 0.07
Burlington...................... 12.35 1.77 31.10 12.88 0.26
Camden.......................... 2.69 2.10 27.00 9.44 0.21
Cape May........................ 19.15 0.42 8.82 5.92 0.19
Cumberland...................... 10.50 0.65 10.61 7.94 0.34
Essex........................... 16.18 3.31 44.06 25.70 0.07
Gloucester...................... 14.48 1.01 18.50 8.01 0.19
Hudson.......................... 51.61 2.24 21.05 20.71 0.07
Hunterdon....................... 9.47 0.54 17.17 4.70 0.19
Mercer.......................... 47.87 1.72 22.70 9.32 0.20
Middlesex....................... 44.47 3.33 58.00 17.54 0.16
Monmouth........................ 0.86 2.23 38.15 15.74 0.22
Morris.......................... 1.18 2.40 35.06 11.58 0.12
Ocean........................... 3.68 2.39 24.65 7.57 0.27
Passaic......................... 0.68 1.79 23.01 8.88 0.10
Salem........................... 15.26 0.31 11.91 3.21 0.32
Somerset........................ 3.60 1.44 23.85 7.57 0.15
Sussex.......................... 0.21 0.57 7.47 2.46 0.15
Union........................... 18.88 2.26 32.22 20.25 0.08
Warren.......................... 1.93 0.47 15.60 2.48 0.22
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 280.36 35.92 558.66 231.56 3.78
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 15.--2002 Statewide CO Summer Season Daily Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CO tons per day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 0.36 2.66 155.53 70.26 2.96
Bergen.......................... 2.36 2.07 324.50 358.25 0.54
Burlington...................... 1.48 1.97 168.90 121.35 3.33
Camden.......................... 3.28 6.89 145.90 112.44 1.57
Cape May........................ 2.18 0.66 53.58 80.06 1.54
Cumberland...................... 1.56 1.13 56.91 50.35 2.28
Essex........................... 3.61 2.40 187.93 182.98 0.45
Gloucester...................... 3.27 1.54 99.80 77.69 1.41
Hudson.......................... 9.42 1.22 87.49 68.72 0.44
Hunterdon....................... 6.43 1.03 64.94 48.31 1.60
Mercer.......................... 1.51 1.37 122.70 104.18 1.42
Middlesex....................... 34.20 2.54 287.54 228.84 1.16

[[Page 26905]]

Monmouth........................ 1.28 1.79 227.22 212.60 1.98
Morris.......................... 2.24 2.35 209.14 227.91 1.42
Ocean........................... 1.21 29.78 135.96 143.85 3.89
Passaic......................... 0.40 1.23 105.86 98.09 1.13
Salem........................... 2.28 0.57 49.04 21.42 1.63
Somerset........................ 5.96 1.16 112.52 107.75 1.40
Sussex.......................... 0.33 1.80 42.35 37.57 2.00
Union........................... 3.87 1.11 162.44 118.31 0.36
Warren.......................... 2.12 1.19 56.12 26.89 1.58
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 89.35 66.45 2,856.37 2,497.80 34.09
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 16.--2002 Statewide VOC Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VOC tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 52 5,492 3,613 3,521 14,748
Bergen.......................... 773 11,243 14,048 6,361 1,681
Burlington...................... 927 7,057 6,278 3,000 14,552
Camden.......................... 453 7,228 5,512 2,110 7,326
Cape May........................ 39 2,474 1,348 8,480 7,140
Cumberland...................... 102 3,208 1,492 4,196 10,377
Essex........................... 791 9,568 7,238 3,739 1,244
Gloucester...................... 11,560 7,032 3,650 1,686 6,148
Hudson.......................... 2,104 6,628 3,567 1,617 1,195
Hunterdon....................... 144 2,468 2,441 1,038 4,545
Mercer.......................... 446 4,445 4,636 1,922 4,619
Middlesex....................... 4,366 10,594 10,478 4,115 4,669
Monmouth........................ 287 8,477 8,973 6,996 8,036
Morris.......................... 309 7,947 7,662 4,211 5,024
Ocean........................... 76 7,746 5,792 7,714 15,998
Passaic......................... 253 6,537 4,109 2,081 4,034
Salem........................... 1,034 1,516 1,205 1,162 6,809
Somerset........................ 224 4,075 4,311 1,898 4,455
Sussex.......................... 38 3,656 1,881 1,490 7,479
Union........................... 5,382 7,652 6,354 2,237 843
Warren.......................... 809 2,631 2,001 832 4,931
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 30,169 127,673 106,589 70,407 135,851
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 17.--2002 Statewide NOX Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 129 964 6,764 1,771 78
Bergen.......................... 988 2,815 23,917 6,707 25
Burlington...................... 1,273 1,424 11,644 3,776 97
Camden.......................... 776 1,523 10,074 2,669 77
Cape May........................ 3,819 357 2,433 1,959 68
Cumberland...................... 1,778 469 2,883 2,574 125
Essex........................... 2,441 2,436 16,537 8,137 27
Gloucester...................... 4,645 800 6,899 2,200 71
Hudson.......................... 9,776 1,735 7,853 5,976 27

