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Energy Conservation Program: Energy Conservation Standards and Test Procedures for General Service Fluorescent Lamps and Incandescent Reflector Lamps

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[Federal Register: July 14, 2009 (Volume 74, Number 133)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Page 34079-34128]
From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov]
[DOCID:fr14jy09-10]
[[Page 34080]]

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DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
10 CFR Part 430
[Docket Number EE-2006-STD-0131]
RIN 1904-AA92

Energy Conservation Program: Energy Conservation Standards and
Test Procedures for General Service Fluorescent Lamps and Incandescent
Reflector Lamps

AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of Energy.
ACTION: Final rule.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: The Department of Energy (DOE) is announcing that pursuant to
the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA), it is amending the
energy conservation standards for certain general service fluorescent
lamps and incandescent reflector lamps. DOE is also adopting new energy
conservation standards and amendments to its test procedures for
certain general service fluorescent lamps not currently covered by
standards. Additionally, DOE is amending the definitions of certain
terms found in the general provisions. It has determined that energy
conservation standards for these products would result in significant
conservation of energy, and are technologically feasible and
economically justified.

DATES: The effective date of this rule is September 14, 2009.
Compliance with the standards established in today's final rule is
required starting on July 14, 2012. The incorporation by reference of
certain publications listed in this rule was approved by the Director
of the Federal Register on September 14, 2009.

ADDRESSES: For access to the docket to read background documents, the
technical support document, transcripts of the public meetings in this
proceeding, or comments received, visit the U.S. Department of Energy,
Resource Room of the Building Technologies Program, 950 L'Enfant Plaza,
SW., 6th Floor, Washington, DC 20024, (202) 586-2945, between 9 a.m.
and 4 p.m., Monday through Friday, except Federal holidays. Please call
Ms. Brenda Edwards at the above telephone number for additional
information regarding visiting the Resource Room. You may also obtain
copies of certain previous rulemaking documents in this proceeding
(i.e., framework document, advance notice of proposed rulemaking,
notice of proposed rulemaking), draft analyses, public meeting
materials, and related test procedure documents from the Office of
Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy's Web site at: 
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/residential/
incandescent_lamps.html.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
    Ms. Linda Graves, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy
Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies Program, EE-2J,
1000 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121. Telephone:
(202) 586-1851. E-mail: Linda.Graves@ee.doe.gov.
    Mr. Eric Stas, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the General
Counsel, GC-72, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20585-
0121. Telephone: (202) 586-9507. E-mail: Eric.Stas@hq.doe.gov.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Table of Contents

I. Summary of the Final Rule
    A. The Standard Levels
    B. Current Federal Standards for General Service Fluorescent
Lamps and Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    C. Benefits and Burdens to Purchasers of General Service
Fluorescent Lamps and Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    D. Impact on Manufacturers
    E. National Benefits
    F. Conclusion
II. Introduction
    A. Authority
    B. Background
    1. Current Standards
    2. History of Standards Rulemaking for General Service
Fluorescent Lamps, Incandescent Reflector Lamps, and General Service
Incandescent Lamps
III. Issues Affecting the Scope of This Rulemaking
    A. Additional General Service Fluorescent Lamps for Which DOE is
Adopting Standards
    1. Scope of EPCA Requirement that DOE Consider Standards for Additional Lamps
    2. Determination of the Additional Lamps to Which Standards Will Apply
    a. Four-Foot Medium Bipin Lamps
    b. Two-Foot Medium Bipin, U-Shaped Lamps
    c. Eight-Foot Recessed, Double-Contact Lamps
    d. Eight-Foot Single Pin Slimline Lamps
    e. Very High Output Straight-Shaped Lamps
    f. T5 Lamps
    g. Various Other Fluorescent Lamps
    3. Summary of GSFL for Which DOE Has Adopted Standards
    B. Incandescent Reflector Lamp Scope of Coverage
    1. Covered Wattage Range
    2. Exempted Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    3. Museum Lighting
    C. Amended Definitions
    1. ``Rated Wattage''
    2. ``Colored Fluorescent Lamp''
    D. Off Mode and Standby Mode Energy Consumption Standards
    E. Color Rendering Index Standards for General Service
Fluorescent Lamps
IV. General Discussion
    A. Test Procedures
    B. Technological Feasibility
    1. General
    2. Maximum Technologically Feasible Levels
    C. Energy Savings
    D. Economic Justification
    1. Specific Criteria
    a. Economic Impact on Consumers and Manufacturers
    b. Life-Cycle Costs
    c. Energy Savings
    d. Lessening of Utility or Performance of Products
    e. Impact of Any Lessening of Competition
    f. Need of the Nation To Conserve Energy
    g. Other Factors
    2. Rebuttable Presumption
V. Methodology and Discussion of Comments on Methodology
    A. Market and Technology Assessment
    1. Product Classes
    a. General Service Fluorescent Lamps
    i. Modified-Spectrum Fluorescent Lamps
    ii. 25 Watt 4-Foot MBP Lamps
    iii. Summary of GSFL Product Classes
    b. Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    i. Modified-Spectrum Lamps
    ii. Lamp Diameter
    iii. Voltage
    iv. IRL Summary
    B. Engineering Analysis
    1. Approach
    2. Representative Product Classes
    3. Baseline Models
    4. Efficacy Levels
    a. GSFL Compliance Reports
    b. 4-Foot MiniBP Efficacy Levels
    c. IRL Manufacturing Variability
    5. Scaling to Product Classes Not Analyzed
    a. 2-Foot U-Shaped Lamps
    b. Lamps With Higher CCTs
    c. Modified Spectrum IRL
    d. Small Diameter IRL
    e. IRL With Rated Voltages Greater Than or Equal to 125 Volts
    C. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Analysis
    1. Consumer Product Price
    2. Sales Tax
    3. Annual Operating Hours
    4. Electricity Prices and Electricity Price Trends
    5. Ballast Lifetime
    6. Lamp Lifetime
    7. Discount Rates
    8. Residential Fluorescent Lamp Analysis
    9. Rebuttable Payback Period Presumption
    D. National Impact Analysis--National Energy Savings and Net
Present Value Analysis
    1. Overview of NIA Changes in This Notice
    2. Shipments Analysis
    3. Macroeconomic Effects on Growth
    4. Reflector Market Growth
    5. Penetration of R-CFLs and Emerging Technologies
    6. Building Codes
    7. GSFL Shipments Growth
    8. Residential Installed GSFL Stock
    9. GSFL Lighting Expertise Scenarios
    10. IRL Product Substitution Scenarios
    11. Discount Rates
    E. Consumer Sub-Group Analysis
    F. Manufacturer Impact Analysis

[[Page 34081]]

    G. Employment Impact Analysis
    H. Utility Impact Analysis
    I. Environmental Assessment
    J. Monetizing Carbon Dioxide and Other Emissions Impacts
VI. Discussion of Other Key Issues and Comments
    A. Sign Industry Impacts
    B. Max-Tech IRL
    1. Treatment of Proprietary Technologies
    2. Other Technologies
    a. High-Efficiency IR Coatings
    b. Silverized Reflectors
    c. Integrally-Ballasted Low-Voltage IRL
    3. Lamp Lifetime
    C. IRL Lifetime
    1. Baseline Lifetime Scenario
    2. Minimum Lamp Lifetime Requirement
    3. 6,000-Hour-Lifetime Lamps
    D. Impact on Competition
    1. Manufacturers
    2. Suppliers
    E. Xenon
    F. IRL Hot Shock
    G. Rare Earth Phosphors
    H. Product and Performance Feature Availability
    1. Dimming Functionality
    2. GSFL Product Availability
    I. Alternative Standard Scenarios
    1. Tiered Standard
    2. Delayed Effective Date
    3. Residential Exemption
    4. Conclusions Regarding Alternative Standard Scenarios
    J. Benefits and Burdens
VII. Analytical Results and Conclusions
    A. Trial Standard Levels
    1. General Service Fluorescent Lamps
    2. Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    B. Significance of Energy Savings
    C. Economic Justification
    1. Economic Impact on Consumers
    a. Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period
    i. General Service Fluorescent Lamps
    ii. Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    b. Consumer Subgroup Analysis
    2. Economic Impact on Manufacturers
    a. Industry Cash-Flow Analysis Results for the IRL Lifetime
Sensitivity
    b. Cumulative Regulatory Burden
    c. Impacts on Employment
    d. Impacts on Manufacturing Capacity
    e. Impacts on Manufacturers That Are Small Businesses
    3. National Net Present Value and Net National Employment
    4. Impact on Utility or Performance of Products
    5. Impact of Any Lessening of Competition
    6. Need of the Nation To Conserve Energy
    7. Other Factors
    D. Conclusion
    1. General Service Fluorescent Lamps Conclusion
    a. Trial Standard Level 5
    b. Trial Standard Level 4
    2. Incandescent Reflector Lamps Conclusion
    a. Trial Standard Level 5
    b. Trial Standard Level 4
VIII. Procedural Issues and Regulatory Review
    A. Review Under Executive Order 12866
    B. Review Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act
    C. Review Under the Paperwork Reduction Act
    D. Review Under the National Environmental Policy Act
    E. Review Under Executive Order 13132
    F. Review Under Executive Order 12988
    G. Review Under the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995
    H. Review Under the Treasury and General Government
Appropriations Act of 1999
    I. Review Under Executive Order 12630
    J. Review Under the Treasury and General Government
Appropriations Act of 2001
    K. Review Under Executive Order 13211
    L. Review Under the Information Quality Bulletin for Peer Review
    M. Congressional Notification
IX. Approval of the Office of the Secretary