[[Page 26906]]

Hunterdon....................... 491 424 6,444 1,223 69
Mercer.......................... 13,034 1,257 8,505 2,427 72
Middlesex....................... 3,651 2,343 22,147 4,849 58
Monmouth........................ 240 1,806 14,860 4,316 79
Morris.......................... 284 1,752 13,748 3,151 43
Ocean........................... 395 1,507 9,538 2,138 98
Passaic......................... 122 1,361 8,748 2,413 38
Salem........................... 3,267 227 3,185 932 116
Somerset........................ 313 1,048 9,090 2,097 54
Sussex.......................... 39 495 2,936 615 55
Union........................... 4,080 1,621 12,294 5,883 28
Warren.......................... 580 379 5,782 631 79
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 52,121 26,742 206,280 66,443 1,382
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 18.--2002 Statewide CO Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CO tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 66 10,726 53,885 19,798 1,080
Bergen.......................... 619 1,453 166,589 93,002 199
Burlington...................... 413 9,709 83,768 31,350 1,216
Camden.......................... 1,154 3,789 72,489 29,402 574
Cape May........................ 311 4,145 18,758 26,265 562
Cumberland...................... 126 3,196 19,994 15,941 831
Essex........................... 624 1,306 96,967 53,407 164
Gloucester...................... 1,029 4,513 49,458 19,203 516
Hudson.......................... 2,058 896 44,767 20,015 161
Hunterdon....................... 259 3,973 34,283 11,896 585
Mercer.......................... 323 2,567 61,101 25,685 518
Middlesex....................... 3,034 1,309 149,288 57,965 424
Monmouth........................ 381 5,252 118,952 55,614 722
Morris.......................... 266 8,121 109,947 56,136 519
Ocean........................... 271 10,563 72,072 40,914 1,420
Passaic......................... 68 2,985 55,414 26,769 412
Salem........................... 487 2,389 17,071 5,991 595
Somerset........................ 226 2,079 59,270 26,731 511
Sussex.......................... 83 8,995 23,055 10,883 731
Union........................... 1,012 794 84,178 31,780 133
Warren.......................... 444 5,306 29,700 7,198 578
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 13,254 94,067 1,421,004 665,944 12,451
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 19.--2002 Statewide PM2.5 Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PM2.5 tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 19 1,541 104 225 NA
Bergen.......................... 149 537 376 478 NA
Burlington...................... 308 1,448 193 413 NA
Camden.......................... 233 754 167 228 NA
Cape May........................ 109 637 40 468 NA
Cumberland...................... 280 495 52 374 NA

[[Page 26907]]

Essex........................... 185 411 291 393 NA
Gloucester...................... 426 754 112 222 NA
Hudson.......................... 1,077 269 134 345 NA
Hunterdon....................... 50 644 111 103 NA
Mercer.......................... 188 530 141 203 NA
Middlesex....................... 483 467 347 346 NA
Monmouth........................ 55 981 244 501 NA
Morris.......................... 39 1,284 209 280 NA
Ocean........................... 38 1,734 160 409 NA
Passaic......................... 19 543 141 178 NA
Salem........................... 371 377 57 122 NA
Somerset........................ 55 441 152 149 NA
Sussex.......................... 5 1,301 54 89 NA
Union........................... 540 272 185 333 NA
Warren.......................... 240 809 92 64 NA
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 4,868 16,230 3,361 5,922 NA
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 20.--2002 Statewide NH3 Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PM2.5 tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 0 184 297 13 329
Bergen.......................... 0 543 821 163 863
Burlington...................... 0 522 454 39 520
Camden.......................... 0 281 393 46 518
Cape May........................ 5 86 107 6 130
Cumberland...................... 1 310 118 20 203
Essex........................... 0 598 492 82 762
Gloucester...................... 0 445 265 22 274
Hudson.......................... 14 461 222 56 572
Hunterdon....................... 0 569 187 14 164
Mercer.......................... 3 310 331 41 347
Middlesex....................... 11 492 765 108 746
Monmouth........................ 0 399 628 47 651
Morris.......................... 0 273 572 75 544
Ocean........................... 0 258 396 21 616
Passaic......................... 0 264 292 65 505
Salem........................... 1 463 97 7 89
Somerset........................ 0 423 317 43 309
Sussex.......................... 0 296 135 8 235
Union........................... 3 456 425 82 501
Warren.......................... 0 371 152 12 153
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 38 8,005 7,469 970 9,032
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 21.--2002 Statewide PM10 Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PM10 tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 17 1,863 154 248 NA
Bergen.......................... 135 981 524 524 NA
Burlington...................... 318 2,145 275 471 NA