Acronyms and Abbreviations

ACEEE American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
ACG Applied Coatings Group
ADLT Advanced Lighting Technologies, Inc.
AEO Annual Energy Outlook
ANOPR advance notice of proposed rulemaking
ANSI American National Standards Institute
ASAP Appliance Standards Awareness Project
BEF ballast efficacy factor
BF ballast factor
BR bulged reflector (reflector lamp shape)
BT Building Technologies Program
Btu British thermal units
CAIR Clean Air Interstate Rule
CAMR Clean Air Mercury Rule
CBECS Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey
CCT correlated color temperature
CEC California Energy Commission
CEE Consortium for Energy Efficiency
CFR Code of Federal Regulations
CFL compact fluorescent lamp
CIE International Commission on Illumination
CO2 carbon dioxide
CRI color rendering index
CSL candidate standard level
DOE U.S. Department of Energy
DOJ U.S. Department of Justice
E26 Medium screw-base (incandescent lamp base type)
EEI Edison Electric Institute
EIA Energy Information Administration
EISA 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
EL efficacy level
E.O. Executive Order
EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EPACT 1992 Energy Policy Act of 1992
EPACT 2005 Energy Policy Act of 2005
EPCA Energy Policy and Conservation Act
ER elliptical reflector (reflector lamp shape)
EU European Union
EuP Energy-Using Product
FEMP Federal Energy Management Program
FR Federal Register
FTC U.S. Federal Trade Commission
GE General Electric Lighting and Industrial
GRIM Government Regulatory Impact Model
GSFL general service fluorescent lamp
GSIL general service incandescent lamp
GW gigawatt
Hg mercury
HID high-intensity discharge
HIR halogen infrared reflector
HO high output
HVAC heating, ventilating and air-conditioning
IALD International Association of Lighting Designers
IESNA Illuminating Engineering Society of North America
ImSET Impact of Sector Energy Technologies
INPV industry net present value
IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
I-O input-output
IR infrared
IRL incandescent reflector lamp
K Kelvin
kt kilotons
LCC life-cycle cost
LED light-emitting diode
lm lumens
LMC U.S. Lighting Market Characterization Volume I
lm/W lumens per watt
MBP medium bipin
MECS Manufacturer Energy Consumption Survey (MECS)
MIA manufacturer impact analysis
miniBP miniature bipin
MMt million metric tons
Mt metric tons
MW megawatts
NAICS North American Industry Classification System
NEEP Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnership
NEMA National Electrical Manufacturers Association
NEMS National Energy Modeling System
NEMS-BT National Energy Modeling System--Building Technologies
NES national energy savings
NIA national impact analysis
NIST National Institute of Standards and Technology
NOPR notice of proposed rulemaking
NOX nitrogen oxides
NPV net present value
NRDC Natural Resources Defense Council
NVLAP National Voluntary Laboratory Accreditation Program
OEM original equipment manufacturer
OIRA Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs
OMB U.S. Office of Management and Budget
PAR parabolic aluminized reflector (reflector lamp shape)
PBP payback period
PG&E Pacific Gas and Electric
PSI Product Stewardship Institute
quad quadrillion (1015) Btu
R reflector (reflector lamp shape)
R-CFL reflector compact fluorescent lamp
R&D research and development
RDC recessed double contact
RECS Residential Energy Consumption Survey
RIA regulatory impact analysis
SBA U.S. Small Business Administration
SO standard output
SO2 sulfur dioxide
SP single pin

[[Page 34082]]

T5, T8, T10, T12 tubular fluorescent lamps, diameters of 0.625, 1,
1.25 or 1.5 inches, respectively
TSD technical support document
TSL trial standard level
TWh terawatt-hour
UMRA Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
U.S.C. United States Code
UV ultraviolet
V volts
VHO very high output
W watts

I. Summary of the Final Rule

A. The Standard Levels

    The Energy Policy and Conservation Act, as amended (42 U.S.C. 6291
et seq.; EPCA), provides that any new or amended energy conservation
standard that the Department of Energy prescribes for covered consumer
and/or commercial products, including general service fluorescent lamps
(GSFL) and incandescent reflector lamps (IRL), must be designed to
``achieve the maximum improvement in energy efficiency * * * which the
Secretary determines is technologically feasible and economically
justified.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A)) Furthermore, the new or amended
standard must ``result in significant conservation of energy.'' (42
U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(B)) The energy conservation standards in today's
final rule, which apply to certain types of types of GSFL and IRL,
satisfy these requirements, as well as all other applicable statutory
provisions discussed in this notice.
    Table I.1 and Table I.2 present the energy conservation standard
levels DOE is adopting today. These standards will apply to GSFL and
IRL listed in those tables that are manufactured for sale in the United
States, or imported into the United States, on or after July 14, 2012.

  Table I.1--Summary of the Amended Energy Conservations Standards for
                    General Service Fluorescent Lamps
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Energy
           Lamp type               Correlated color       conservation
                                     temperature        standard  (lm/W)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-Foot Medium Bipin...........  <=4,500K.............                 89
                                >4,500K and <=7,000K.                 88
2-Foot U-Shaped...............  <=4,500K.............                 84
                                >4,500K and <=7,000K.                 81
8-Foot Slimline...............  <=4,500K.............                 97
                                >4,500K and <=7,000K.                 93
8-Foot High Output............  <=4,500K.............                 92
                                >4,500K and <=7,000K.                 88
4-Foot Miniature Bipin          <=4,500K.............                 86
 Standard Output.
                                >4,500K and <=7,000K.                 81
4-Foot Miniature Bipin High     <=4,500K.............                 76
 Output.
                                >4,500K and <=7,000K.                 72
------------------------------------------------------------------------


            Table I.2--Summary of the Energy Conservation Standards for Incandescent Reflector Lamps
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                     Energy
            Lamp wattage                     Lamp type            Diameter         Voltage        conservation
                                                                  (inches)                      standard  (lm/W)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40W-205W............................  Standard Spectrum......            >2.5           >=125          6.8*P0.27
                                                                                         <125          5.9*P0.27
                                                                        <=2.5           >=125          5.7*P0.27
                                                                                         <125          5.0*P0.27
40W-205W............................  Modified Spectrum......            >2.5           >=125          5.8*P0.27
                                                                                         <125          5.0*P0.27
                                                                        <=2.5           >=125          4.9*P0.27
                                                                                         <125          4.2*P0.27
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note 1: P is equal to the rated lamp wattage, in watts.
Note 2: Standard Spectrum means any incandescent reflector lamp that does not meet the definition of ``modified
  spectrum'' in 430.2.

B. Current Federal Standards for General Service Fluorescent Lamps and
Incandescent Reflector Lamps

    Table I.3 and Table I.4 present the current statutorily-prescribed
Federal energy conservation standards for GSFL and IRL. The standards
set requirements for minimum efficacy and color rendering index (CRI)
levels for certain GSFL, and minimum efficacy levels for certain IRL.
(42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1); 10 CFR 430.32(n))

                                    Table I.3--EPCA Standard Levels for GSFL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                Nominal lamp                    Minimum average
                          Lamp type                                wattage       Minimum CRI    efficacy (lm/W)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-Foot Medium Bipin..........................................            >35W              69               75.0
                                                                        <=35W              45               75.0
2-Foot U-Shaped..............................................            >35W              69               68.0
                                                                        <=35W              45               64.0
8-Foot Slimline..............................................            >65W              69               80.0
                                                                        <=65W              45               80.0

[[Page 34083]]


8-Foot High Output...........................................           >100W              69               80.0
                                                                       <=100W              45               80.0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                 Table I.4--EPCA Standard Levels for IRL
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Minimum
                                                              average
                         Wattage                          efficacy  (lm/
                                                                W)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
40-50...................................................            10.5
51-66...................................................            11.0
67-85...................................................            12.5
86-115..................................................            14.0
116-155.................................................            14.5
156-205.................................................            15.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------

C. Benefits and Burdens to Purchasers of General Service Fluorescent
Lamps and Incandescent Reflector Lamps

    In the April 2009 notice of proposed rulemaking (NOPR), DOE
considered the impacts on consumers of several trial standard levels
(TSLs) related to the efficiency of GSFL and IRL. 74 FR 16920 (April
13, 2009). In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE tentatively concluded that the
economic impacts on most consumers (i.e., the average life-cycle cost
(LCC) savings) of amended standards for GSFL and IRL would be positive.
DOE has reached the same conclusion in today's final rule, as explained
below.
    The economic impacts on consumers, i.e., the average life-cycle
cost savings, are generally positive in this final rule. DOE's analyses
indicate that on average residential and commercial consumers would see
benefits from the proposed standards. DOE expects that under the
standards presented in this final rule, the purchase price of high-
efficacy GSFL would be higher (up to thirteen times higher, including
the purchase of new lamps and a new ballast) than the average price of
these products today; the energy efficiency gains, however, would
result in lower energy costs that more than offset such higher costs
for the majority of consumers analyzed in this final rule. When the
potential savings due to efficiency gains are summed over the lifetime
of the high-efficacy products, consumers would be expected to save up
to $67.06 (depending on the lamp type), on average, compared to their
expenditures over the lives of today's baseline GSFL. The results of
DOE's analyses for IRL follow a similar pattern. Although DOE expects
the purchase price of the higher-efficacy IRL to be 47 to 64 percent
higher than the average price of these products today, the energy
efficiency gains would result in lower energy costs that more than
offset the higher costs for the majority of consumers analyzed in this
final rule. When these potential savings due to efficiency gains are
summed over the lifetime of the higher-efficacy IRL, it is estimated
that consumers would save up to $7.95 per lamp (depending on the
wattage and operating sector), on average, compared to their
expenditures over the lives of today's baseline IRL.

D. Impact on Manufacturers

    Using a real corporate discount rate of 10.0 percent, DOE estimates
the net present value (NPV) of the GSFL and IRL industries to be $527-
639 million and $221-301 million in 2008$, respectively. DOE expects
the impact of today's standards on the industry net present value
(INPV) of manufacturers of GSFL to be between a 0.6 percent loss and a
30.7 percent loss (-$4 million to -$162 million), and between a 6.8
percent loss and a 44.4 percent loss (-$21 million to -$98 million) for
IRL manufacturers. Based on DOE's interviews with GSFL and IRL
manufacturers, DOE expects minimal plant closings or loss of employment
as a result of the standards.

E. National Benefits

    DOE estimates the GSFL standards will save approximately 3.83 to
9.94 quads (quadrillion (10\15\) British thermal units (Btu)) of energy
over 30 years (2012-2042). Over the same time period, DOE estimates IRL
standards will save approximately 0.94 to 2.39 quads. By 2042, DOE
expects the energy savings from the GSFL and IRL standards to eliminate
the need for approximately 1.8 to 6.2 and 0.2 to 1.1 gigawatts of
generating capacity, respectively.
    These energy savings from GSFL will result in cumulative
(undiscounted) greenhouse gas emission reductions of 175 to 488 million
tons (Mt) of carbon dioxide (CO2); for IRL, DOE estimates
these reductions will be 44 to 106 million tons (Mt) of CO2.
Cumulative for GSFL and IRL, DOE estimates that the range of the
monetized value of CO2 emission reductions is between $0.2
billion to $24.8 billion, at a 7-percent discount rate, and between
$0.5 billion to $49.8 billion at a 3-percent discount rate. The mid-
range of the CO2 value (using $33 per ton) is $3.9 to $10.2
billion and $7.6 to $20.6 billion at 7-percent and 3-percent discount
rates, respectively.
    Additionally, the GSFL standards will help alleviate air pollution
by resulting in between approximately 11,000 to 36,780 tons (11.0 and
36.8 kilotons (kt)) of nitrogen oxides (NOX) cumulative
emission reductions from 2012 through 2042; the IRL standards will
result in NOX cumulative emission reductions of 6.4 to 8.4
kt. Mercury (Hg) cumulative emissions reductions over the same time
period will be reduced by up to 7.3 metric tons due to GSFL standards
and 1.65 metric tons from IRL standards. The monetized values of these
emissions reductions, cumulative for both GSFL and IRL, are estimated
at $6.0 to $131.5 million for NOX and up to $82.6 million
for Hg at a 7-percent discount rate. Using a 3-percent discount rate,
the monetized values of these emission reductions are $6.9 to $162.3
million for NOX and up to $153.7 million for Hg.
    The national NPV of the GSFL and IRL standards is between $10.02
and $26.31 billion and $1.83 and $9.06 billion, respectively, using a
7-percent discount rate cumulative from 2012 to 2042 in 2008$. Using a
3-percent discount rate, the national NPV of the GSFL and IRL standards
is between $21.84 and $53.53 billion and $3.78 and $17.81 billion,
respectively, cumulative from 2012 to 2042 in 2008$. This is the
estimated total value of future savings minus the estimated increased
costs of purchasing GSFL and IRL, discounted to 2009.
    The benefits and costs of today's final rule can also be expressed
in terms of annualized 2008$ values over the forecast period 2012
through 2042. Using a 7-percent discount rate for the annualized cost
analysis, the cost of the standards established in today's final rule
is $700 million per year in increased product and installation costs,
while the annualized benefits are $2.95 billion per year in reduced
product operating costs. Using a 3-percent discount rate, the cost of
the standards established in today's final rule is $531 million per
year, while the benefits of today's standards are $3.12 billion per
year. The following tables depict these annualized benefits and costs
for the adopted standards for GSFL and IRL.

[[Page 34084]]



                                                    Table I.5--Annualized Benefits and Costs for GSFL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                                                  Units
                                                                                                                ----------------------------------------
              Category                    Primary estimate           Low estimate            High estimate                         Disc       Period
                                                                                                                  Year  dollars    (%)        covered
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                        Benefits
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Annualized Monetized $millions/year.  2302...................  1329...................  3275...................            2008        7              31
                                      2420...................  1387...................  3452...................            2008        3              31
Annualized Quantified...............  10.48 CO2 (Mt).........  5.76 CO2 (Mt)..........  15.2 CO2 (Mt)..........  ..............        7              31
                                      1.78 NOX (kt)..........  1.03 NOX (kt)..........  2.54 NOX (kt)..........  ..............        7              31
                                      0.11 Hg (t)............  0 Hg (t)...............  0.22 Hg (t)............  ..............        7              31
                                      10.6 CO2 (Mt)..........  5.69 CO2 (Mt)..........  15.52 CO2 (Mt).........  ..............        3              31
                                      1.19 NOX (kt)..........  0.63 NOX (kt)..........  1.76 NOX (kt)..........  ..............        3              31
                                      0.11 Hg (t)............  0 Hg (t)...............  0.23 Hg (t)............  ..............        3              31
Qualitative
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                          Costs
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Annualized Monetized $millions/year.  582....................  378....................  786....................            2008        7              31
                                      425....................  230....................  621....................            2008        3              31
Qualitative
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                   Net Benefits/Costs
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Annualized Monetized $millions/year.  1720...................  951....................  2489...................            2008        7              31
                                      1994...................  1158...................  2831...................            2008        3              31
Qualitative
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                                                    Table I.6--Annualized Benefits and Costs for IRL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                                                  Units
                                                                                                                ----------------------------------------
              Category                    Primary estimate           Low estimate            High estimate                         Disc       Period
                                                                                                                  Year  dollars    (%)        covered
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                        Benefits
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Annualized Monetized $millions/year.  650....................  406....................  894....................            2008        7              31
                                      696....................  424....................  968....................            2008        3              31
Annualized Quantified...............  2.39 CO2 (Mt)..........  1.51 CO2 (Mt)..........  3.28 CO2 (Mt)..........  ..............        7              31
                                      0.51 NOX (kt)..........  0.45 NOX (kt)..........  0.58 NOX (kt)..........  ..............        7              31
                                      0.02 Hg (t)............  0 Hg (t)...............  0.05 Hg (t)............  ..............        7              31
                                      2.4 CO2 (Mt)...........  1.45 CO2 (Mt)..........  3.35 CO2 (Mt)..........  ..............        3              31
                                      0.35 NOX (kt)..........  0.31 NOX (kt)..........  0.4 NOX (kt)...........  ..............        3              31
                                      0.02 Hg (t)............  0 Hg (t)...............  0.05 Hg (t)............  ..............        3              31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                          Costs
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Annualized Monetized $millions/year.  118....................  227....................  9......................            2008        7              31
                                      106....................  218....................  -6.....................            2008        3              31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qualitative
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                   Net Benefits/Costs
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Annualized Monetized $millions/year.  532....................  179....................  885....................            2008        7              31
                                      590....................  207....................  973....................            2008        3              31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

F. Conclusion

    DOE has evaluated the benefits (energy savings, consumer LCC
savings, positive national NPV, and emissions reductions) to the Nation
of today's new and amended energy conservation standards for certain
GSFL and IRL, as well as the costs (loss of manufacturer INPV and
consumer LCC increases for some users of GSFL and IRL). Based upon all
available information, DOE has determined that the benefits to the
Nation of the standards for GSFL and IRL outweigh their costs. Today's
standards also represent the maximum improvement in energy efficiency
that is technologically feasible and economically justified, and will
result

[[Page 34085]]

in significant energy savings. At present, GSFL and IRL that meet the
new standard levels are commercially available.

II. Introduction

A. Authority

    Title III of EPCA sets forth a variety of provisions designed to
improve energy efficiency. Part A\1\ of Title III (42 U.S.C. 6291-6309)
provides for the Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products
Other Than Automobiles. The program covers consumer products and
certain commercial products (all of which are referred to hereafter as
``covered products''), including GSFL and IRL. (42 U.S.C. 6292(a)(14)
and 6292(i)) DOE publishes today's final rule pursuant to Part A of
Title III, which provides for test procedures, labeling, and energy
conservation standards for GSFL and IRL and certain other types of
products, and authorizes DOE to require information and reports from
manufacturers. The test procedures for GSFL and IRL appear at title 10
of the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) part 430, subpart B, appendix
R.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ This part was originally titled Part B; however, it was
redesignated Part A after Part B was repealed by Public Law 109-58.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The scope of coverage of these provisions for GSFL and IRL is
dictated by EPCA's definitions of these and related terms, as further
discussed below. EPCA defines ``general service fluorescent lamp'' as
follows:

* * * [F]luorescent lamps which can be used to satisfy the majority
of fluorescent applications, but does not include any lamp designed
and marketed for the following non-general lighting applications:
    (i) Fluorescent lamps designed to promote plant growth.
    (ii) Fluorescent lamps specifically designed for cold
temperature installations.
    (iii) Colored fluorescent lamps.
    (iv) Impact-resistant fluorescent lamps.
    (v) Reflectorized or aperture lamps.
    (vi) Fluorescent lamps designed for use in reprographic
equipment.
    (vii) Lamps primarily designed to produce radiation in the
ultra-violet region of the spectrum.
    (viii) Lamps with a color rendering index of 87 or greater.

(42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(B))

    EPCA defines ``incandescent reflector lamp'' as follows:

* * * [A] lamp in which light is produced by a filament heated to
incandescence by an electric current * * * [and] (commonly referred
to as a reflector lamp) which is not colored or designed for rough
or vibration service applications, that contains an inner reflective
coating on the outer bulb to direct the light, an R, PAR, ER, BR,
BPAR, or similar bulb shapes with E26 medium screw bases, a rated
voltage or voltage range that lies at least partially within 115 and
130 volts, a diameter which exceeds 2.25 inches, and has a rated
wattage that is 40 watts or higher.

(42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(C), (C)(ii) and (F))

    EPCA further clarifies this definition of IRL by defining lamp
types excluded from the definition, including ``rough service lamp,''
``vibration service lamp,'' and ``colored incandescent lamp.'' (42
U.S.C. 6291(30)(X), (AA), and (EE)) EPCA prescribes specific energy
conservation standards for certain GSFL and IRL. (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1))
The statute further directs DOE to conduct two cycles of rulemakings to
determine whether to amend these standards, and to initiate a
rulemaking to determine whether to adopt standards for additional types
of GSFL. (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(3)-(5)) This rulemaking represents the
first round of amendments to the GSFL and IRL energy conservation
standards as directed by 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(3), and it also implements
the requirement for DOE to consider energy conservation standards for
additional GSFL under 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5). The advance notice of
proposed rulemaking (ANOPR) in this proceeding, 73 FR 13620, 13622,
13625, 13628-29 (March 13, 2008) (the March 2008 ANOPR), the notice of
proposed rulemaking (NOPR) in this proceeding, 74 FR 16920, 16924-26
(April 13, 2009) (the April 2009 NOPR), and subsections II.B.2 and
III.B.2 below provide additional detail on the nature and statutory
history of EPCA's requirements for GSFL and IRL.
    EPCA provides criteria for prescribing new or amended standards for
covered products, including GSFL and IRL. As indicated above, any such
new or amended standard must be designed to achieve the maximum
improvement in energy efficiency that is technologically feasible and
economically justified. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A)) Further, DOE may not
prescribe an amended or new standard if DOE determines by rule that
such standard would not result in ``significant conservation of
energy,'' or ``is not technologically feasible or economically
justified.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(B)) Additionally, DOE may not
prescribe an amended or new standard for any GSFL or IRL for which DOE
has not established a test procedure. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(A))
    EPCA also provides that in deciding whether such a standard is
economically justified for covered products, DOE must, after receiving
comments on the proposed standard, determine whether the benefits of
the standard exceed its burdens by considering, to the greatest extent
practicable, the following seven factors:
    (1) The economic impact of the standard on manufacturers and
consumers of the products subject to the standard;
    (2) The savings in operating costs throughout the estimated average
life of products in the type (or class) compared to any increase in the
price, initial charges, or maintenance expenses for the covered
products that are likely to result from the imposition of the standard;
    (3) The total projected amount of energy savings likely to result
directly from the imposition of the standard;
    (4) Any lessening of the utility or the performance of the covered
products likely to result from the imposition of the standard;
    (5) The impact of any lessening of competition, as determined in
writing by the Attorney General, that is likely to result from the
imposition of the standard;
    (6) The need for national energy conservation; and
    (7) Other factors the Secretary considers relevant.