[[Page 26908]]

Camden.......................... 126 1,210 238 249 NA
Cape May........................ 102 799 58 509 NA
Cumberland...................... 266 721 73 407 NA
Essex........................... 203 646 389 444 NA
Gloucester...................... 531 1,169 161 242 NA
Hudson.......................... 1,705 431 179 375 NA
Hunterdon....................... 50 1,115 148 113 NA
Mercer.......................... 221 967 201 224 NA
Middlesex....................... 537 1,162 486 376 NA
Monmouth........................ 48 1,575 352 545 NA
Morris.......................... 46 1,813 305 309 NA
Ocean........................... 39 2,377 229 446 NA
Passaic......................... 18 835 195 194 NA
Salem........................... 435 590 77 132 NA
Somerset........................ 76 984 211 164 NA
Sussex.......................... 6 1,667 77 99 NA
Union........................... 434 512 261 362 NA
Warren.......................... 240 1,195 123 71 NA
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 5,555 24,760 4,718 6,505 NA
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table 22.--2002 Statewide SO2 Annual Emission Inventory
[By county and source sector]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SO2 tons per year
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Onroad mobile Nonroad
Point sources Area sources sources mobile sources Biogenic
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlantic........................ 10 498 202 176 NA
Bergen.......................... 82 819 634 620 NA
Burlington...................... 286 459 361 2,462 NA
Camden.......................... 162 506 313 1,057 NA
Cape May........................ 12,178 163 75 993 NA
Cumberland...................... 665 412 89 2,115 NA
Essex........................... 2,110 1,078 429 980 NA
Gloucester...................... 5,431 390 211 1,243 NA
Hudson.......................... 19,250 625 196 1,582 NA
Hunterdon....................... 18 391 163 123 NA
Mercer.......................... 14,379 450 264 501 NA
Middlesex....................... 504 689 590 612 NA
Monmouth........................ 55 510 453 929 NA
Morris.......................... 52 798 403 276 NA
Ocean........................... 38 652 290 216 NA
Passaic......................... 26 494 231 223 NA
Salem........................... 4,590 156 85 673 NA
Somerset........................ 41 273 250 180 NA
Sussex.......................... 0 566 98 69 NA
Union........................... 1,253 602 321 1,680 NA
Warren.......................... 101 345 134 63 NA
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total in State.............. 61,231 10,876 5,793 16,772 NA
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

B. 2009 Projection Year Inventory

New Jersey included in its submittal 2009 projection year
inventories with post-2002 controls showing that future emissions will
be less than 5 percent of those contained in the 2002 base year
emissions inventory. Annual PM_2.5 and NO_X point,
area, nonroad mobile and onroad mobile emissions were projected from
2002 base year to 2009. New Jersey did so using the appropriate growth
factors and methodologies, in a manner acceptable to EPA.
The development of the projection year inventory involved several
methodologies depending on the source category in question. This
depended heavily upon what type of indicator was considered to have a
significant impact on emissions. In all cases mentioned

[[Page 26909]]

below, the 2002 emissions were grown to the 2009 projection year:
1. Major point sources were grown using growth factors from EPA
EGAS model version 4.0 for all point sources except those that combust
fuel. For combustion sources, projection data were obtained from the
Annual Energy Outlook report produced by the U.S. Department of
Energy's (DOE) Energy Information Administration (EIA).
2. Area sources were grown using growth factors from EPA EGAS model
version 4.0 for all area sources except those that combust fuel. For
combustion sources, projection data were obtained from the Annual
Energy Outlook report produced by the DOE-EIA.
3. Nonroad mobile source emissions were developed by conducting
independent runs for 2009 emission inventories by using the NONROAD
2004 emissions model.
4. Aircraft emissions were developed for 2002 using landings and
take offs (LTO) operation numbers for each aircraft type into the
Emissions and Dispersion Modeling Systems for NO_X emissions,
and PM_2.5 emission factors were used with LTO data to
estimate PM_2.5 annual emissions. Growth factors from FAA
database based on future flight operations were used to project
emissions from 2002 to 2009.
5. Commercial Marine Vessels (CMV) emissions were grown from 2002-
2009 based on an extensive review of historical trends in the different
types of CMV calling in on the Northern New Jersey ports to project CMV
growth. This information was obtained from the Maritime Association of
the Port of New York and New Jersey.
6. Calendar year 2009 onroad mobile source emission factor data
were generated from the Mobile 6.2.03 model. Emission factors from the
model were then applied to actual and projected VMT and fleet
distribution data based on annual or projection measurements of VMT
taken from the Transportation Demand Model and Highway Performance
Monitoring System from the North Jersey Transportation Planning
Authority and Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission.
EPA finds the methodologies for all sources to be acceptable in
accordance with EPA guidance for inventory budget planning purposes.
A summary of the 2009 annual PM_2.5 and NO_X
emissions in the New Jersey portion of the New York-Northern New
Jersey-Long Island NY-NJ-CT PM_2.5 nonattainment area is
found in section V. of this notice. A more detailed discussion of how
the 2009 emission inventory was reviewed and the results are presented
in the technical support document.

VIII. Conclusions

EPA has evaluated New Jersey's submittals for consistency with the
Act and Agency regulations and policy. EPA is proposing to approve New
Jersey's CO limited maintenance plan because it meets the requirements
set forth in section 175A of the Act and continues to demonstrate that
the NAAQS for CO will continue to be met for the next ten years. EPA is
proposing to approve the revisions to the CO, NO_X, VOC, and
PM_2.5 motor vehicle emissions budgets for Northern New
Jersey. Finally, this notice also proposes to approve revisions to the
general conformity budget for McGuire Air Force Base and the 2002 base
year emission inventories.
Note that New Jersey will be submitting additional information on
the emission inventories. EPA will consider all information submitted
prior to any final rulemaking action as a supplement or amendment to
the February 21, 2006 submittal.
EPA views the SIP revisions proposed in today's proposal as
separable actions. This means that if EPA receives adverse comments on
particular portions of this notice and not on other portions, EPA may
choose not to take final action at the same time in a single notice on
all of these SIP revisions. Instead, EPA may choose to take final
action on these SIP revisions in separate notices.
Interested parties may participate in the Federal rulemaking
procedure by submitting written comments to the EPA Region 2 Office by
one of the methods discussed in the ADDRESSES section of this action.

IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

Under Executive Order 12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993), this
proposed action is not a ``significant regulatory action'' and
therefore is not subject to review by the Office of Management and
Budget. For this reason, this action is also not subject to Executive
Order 13211, ``Actions Concerning Regulations That Significantly Affect
Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use'' (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001). This
proposed action merely proposes to approve state law as meeting Federal
requirements and imposes no additional requirements beyond those
imposed by state law. Accordingly, the Administrator certifies that
this proposed rule will not have a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.). Because this rule proposes to approve pre-
existing requirements under state law and does not impose any
additional enforceable duty beyond that required by state law, it does
not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or uniquely affect
small governments, as described in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of
1995 (Pub. L. 104-4).
This proposed rule also does not have tribal implications because
it will not have a substantial direct effect on one or more Indian
tribes, on the relationship between the Federal Government and Indian
tribes, or on the distribution of power and responsibilities between
the Federal Government and Indian tribes, as specified by Executive
Order 13175 (59 FR 22951, November 9, 2000). This action also does not
have Federalism implications because it does not have substantial
direct effects on the States, on the relationship between the national
government and the States, or on the distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various levels of government, as specified
in Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999). This action
merely proposes to approve a state rule implementing a Federal
standard, and does not alter the relationship or the distribution of
power and responsibilities established in the Clean Air Act. This proposed
rule also is not subject to Executive Order 13045 ``Protection of Children
from Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks'' (62 FR 19885, April 23,
1997), because it is not economically significant.
In reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state
choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the Clean Air Act. In
this context, in the absence of a prior existing requirement for the
State to use voluntary consensus standards (VCS), EPA has no authority
to disapprove a SIP submission for failure to use VCS. It would thus be
inconsistent with applicable law for EPA, when it reviews a SIP
submission, to use VCS in place of a SIP submission that otherwise
satisfies the provisions of the Clean Air Act. Thus, the requirements
of section 12(d) of the National Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) do not apply. This proposed rule does
not impose an information collection burden under the provisions of the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.).

List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52

Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Carbon monoxide,
Intergovernmental relations, Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting and

[[Page 26910]]

recordkeeping requirements, Volatile organic compounds.

Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.

Dated: April 28, 2006.
Alan J. Steinberg,
Regional Administrator, Region 2.
[FR Doc. 06-4287 Filed 5-8-06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P

Notices For
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994

Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Carbon Monoxide Maintenance Plan, Conformity Budgets, Emissions Inventories; State of New Jersey

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