(42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i))

    In addition under (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(iii)), EPCA, as amended,
establishes a rebuttable presumption that a standard for covered
products is economically justified if the Secretary finds that ``the
additional cost to the consumer of purchasing a product complying with
an energy conservation standard level will be less than three times the
value of the energy, and as applicable, water, savings during the first
year that the consumer will receive as a result of the standard, as
calculated under the test procedure * * *'' in place for that standard.
    EPCA also contains what is commonly known as an ``anti-
backsliding'' provision. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(1)) This provision mandates
that the Secretary not prescribe any amended standard that either
increases the maximum allowable energy use or decreases the minimum
required energy efficiency of a covered product. EPCA further provides
that the Secretary may not prescribe an amended or new standard if
interested persons have established by a preponderance of the evidence
that the standard is ``likely to result in the unavailability in the
United States of any product type (or class) with performance
characteristics (including reliability), features, sizes, capacities,
and volumes that are substantially the same as those generally
available in the United States * * *.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(4))

[[Page 34086]]

    Section 325(q)(1) of EPCA sets forth additional requirements
applicable to promulgating standards for any type or class of covered
product that has two or more subcategories. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(1))
Under this provision, DOE must specify a different standard level than
that which applies generally to such type or class of product ``for any
group of covered products which have the same function or intended use,
if * * * products within such group--(A) consume a different kind of
energy from that consumed by other covered products within such type
(or class); or (B) have a capacity or other performance-related feature
which other products within such type (or class) do not have and such
feature justifies a higher or lower standard'' than applies or will
apply to the other products. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(1)(A) and (B)) In
determining whether a performance-related feature justifies such a
different standard for a group of products, DOE must ``consider such
factors as the utility to the consumer of such a feature'' and other
factors DOE deems appropriate. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(1)) Any rule
prescribing such a standard must include an explanation of the basis on
which DOE established such higher or lower level. (42 U.S.C.
6295(q)(2))
    Federal energy conservation requirements for covered products
generally supersede State laws or regulations concerning energy
conservation testing, labeling, and standards. (42 U.S.C. 6297(a)-(c))
DOE can, however, grant waivers of Federal preemption for particular
State laws or regulations, in accordance with the procedures and other
provisions of section 327(d) of EPCA. (42 U.S.C. 6297(d))

 B. Background

 1. Current Standards
    The energy conservation standards that EPCA prescribes for GSFL and
IRL, and that are currently in force, set efficacy levels and color
rendering index (CRI) levels for certain GSFL, and efficacy standards
for certain IRL. (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1); 10 CFR 430.32(n)) These
standard levels are set forth in Table I.3 and Table I.4 above.
2. History of Standards Rulemaking for General Service Fluorescent
Lamps, Incandescent Reflector Lamps, and General Service Incandescent
Lamps
    This rulemaking represents the first round of amendments to these
GSFL and IRL standards, and it also addresses the adoption of standards
for additional GSFL, as directed by 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(3) and (5),
respectively. Initially, this rulemaking also included consideration of
energy conservation standards for general service incandescent lamps
(GSIL). However, as explained in the April 2009 NOPR, amendments to
EPCA in the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 \2\ (EISA
2007) eliminated DOE's authority to regulate additional GSIL and
statutorily prescribed standards for GSIL; therefore this rulemaking no
longer addresses GSIL. 74 FR 16920, 16926 (April 13, 2009).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \2\ Public Law 110-140 (enacted Dec. 19, 2007).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DOE commenced this rulemaking on May 31, 2006, by publishing its
framework document for the rulemaking, and by giving notice of a public
meeting and of the availability of the document for review and public
comment. 71 FR 30834 (May 31, 2006). The framework document described
the procedural and analytical approaches DOE anticipated using and
issues to be resolved in the rulemaking. DOE held a public meeting on
June 15, 2006, to present the framework document, describe the analyses
DOE planned to conduct during the rulemaking, obtain public comment on
these subjects, and facilitate the public's involvement in the
rulemaking. DOE also allowed the submission of written statements after
the public meeting, and in response received 10 written statements.
    On February 21, 2008, DOE issued the March 2008 ANOPR in this
proceeding. 73 FR 13620 (March 13, 2008). In the March 2008 ANOPR, DOE
described and sought comment on the analytical framework, models, and
tools that DOE was using to analyze the impacts of energy conservation
standards for the two appliance products. In conjunction with issuance
of the March 2008 ANOPR, DOE published on its Web site the complete
ANOPR technical support document (TSD), which included the results of
DOE's various preliminary analyses in this rulemaking. In the March
2008 ANOPR, DOE requested oral and written comments on these results,
and on a range of other issues. DOE held a public meeting in
Washington, DC, on March 10, 2008, to present the methodology and
results of the ANOPR analyses, and to receive oral comments from those
who attended. In the March 2008 ANOPR, DOE invited comment in
particular on the following issues: (1) Consideration of additional
GSFL; (2) amended definitions; (3) product classes; (4) scaling to
product classes not analyzed; (5) screening of design options; (6) lamp
operating hours; (7) energy consumption of GSFL; (8) LCC calculation;
(9) installation costs; (10) base-case market-share matrices; (11)
shipment forecasts; (12) base-case and standards-case forecasted
efficiencies; (13) trial standard levels; and (14) period for lamp
production equipment conversion. 73 FR 13620, 13686-88 (March 13,
2008). In addition, subsequent to the public meeting and the close of
the ANOPR comment period, DOE and the National Electrical Manufacturers
Association (NEMA) met on June 26, 2008 at NEMA's request to discuss
appropriate standards for high correlated color temperature (CCT)
fluorescent lamps. 74 FR 16920, 16926 (April 13, 2009). DOE addressed
in detail the comments it received in response to the ANOPR, including
NEMA's presentation at the June 2008 meeting, in the April 2009 NOPR.
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE proposed amended and new energy
conservation standards for GSFL and IRL. In conjunction with the NOPR,
DOE also published on its Web site the complete TSD for the proposed
rule, which incorporated the final analyses DOE conducted and technical
documentation for each analysis. The TSD included the engineering
analysis spreadsheets, the LCC spreadsheet, the national impact
analysis spreadsheet, and the MIA spreadsheet-all of which are
available on DOE's Web site.\3\ The proposed standards were as shown in
Table II.1 and Table II.2, as presented in the April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR
16920, 17027 (April 13, 2009).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \3\ The Web site address for all the spreadsheets developed for
this rulemaking proceeding are available at: http://
www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/residential/
incandescent_lamps.html.

      Table II.1--Proposed GSFL Standard Levels in April 2009 NOPR
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      Correlated color   Proposed level
              Lamp type                  temperature         (lm/W)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-Foot Medium Bipin.................          <=4,500K                84
                                               >4,500K                78

[[Page 34087]]


2-Foot U-Shaped.....................          <=4,500K                78
                                               >4,500K                73
8-Foot Slimline.....................          <=4,500K                95
                                               >4,500K                91
8-Foot High Output..................          <=4,500K                88
                                               >4,500K                84
4-Foot Miniature Bipin Standard               <=4,500K               103
 Output.............................
                                               >4,500K                97
4-Foot Miniature Bipin High Output..          <=4,500K                89
                                               >4,500K               85
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* For these product classes, EPCA has different efficacy standards for
  lamps with wattages less than 35W and greater than or equal to 35W.


                              Table II.2--Proposed IRL Standards in April 2009 NOPR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                     Diameter                     Proposed level
                            Lamp type                                (inches)         Voltage         (lm/W)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard Spectrum 40W-205W......................................            >2.5           <=125     7.1P \0.27\
                                                                                            <125     6.2P \0.27\
                                                                           <=2.5           >=125     6.3P \0.27\
                                                                                            <125     5.5P \0.27\
Modified Spectrum 40W-205W......................................            >2.5           >=125     5.8P \0.27\
                                                                                            <125     5.0P \0.27\
                                                                           <=2.5           >=125     5.1P \0.27\
                                                                                            <125     4.4P \0.27\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: P is equal to the rated lamp wattage, in watts.

    DOE held a public meeting in Washington, DC, on February 3, 2009,
to hear oral comments on and solicit information relevant to the
proposed rule. At the public meeting and in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE
invited comment in particular on the following issues: (1) The scope of
covered products; (2) the amended definition of ``colored fluorescent
lamp''; (3) product classes for IRL; (4) product classes for T5 lamps;
(5) the 4-foot MBP residential engineering analysis; (6) performance
characteristics of model lamps used in the engineering analysis; (7)
the efficacy levels for IRL; (8) the efficacy levels for GSFL; (9)
scaling to product classes not analyzed; (10) ballast operating hours
in all sectors and GSFL operating hours in the residential sector; (11)
growth rates and market penetration in the shipments analysis; (12)
base-case and standards-case market-share matrices; (13) the
manufacturer impact analysis; (14) the determination of environmental
impacts; (15) the selected trial standard levels; (16) the proposed
standard levels; (17) alternative scenarios to achieve greater energy
savings for GSFL; (18) other technology pathways to meet IRL TSL5. 74
FR 16920, 17025-26 (April 13, 2009). The April 2009 NOPR also included
additional background information on the history of this rulemaking. 74
FR 16920, 16925-26 (April 13, 2009).

III. Issues Affecting the Scope of This Rulemaking

A. Additional General Service Fluorescent Lamps for Which DOE Is
Adopting Standards

1. Scope of EPCA Requirement That DOE Consider Standards for Additional
Lamps
    As discussed above, EPCA established energy conservation standards
for certain general service fluorescent lamps (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1))
and directed the Secretary to ``initiate a rulemaking procedure to
determine if the standards in effect for fluorescent lamps * * * should
be amended so that they would be applicable to additional general
service fluorescent [lamps] * * *.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5)) Thus, EPCA
directs DOE to consider whether to adopt energy efficacy standards for
additional GSFL beyond those already covered by standards prescribed in
the statute.
    However, as set forth in greater detail in the March 2008 ANOPR and
the April 2009 NOPR, although many GSFL not currently subject to
standards are potential candidates for coverage, it could be argued
that EPCA's definitions of ``general service fluorescent lamp'' and
``fluorescent lamp'' conflict with (and negate) the requirement of 42
U.S.C. 6295(i)(5) that DOE consider standards for additional GSFL. 73
FR 13620, 13628-29 (March 13, 2008); 74 FR 16920, 16920, 16926-27
(April 13, 2009). Specifically, EPCA defines ``general service
fluorescent lamp'' as ``fluorescent lamps'' that can satisfy the
majority of fluorescent lamp applications and that are not designed and
marketed for certain specified, nongeneral lighting applications. (42
U.S.C. 6291(30)(B)) Furthermore, EPCA defines ``fluorescent lamp'' as
``a low pressure mercury electric-discharge source in which a
fluorescing coating transforms some of the ultraviolet energy generated
by the mercury discharge into light,'' and as including ``only'' the
four enumerated types of fluorescent lamps for which EPCA already
prescribes standards. (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(A); 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)(B))
Thus, to construe ``general service fluorescent lamp'' in 42 U.S.C.
6295(i)(5) as being limited by all elements of the EPCA definition of
``fluorescent lamp,'' would mean there are no GSFL that are not already
subject to standards, and hence, there would be no ``additional'' GSFL
for which DOE could consider standards. Such an interpretation would
conflict with the directive in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5) that DOE consider
standards for ``additional'' GSFL, thereby rendering that provision a
nullity.
    For the reasons below, DOE has concluded that the term ``additional
general service fluorescent lamps'' in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5) should be
construed as

[[Page 34088]]

not being limited to the four enumerated lamp types specified in the
EPCA definition of ``fluorescent lamp,'' thereby giving effect to the
directive in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5) that DOE consider standards for
additional GSFL. First, DOE added this directive to EPCA at the same
time it added the definitions for ``general service fluorescent lamps''
and ``fluorescent lamps,'' as part of the Energy Policy Act of 1992
(EPACT 1992; Pub. L. 102-486). DOE does not believe Congress would
intentionally insert a legislative provision that, when read in
conjunction with simultaneously added definitions, amounts to a
nullity. Second, reading the definition of ``fluorescent lamp'' to
preclude consideration of standards for additional GSFL would run
counter to the energy-saving purposes of EPCA. It is reasonable to
assume that, when Congress incorporated this directive into EPCA, it
sought to have DOE consider whether standards would be warranted for
generally available products for which EPCA did not prescribe
standards. Also, it is assumed that Congress would not have intended
for DOE to limit itself to consideration of energy conservation
standards only for those products utilizing technologies available in
1992, but instead, it would seek to cast a broader net that would
achieve energy efficiency improvements in lighting products
incorporating newer technologies.
    In addition, DOE understands that the industry routinely refers to
``fluorescent lamps'' as including products in addition to the four
enumerated in the statutory definition of that term. In fact, in the
March 2008 ANOPR, DOE presented its plan for including additional GSFL
for coverage, and DOE did not receive adverse comment. 73 FR 13620,
13628-29 (March 13, 2008)
    For these reasons, and as further explained in the March 2008
ANOPR, 73 FR 13620, 13629 (March 13, 2008), and in the April 2009 NOPR,
74 FR 16920, 16926-27 (April 13, 2009), DOE has concluded that, in
addressing general service fluorescent lamps in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5),
Congress intended to refer to ``fluorescent lamps'' in a broader, more
generic sense than as expressed in the EPCA definition for that term.
Consequently, as set forth in the April 2009 NOPR, 74 FR 16920, 16927
(April 13, 2009), DOE views ``additional'' GSFL, as that term is used
in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(5), as lamps that: (1) Meet the technical portion
of the statutory definition of ``fluorescent lamp'' (i.e., a low-
pressure mercury electric-discharge source in which a fluorescing
coating transforms some of the ultraviolet energy generated by the
mercury discharge into light) (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(A)) without
restriction to the four lamp types specified in that definition; (2)
can be used to satisfy the majority of fluorescent lighting
applications (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(B)); (3) are not within the exclusions
from the definition of GSFL specified in 42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(B); and (4)
are ones for which EPCA does not prescribe standards. Such an
interpretation does not alter the existing statutory provision or
standards for ``fluorescent lamps,'' but it does permit DOE to give
effect to section 6295(i)(5) of EPCA by adopting energy conservation
standards for a wide variety of GSFL that are not currently covered by
standards. DOE notes that it received no adverse comments on this
interpretation in response to the April 2009 NOPR.
2. Determination of the Additional Lamps to Which Standards Will Apply
    To determine the additional GSFL to which energy conservation
standards should apply, DOE first comprehensively reviewed the
fluorescent lighting market and identified the following types of lamps
as ``additional'' GSFL for consideration pursuant to 42 U.S.C. 6295
(i)(5), based on the four criteria above:
    • 4-foot, medium bipin (MBP), straight-shaped lamps, rated
wattage of less than 28W;
    • 2-foot, medium bipin, U-shaped lamps, rated wattage of
less than 28W;
    • 8-foot, recessed double contact (RDC), rapid start, high-
output (HO) lamps not defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-1991 \4\ or with
current other than 0.800 nominal amperes;
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \4\ Titled ``for Fluorescent Lamps--Rapid-Start Types--
Dimensional and Electrical Characteristics.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    • 8-foot single pin (SP), instant start, slimline lamps with
a rated wattage greater than or equal to 52, not defined in ANSI
Standard C78.3-1991; \5\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \5\ Titled ``for Fluorescent Lamps--Instant-Start and Cold-
Cathode Types--Dimensional and Electrical Characteristics''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    • Very high output (VHO) straight-shaped lamps;
    • T5 \6\ miniature bipin (miniBP) straight-shaped lamps;
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \6\ T5, T8, T10, and T12 are nomenclature used to refer to
tubular fluorescent lamps with diameters of 0.625, 1, 1.25, and 1.5
inches respectively.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    • Additional straight-shaped and U-shaped lamps other than
those listed above (e.g., alternate lengths, diameters, or bases); and
    • Additional fluorescent lamps with alternate shapes (e.g.,
circline lamps and pin-based compact fluorescent lamps (CFL)).

73 FR 13620, 13630 (March 13, 2008); 74 FR 16920, 16927-28 (April 13,
2009).

    For each of these categories of GSFL, DOE assessed whether
standards had the potential to result in energy savings. For each
category for which it appeared that standards could save significant
amounts of energy, DOE then performed a preliminary analysis of whether
potential standards appeared to be technologically feasible and
economically justified. Finally, for GSFL that met that test, DOE did
an in-depth analysis of whether, and at what levels, standards would be
warranted under the EPCA criteria in 42 U.S.C. 6295(o), pertaining to
energy savings, technological feasibility, economic justification, and
certain other factors. Based on this analysis, as summarized in the
April 2009 NOPR, DOE proposed to cover the following additional GSFL:
    • 2-foot, medium bipin U-shaped lamps with a rated wattage
greater than or equal to 25 and less than 28;
    • 4-foot, medium bipin lamps with a rated wattage greater
than or equal to 25 and less than 28;
    • 4-foot T5, miniature bipin, straight-shaped, standard
output lamps with rated wattage greater than or equal to 26;
    • 4-foot T5, miniature bipin, straight-shaped, high output
lamps with rated wattage >=51;
    • 8-foot recessed double contact, rapid start, HO lamps
other than those defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-1991;
    • 8-foot recessed double contact, rapid start, HO lamps
(other than 0.800 nominal amperes) defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-1991;
and
    • 8-foot single pin instant start slimline lamps, with a
rated wattage greater than or equal to 52, not defined in ANSI Standard
C78.3-1991

74 FR 16920, 16930 (April 13, 2009).

    DOE received several comments regarding the additional GSFL
proposed for coverage. In terms of methodology, the Green Lighting
Campaign questioned the criteria DOE used in determining whether to
include additional fluorescent lamps in coverage. Specifically, the
Green Lighting Campaign argued that just because a product is low-
volume, and, therefore, does not represent significant energy savings,
does not indicate that it should not be subject to standards. According
to the commenter, many low-volume products are some of the least-
efficient products on the market. (Green Lighting Campaign, No. 74 at
p. 3)
    In response, as described in more detail for each lamp described
below for which coverage was not extended, DOE concluded that coverage
was inappropriate given the small market share of these lamps. DOE
emphasizes that it will vigilantly monitor the market

[[Page 34089]]

shares and other relevant information for these lamps and consider
whether to extend coverage in a future rulemaking.
    NEMA and EEI agreed with the scope of coverage proposed in the
April 2009 NOPR. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 43;
EEI, No. 45 at p. 3) However, the Green Lighting Campaign disagreed
with DOE's proposed scope of coverage, expressing concern that DOE's
proposed standards in the April 2009 NOPR would allow a significant
amount of outdated lighting equipment to be sold in the U.S. even
though more efficient replacement technologies exist. Specifically, the
Green Lighting Campaign requested that two-pin compact fluorescent
lamps, high-intensity discharge (HID) lamps, ballasts, luminaires, and
fluorescent lamps of other shapes and sizes be included in coverage.
(Green Lighting Campaign, No. 74 at pp. 1-4)
    In response, DOE considered two-pin compact fluorescent lamps and
fluorescent lamps of other shapes and sizes for coverage but concluded
that they did not meet the statutory criteria defined by EPCA, because
these lamps represent relatively small market shares and do not possess
the ability to serve as substitutes for most covered GSFL. See section
III.A.2.g for more details. Additionally, this rulemaking only amends
standards for GSFL and IRL, as described in section III. DOE is
addressing standards for ballasts and HID lamps in separate
rulemakings, and DOE currently does not have the authority to set
energy conservation standards for luminaires. Please consult the Web
site of DOE's Appliances and Commercial Equipment Standards Program for
further detail.\7\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ Available at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/
appliance_standards/index.html.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Earthjustice and the Green Lighting Campaign disagreed with DOE's
proposed covered wattage ranges. In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE determined
the wattage range for covered products based on commercially-available
products. 74 FR 16920, 16929-30 (April 13, 2009). This approach allowed
DOE to confirm that an energy conservation standard would be
technologically feasible and economically justified for any covered
product. In comments on the March 2008 ANOPR, stakeholders stated that
instead of determining a covered wattage range based on commercially-
available products, DOE should substantially lower covered wattage
ranges and use narrowly-drawn exemptions for those products that did
not meet the EPCA criteria for inclusion as a covered product. 74 FR
16920, 16929-30 (April 13, 2009). The stakeholders believed that this
approach ensured that energy conservation standards would achieve
largest potential energy savings. DOE responded in the April 2009 NOPR
and agreed that current covered wattage ranges should be extended when
commercially-available product exists, but disagreed that they should
be extended when no products are available. DOE is required to consider
energy conservation standards that are technologically feasible. If a
lower wattage lamp does not yet exist, DOE cannot confirm that it would
be technologically feasible or economically justified for such a lamp
to meet a set energy conservation standard. Furthermore, DOE encourages
the introduction of lamps at lower wattages. Thus, DOE decided to only
lower the wattage range of a covered product if a commercially
available product existed at a lower wattage. 74 FR 16920, 16929-30
(April 13, 2009).
    In commenting on the April 2009 NOPR, Earthjustice again disagreed
with DOE's approach and urged DOE to be proactive in extending the
standards' covered wattage range so as to eliminate potential
loopholes. Earthjustice argued that DOE should cover all wattages of
the designated product classes that are lower than the existing covered
wattage range unless DOE can prove that standards are not
technologically feasible or economically justified. In not doing so,
Earthjustice claims DOE is not meeting its obligations under EPCA to
consider standards for all GSFL, including those that do not currently
exist, but might be popular at the time the standard takes effect.
(Earthjustice, No. 60 at p. 4) The Green Lighting Campaign asserted
that the covered wattage ranges proposed in the April 2009 NOPR ``seem
arbitrary and unjustified,'' commenting that the European Union's (EU)
energy efficiency standards for lighting cover a much larger range of
rated wattages. (Green Lighting Campaign, No. 74 at pp. 2-3)
    In seeking to advance the energy-saving goals of EPCA, DOE
understands stakeholders' concerns that new products may emerge that
are outside of the covered wattage range. However, in setting up the
statutory structure, Congress was very careful to ensure that any
standards set would be based upon the best available data, particularly
in terms of what standards would be technologically feasible and
economically justified. Furthermore, given the anti-backsliding
provision of 42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(1), DOE must exercise great care so as
to set an appropriate standard in the first instance. Contrary to
EPCA's direction that DOE set standards for products that the data show
to be technologically feasible and economically justified, Earthjustice
would have DOE broaden coverage without data, unless DOE can prove a
negative (i.e., that such standards are not economically feasible and
economically justified). DOE concludes that such an approach would
violate the statute. Accordingly, DOE maintains that it is
inappropriate to lower the covered wattage range to include products
that do not exist. Without knowing the performance characteristics of a
lamp, DOE cannot know how energy conservation standards will affect it.
It is not possible for DOE to set standards for lower-wattage lamps
that currently do not exist because DOE cannot prove that standards for
such lamps are technologically feasible and economically justified.
Therefore, DOE maintains the covered wattage range proposed in the
April 2009 NOPR in this final rule. It is further noted that if low-
wattage products do subsequently enter the market, DOE would address
the appropriateness of energy conservation standards for such products
in considering periodic amendments to the GSFL and IRL standards
pursuant to 42 U.S.C. 6295(m).
    In response to comments on the EU's lighting efficiency standards,
DOE notes that these standards are not directly comparable, because
they are applied to a larger scope of products than what is covered in
this rulemaking. Thus, the cited EU standards encompass a broader range
of covered wattages (i.e., include lower wattage levels) than those
proposed by DOE, because the EU standard covers lamps with shorter
lengths.
    ACEEE and the CA Stakeholders suggested that DOE should lower the
wattage range of covered products by one watt in order to account for
imprecision in how lamps are rated. (ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript,
No. 38.4 at p. 44-45; CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 11) ACEEE argued
that because a lamp's rated wattage and its ``actual'' wattage often
differ, lowering the wattage range would prevent manufacturers from
circumventing standards by rating lamps at artificially low wattages.
For example, a manufacturer could rerate a 25 watt lamp as a 24 watt
lamp, which would then not be covered by standards.
    While DOE understands the stakeholders' concerns, DOE believes that
the definition of ``rated wattage'' sufficiently addresses the issue of
potential circumvention. As discussed in further detail in section
III.C.1 below,

[[Page 34090]]

for lamps currently commercially-available and listed in ANSI C78.81-
2005 or ANSI C78.901-2005, ``rated wattage'' (as defined in amended 10
CFR 430.2) is specified for each lamp on its corresponding datasheet in
the same industry standard. Therefore, for these lamps, manufacturers
may not arbitrarily lower the rated wattage of lamps listed in the ANSI
standards. However, due to the emergence of new products on the market
after publication of the ANSI standards, not all currently
commercially-available lamps are listed in ANSI C78.81-2005 or ANSI
C78.901-2005. For lamps not listed in either standard, the rated
wattage corresponds to the wattage measured when operating the lamp on
an appropriate ballast, as specified by part 1(iii) of the revised
definition of ``rated wattage.'' In such a case, the ``actual'' wattage
would be equivalent to the rated wattage, thereby preventing
circumvention of the standard. Thus, for all covered lamps, DOE
believes that the definition of ``rated wattage'' adopted in this final
rule prevents manufacturers from artificially raising or lowering the
rated wattage of a lamp, thereby addressing any potential loopholes.
    The following sections discuss each additional GSFL category DOE
considered throughout this rulemaking and summarize the analysis
performed to determine to which lamps DOE should extend coverage.
a. Four-Foot Medium Bipin Lamps
    DOE found that there are no 4-foot medium bipin lamps with a rated
wattage below 25W currently on the market, but that manufacturers do
market and sell 25W 4-foot medium bipin T8 fluorescent lamps as
replacements for higher-wattage 4-foot bipin T8 lamps. Thus, DOE
initially concluded that standards for these lamps that are 25W or
higher, but less than 28W, would mitigate the risk of unregulated 25W
lamps becoming a loophole, and would maximize potential energy savings.
In addition, because the technology and incremental costs associated
with increased efficacy of 25W lamps are similar to their already
regulated 28W counterparts, DOE tentatively concluded that standards
for these lamps would be technologically feasible and economically
justified. 73 FR 13620, 13630 (March 13, 2008) and 74 FR 16920, 16928
(April 13, 2009). As explained in the April 2009 NOPR and as set forth
below in section VII, DOE has now determined that standards for 4-foot
medium bipin lamps with a rated wattage at or above 25W, and below 28W,
would save significant amounts of energy and are technologically
feasible and economically justified, and includes such standards in
today's rule. DOE has not, however, pursued standards for 4-foot medium
bipin lamps with a rated wattage below 25W. The lack of existence of
such lamps precludes DOE from assessing whether standards for them are
technologically feasible and economically justified, and the inability
to make such an assessment could also result in the adoption of
standards that would reduce the utility of such a product or even
preclude its development. 74 FR 16920, 16929-30 (April 13, 2009).
Therefore, in this final rule, DOE extends coverage to 4-foot medium
bipin lamps with a rated wattage greater than or equal to 25W and less
than 28W.
b. Two-Foot Medium Bipin, U-Shaped Lamps
    DOE initially decided not to consider standards for 2-foot U-shaped
lamps less than 28W, based on its understanding that no such products
are commercially available. NEMA provided information, however, that
such lamps have been introduced at 25W. Therefore, consistent with its
approach just described for 4-foot medium bipin lamps, DOE evaluated
for standards 2-foot U-shaped lamps of 25W or more, but less than 28W.
74 FR 16920, 16929-30 (April 13, 2009). As set forth below in section
VII, DOE has now determined that standards for these lamps would save
significant amounts of energy and are technologically feasible and
economically justified, and includes such standards in today's rule. In
addition, DOE has not pursued standards for 2-foot U-shaped lamps with
a rated wattage below 25W, for the same reasons that it has declined to
pursue standards for 4-foot medium bipin lamps with a rated wattage
below 25W. Therefore, in this final rule, DOE extends coverage to 2-
foot U-shaped lamps with a rated wattage greater than or equal to 25W
and less than 28W.
c. Eight-Foot Recessed, Double-Contact Lamps
    As indicated above, DOE examined 8-foot recessed double-contact
(RDC) rapid-start HO lamps, including those not defined in ANSI
Standard C78.1-1991 as well as those defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-
1991, but with other than 0.800 nominal amperes. These are T8 8-foot
lamps, and neither is currently subject to standards. DOE concluded
that these lamps serve or could serve as substitutes for GSFL currently
subject to standards, and, therefore, coverage of these lamps would
maximize energy savings from standards. DOE also tentatively concluded
that energy conservation standards for these T8 lamps would be: (1)
Technologically feasible because they use technologies similar to the
technologies used by their already-regulated T12 counterparts; and (2)
economically justified because preliminary analysis indicated such
standards would result in substantial economic savings. 73 FR 13620,
13630-31 (March 13, 2008) and 74 FR 16920, 16928 (April 13, 2009). As
set forth below in section VII, DOE has now determined that standards
for these lamps would save significant amounts of energy and are
technologically feasible and economically justified, and includes such
standards in today's rule. Therefore, in this final rule, DOE extends
coverage to the following 8-foot recessed double contact, rapid start,
HO lamps: (1) Ones other than those defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-
1991; and (2) those defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-1991 with other than
0.800 nominal amperes.
d. Eight-Foot Single Pin Slimline Lamps
    As with 8-foot recessed double contact, rapid start, HO lamps, DOE
concluded that 8-foot, single pin, instant start, slimline lamps not
included in ANSI Standard C78.3-1991, with a rated wattage greater than
or equal to 52W, could serve as substitutes for GSFL currently subject
to standards. Therefore, DOE tentatively concluded that regulation of
these lamps has the potential to achieve substantial energy savings.
DOE's preliminary analysis also indicated that energy conservation
standards for these 8-foot single pin lamps would be: (1)
Technologically feasible because they use technologies similar to the
technologies used by their already-regulated T12 counterparts; and (2)
economically justified because preliminary analysis indicated such
standards would result in substantial economic savings. 73 FR 13620,
13631-32 (March 13, 2008) and 74 FR 16920, 16929 (April 13, 2009). As
set forth below in section VII, DOE has now determined that standards
for these lamps would save significant amounts of energy and are
technologically feasible and economically justified, and includes such
standards in today's rule. Therefore, in this final rule, DOE extends
coverage to 8-foot single pin instant start slimline lamps, with a
rated wattage greater than or equal to 52W that are not defined in ANSI
Standard C78.3-1991.
e. Very High Output Straight-Shaped Lamps
    Although individual VHO T12 lamps consume relatively large amounts
of

[[Page 34091]]

energy, they are commonly used in outdoor applications where high-
intensity discharge (HID) lamps are rapidly gaining market share, and
shipments of VHO lamps are declining rapidly. Therefore, the total
energy savings that would result from standards for these lamps would
be small and would likely decrease over time. In response to the April
2009 NOPR, DOE received no adverse comment regarding its decision to
not cover VHO lamps. Accordingly, DOE has not pursued standards for VHO
lamps and does not extend them coverage in this final rule. 73 FR
13620, 13632 (March 13, 2008) and 74 FR 16920, 16928 (April 13, 2009).
As emphasized above, DOE will vigilantly monitor the market shares and
other relevant information for these lamps and consider whether to
extend coverage in a future rulemaking.
f. T5 Lamps
    DOE initially decided not to consider standards for T5 lamps
because it believed that standards for these lamps would have limited
potential to result in energy savings. First, these lamps have a
relatively small market share. Second, although T5 lamps can substitute
for T8 or T12 lamps, T5 lamps tend to have higher efficacies than T8s
or T12s. Therefore, DOE inferred that a lack of standards for T5 lamps
would be unlikely to undermine energy savings resulting from a T12 and
T8 standard, even if the standard caused increased sales of T5 systems.
73 FR 13620, 13632 (March 13, 2008).
    However, after receiving comments on this issue in response to the
March 2008 ANOPR, including comments advocating energy conservation
standards for T5 lamps, DOE decided it should reconsider whether such
standards are warranted. Specifically, DOE concluded that, absent
standards for T5 lamps, less-efficient T5 lamps could enter the market
and be substituted for T8 and T12 lamps that are subject to standards.
Thus, a lack of standards for T5 lamps could potentially reduce the
energy savings that could result from the standards for T8 and T12
lamps. Accordingly, in the NOPR, DOE tentatively concluded that
regulation of T5 lamps has the potential to achieve substantial energy
savings. Furthermore, DOE research indicated that: (1) The primary
driver of T5 market share growth is substitution for currently
regulated 4-foot MBP lamps; (2) standard-output (approximately 28W) and
high-output (approximately 54W) lamps are the highest volume T5
miniature bipin lamps; and (3) reduced-wattage versions of these lamps
(26W and 51W, respectively) are available. Therefore, DOE evaluated for
standards 4-foot nominal, straight-shaped, T5 miniature bipin standard
output lamps with rated wattages >=26W and 4-foot nominal, straight-
shaped, T5 miniature bipin high output lamps with rated wattages >=51W,
as they present the greatest potential for energy savings. DOE also
tentatively concluded that energy conservation standards for these T5
lamps would be: (1) Technologically feasible because higher-efficacy
versions of some of these lamps are already present in the market; and
(2) economically justified because preliminary analysis indicated such
standards would result in substantial economic savings. 74 FR 16920,
16929 (April 13, 2009). Both NEMA and ACEEE supported the extension of
coverage to T5 lamps. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p.
43; ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 44; NEMA, No. 81
at p. 7)
    Since the publication of the NOPR, DOE has learned that a 49W T5
miniature bipin high-output lamp has been introduced to the market. As
this lamp is very similar to a 51W T5 miniature bipin high-output lamp,
DOE concludes that standards for these lamps would be technologically
feasible and economically justified for the reasons listed above.
Therefore, as set forth in more detail in section VII, DOE has
determined that standards for T5 lamps would save significant amounts
of energy and are technologically feasible and economically justified.
Thus, in this final rule, DOE extends coverage to 4-foot T5, miniature
bipin, straight-shaped, standard output lamps with rated wattage
greater than or equal to 26W and 4-foot T5, miniature bipin, straight-
shaped, high output lamps with rated wattage greater than or equal to
49W.
g. Various Other Fluorescent Lamps
    In addition to the GSFL already covered by standards and those just
discussed, there exist straight-shaped and U-shaped fluorescent lamps
that have, for example, alternate lengths, diameters, or bases, as well
as fluorescent lamps with alternative shapes (e.g., circline lamps and
pin-based compact fluorescent lamps (CFL)). In this rulemaking, DOE has
not pursued standards for these additional fluorescent lamps. The GSFL
already covered and those DOE included in this rulemaking represent a
significant majority of the GSFL market, and, thus, the bulk of the
potential energy savings from amended or new standards. Furthermore,
there is limited potential for lamps with miscellaneous lengths and
bases to grow in market share, given the constraints of fixture lengths
and socket compatibility. 73 FR 13620, 13632 (March 13, 2008) and 74 FR
16920, 16928 (April 13, 2009). Given the relatively low shipments and
limited potential for growth in shipments, DOE does not extend coverage
to GSFL with alternate lengths, diameters, bases, or shapes. DOE again
emphasizes that it will vigilantly monitor the market shares and other
relevant information for these lamps and consider whether to extend
coverage in a future rulemaking.
    Magnaray, a luminaire manufacturer, commented that the amended
standards should not eliminate existing ``twin T5'' fluorescent lamps
from the market. Magnaray stated that ``twin T5'' lamps have
demonstrated significant energy savings relative to their replacements.
The luminaire manufacturer further requested that DOE recommend these
lamps for use in all outdoor lighting applications. (Magnaray, No. 58
at p. 1) DOE research indicates that ``twin T5'' lamps are actually
high-lumen-output single-ended twin-tube T5 pin-based CFL. In general,
these lamps are offered with wattages between 18W and 80W, CCTs between
3000K and 5000K, lengths between 9 and 22.6 inches, and CRIs of 82. As
discussed above, based on their relatively low market-share and the low
potential energy savings associated with their regulation, DOE is not
extending coverage to pin-based CFL. DOE reiterates that it will
vigilantly monitor the market shares and other relevant information for
these lamps and consider whether to extend coverage in a future
rulemaking. In addition, it should be noted that DOE does not endorse
particular products or recommend that consumers adopt particular
technologies in the energy conservation standards rulemaking.
3. Summary of GSFL for Which DOE Has Adopted Standards
    DOE has determined that energy conservation standards are
technologically feasible and economically justified, and would result
in significant energy savings, for all of the ``additional'' GSFL for
which DOE proposed standards in the April 2009 NOPR. Therefore, DOE is
adopting standards today for the following additional GSFL:
    • 2-foot, medium bipin U-shaped lamps with a rated wattage
greater than or equal to 25 and less than 28;
    • 4-foot, medium bipin lamps with a rated wattage greater
than or equal to 25 and less than 28;
    • 4-foot T5, miniature bipin, straight-shaped, standard
output lamps with rated wattage greater than or equal to 26;

[[Page 34092]]

    • 4-foot T5, miniature bipin, straight-shaped, high output
lamps with rated wattage greater than or equal to 49;
    • 8-foot recessed double contact, rapid start, HO lamps
other than those defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-1991;
    • 8-foot recessed double contact, rapid start, HO lamps
(other than 0.800 nominal amperes) defined in ANSI Standard C78.1-1991;
and
    • 8-foot single pin instant start slimline lamps, with a
rated wattage greater than or equal to 52, not defined in ANSI Standard
C78.3-1991.

B. Incandescent Reflector Lamp Scope of Coverage

    The April 2009 NOPR proposed amended energy conservations standards
for incandescent reflector lamps with a rated wattage from 40W to 205W,
other than those exempted from standards under 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)(C).
74 FR 16920, 16924-25, 16930-31, 17017-18 (April 13, 2009) In response
to the April 2009 NOPR, DOE received several comments regarding the
proposed incandescent reflector lamp scope coverage. These comments are
discussed below.
1. Covered Wattage Range
    In response to the April 2009 NOPR, the Edison Electric Institute
(EEI) expressed concern that the scope of coverage for IRL is too
limited, specifically with regard to the proposed covered wattage range
(i.e., 40W-205W). EEI suggested that manufacturers could easily produce
lamps at 39W or 206W to circumvent energy conservation standards.
Because IRL exist in the market at wattages as low as 35W and as high
as 500W, EEI recommended that the covered wattage range for IRL be
extended to include lamps as low as 20W and as high as 505W. (EEI, No.
45 at p. 2)
    In amending energy conservation standards for IRL, DOE is limited
to the definition prescribed by EISA 2007, which defines IRL as a lamp
that ``has a rated wattage that is 40 watts or higher.'' (42 U.S.C.
6291(30)(C), (C)(ii), and (F)) Given this definition, DOE does not have
the authority to decrease the lower wattage limit of covered IRL below
40W. DOE does, however, have the authority to alter the upper limit of
the wattage range for covered IRL. In response to EEI's comment, DOE
analyzed commercially-available product in manufacturer catalogs to
assess the prevalence of products with wattages greater than 205W.
Based on this research, DOE believes that IRL with rated wattages
greater than 205W comprise a very small portion of the market and,
therefore, do not represent substantial potential energy savings. For
these reasons, DOE has decided, in this final rule, to adopt standards
for IRL with a rated wattage greater than or equal to 40W and less than
or equal to 205W.
2. Exempted Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    As discussed in more detail in the April 2009 NOPR, 74 FR 16920,
16930 (April 13, 2009), section 332(b) of EISA 2007 amended EPCA to
expand its definition of ``incandescent reflector lamp'' to include
lamps with a diameter between 2.25 and 2.75 inches, as well as ER, BR,
BPAR, or similar bulb shapes (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(C)(ii)) and also to
exempt certain of these lamps from EPCA's standards for IRL (42 U.S.C.
6295(i)(1)(C)). As discussed in section II.B.2, DOE issued and posted
on its Web site the January 2009 NOPR in which DOE adhered to its
conclusion that these exemptions, read in conjunction with other
language in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)(C) and 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(3), precluded
DOE from adopting energy conservation standards for lamps covered by
the exemptions. DOE subsequently held a public meeting where
stakeholders commented on the contents of the January 2009 NOPR.
    At the February 3, 2009 NOPR public meeting, NEMA stated its
agreement with DOE's interpretation of the statute regarding the
exempted IRL. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 323)
However, stakeholders presented comments disagreeing with DOE's
conclusion and urging DOE to set standards for the exempted lamps.
Several commenters stated that exempted lamps comprise a substantial
portion of the market and, therefore, represent significant potential
energy savings. (ASAP, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 27-28;
EEI, No. 45 at p. 3; Woolsey, No. 46 at p. 1) Furthermore, ASAP argued
that DOE's interpretation that these lamps are exempt from DOE
regulation, does not accurately reflect what Congress intended when
making these lamps covered products in EISA 2007. According to the
commenter, because States are preempted from setting standards for
covered products, these exempted IRL would remain beyond the reach of
any energy conservation standards. Several stakeholders urged DOE to
draft and publish a supplementary NOPR to address the exempted ER and
BR lamps. (ASAP, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 33, 52-53,
322-323; Woolsey, No. 46 at p. 2)
    After carefully considering the testimony of the February 3, 2009
NOPR public meeting and reexamining the ANOPR public comments on this
issue, DOE has reexamined its authority under EPCA to amend standards
for ER, BR, and small-diameter lamps and concluded that its earlier
view may have been in error. As discussed in more detail in the April
2009 NOPR, DOE is reconsidering whether, under 42 U.S.C 6295(i)(3), the
directive to amend the standards in paragraph (1) encompasses both the
statutory levels and the exemptions to those standards. Regardless of
the outcome of that decision, DOE has not considered such lamps as part
of the present rulemaking because it had not conducted the requisite
analyses to adopt appropriate standard levels. At the same time, DOE
did not wish to delay the present rulemaking (and the accompanying
energy savings to the Nation) for the sole reason of considering this
subset of ER, BR, and small-diameter lamps. Therefore, as explained in
the April 2009 NOPR, DOE has decided to proceed with setting energy
conservation standards for the lamps that are the subject of the
present rulemaking and to commence a separate rulemaking for ER, BR,
and small-diameter lamps. 74 FR 16920, 16930-31 (April 13, 2009).
    Following the publication of the April 2009 NOPR, several
stakeholders supported DOE's decision to address the exempted lamps in
a separate rulemaking and urged DOE to act quickly to set these new
standards. (Earthjustice, No. 60 at p. 2; NEEP, No. 61 at p. 5; Joint
Comment, No. 62 at pp. 2-3; ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 5; NRDC, No. 82 at p.
4) Commenters encouraged DOE to establish energy conservation standards
for the exempted lamps with the same effective date as those adopted in
this rulemaking in order to minimize market distortions and potential
shifting from regulated products to unregulated products. (EEI, No. 45
at p. 3; NEEP, No. 61 at p. 5; EEI, No. 78 at p. 2) DOE will consider
these comments in its separate rulemaking assessing energy conservation
standards for the exempted ER, BR, and small diameter lamps.
3. Museum Lighting
    DOE received a comment from The J Paul Getty Museum requesting that
museum lighting, and particularly art museum lighting, be exempt from
standards. The comment stated that HIR lamps do not provide the same
quality of light as the halogen lamps that would be eliminated by the
proposed standard. (The J Paul Getty Museum, No. 56 at p. 1) In
response, DOE is unaware of any

[[Page 34093]]

specific light quality of halogen lamps that would necessitate their
usage instead of halogen infrared reflector lamps for museum
applications. In addition, the commenter did not provide any further
details on the unique utility of current lamps in museum settings that
could not be provided by substitute lamps that would meet the
requirements of the energy conservation standards under consideration.
Although the infrared reflector coating causes a reduction in the
infrared region of the electromagnetic spectrum, these wavelengths of
light are largely invisible to the human eye. Therefore, DOE does not
believe that halogen lamps represent a distinct utility. In addition,
given the identical nature of halogen PAR lamps used in museum settings
and non-museum settings, it would be potentially easy for any consumer
to purchase and install a lamp meant for museum use. Accordingly, DOE
is concerned that failure to regulate this type of lamp could
significantly undermine the energy savings potential of the IRL
standard. In light of this concern and the lack of information to
substantiate a unique utility of halogen IRL, DOE has decided not to
create an exemption from IRL standards for museum lighting.

C. Amended Definitions

1. ``Rated Wattage''
    To implement the expanded scope of EPCA's coverage of GSFL and IRL,
and of standards adopted for GSIL in EISA 2007, DOE proposed to revise
its definitions of ``rated wattage'' and ``colored fluorescent lamp.''
74 FR 16920, 16931-32 (April 13, 2009). As to ``rated wattage,'' one
element of EPCA's definitions for both ``fluorescent lamp'' and
``incandescent reflector lamp'' is a lamp's rated wattage. (42 U.S.C.
6291(30)(A), (C)(ii), and (F)) Also, EPCA prescribes maximum rated
wattages as part of its energy conservation standards for GSIL. (42
U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)) Although EPCA does not define the term ``rated
wattage,'' DOE's regulations do, but the current DOE definition covers
only 4-foot medium bipin T8, T10, and T12 fluorescent lamps. 10 CFR
430.2.
    Therefore, DOE proposed a revised and updated definition of ``rated
wattage.'' This definition included references to the current versions
of applicable ANSI standards, clarified and improved the definition,
and applied it to those lamps for which rated wattage is a key
characteristic but to which DOE's current definition does not apply. 74
FR 16920, 16931 (April 13, 2009). DOE did not receive any comments in
response to this proposed change. However, because ``electrical power''
is appropriately defined in paragraph 2.8 or Appendix R of Subpart B,
DOE note that it has decided to replace the term ``wattage'' in parts
(1)(ii) and (1)(iii) of the definition of ``rated wattage'' with
``electrical power.'' Therefore, for the reasons explained above and in
the April 2009 NOPR, DOE adopts the definition of ``rated wattage'' as
set out in the regulatory text of this final rule.
2. ``Colored Fluorescent Lamp''
    With respect to the definition of ``colored fluorescent lamp,'' DOE
first notes that EPCA defines general service fluorescent lamps as
fluorescent lamps ``which can be used to satisfy the majority of
fluorescent [lighting] applications,'' but which are not designed and
marketed for certain specifically listed ``nongeneral lighting
applications,'' including ``colored fluorescent lamps.'' (42 U.S.C.
6291(30)(B)) As with ``rated wattage,'' EPCA does not define the term
``colored fluorescent lamp,'' but DOE's regulations do. The DOE
regulations currently define the term as ``a fluorescent lamp
designated and marketed as a colored lamp'' and having a CRI less than
40 or a CCT less than 2500 K or greater than 6600 K. 10 CFR 430.2.
Because lamps meeting this definition are not GSFL under EPCA, they are
not covered by the standards applicable to GSFL.
    After becoming aware of a lamp on the European market that is
intended for general illumination applications but has a CCT of 17000 K
and might meet DOE's definition of ``colored fluorescent lamp,'' DOE
became concerned that some new products with general service
applications might be excluded from the coverage of standards
applicable to GSFL. 73 FR 13620, 13634 (March 13, 2008). To avoid this
possibility, DOE considered adding the following phrase to its
definition of ``colored fluorescent lamp'': ``* * * and not designed or
marketed for general illumination applications.'' Id.
    Following publication of the March 2008 ANOPR, DOE obtained
information indicating that, instead, it should amend the definition of
``colored fluorescent lamp'' both to: (1) Exclude from the definition,
and thereby place under energy conservation standards, lamps with CCTs
from 6600 K to 7000 K; and (2) include in the definition, and thereby
place outside the coverage of standards, all lamps with a CCT greater
than 7000 K (i.e., regardless of how the lamp is designated and
marketed). Although lamps with CCTs greater than 6600 K and less than
or equal to 7000 K are not prevalent in the market, such lamps are
commercially available and becoming increasingly popular. Furthermore,
manufacturers would likely be able to produce a lamp at 7000 K using
the same materials as a 6500 K lamp (a commonly sold lamp). Thus, DOE
tentatively concluded that covering such lamps would maintain the
coverage under DOE's energy conservation standards of GSFL serving
general application purposes, and that the technological similarity
between 6500 K and 7000 K lamps makes it possible to establish
technologically feasible efficacy levels for 7000 K lamps. However,
very few lamps with a CCT greater than 7000 K exist in the market, and
the inherently ``blue'' color of these high-CCT lamps appears to
prevent their widespread adoption as substitutes for standard CCT lamps
(e.g., 4100 K). In addition, the materials used in the manufacture of
such lamps, as well as the design trade-offs in developing them, would
differ from those applicable to current products serving this market.
Thus, DOE tentatively concluded that it could not determine whether a
particular standard level would be technologically feasible for lamps
with a higher CCT, and that these lamps would not be expected to be a
potential loophole to standards it was considering in this rulemaking.
For these reasons, which DOE discussed in greater detail in the April
2009 NOPR, DOE proposed to modify the definition of ``colored
fluorescent lamp'' by raising the upper CCT limit for lamps excluded
from that term from 6600 K to 7000 K, and including in that term all
lamps (regardless how the lamp is designated and marketed) with a CCT
greater than 7000 K. 74 FR 16920, 16931-32 (April 13, 2009).
    Both EEI and NEMA agreed with the proposed definition of ``colored
fluorescent lamp.'' (EEI, No. 45 at p. 2, NEMA, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 46-47; NEMA, No. 81 at p. 7) However, ACEEE
pointed out that at an earlier stage of the rulemaking process, NEMA
had identified an 8000 K lamp and claimed that lamps at high CCT values
were capturing an increasing market share of general service
applications. ACEEE argued that, if this is true, lamps with a CCT up
through 8000 K should be included in coverage. (ACEEE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 48). NEMA responded that it is not aware of
an 8000 K lamp gaining market share in the general service lighting
market because such a lamp would be too blue and not suitable for
general service applications. (NEMA,

[[Page 34094]]

Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 49-50)
    ACEEE also suggested that DOE should reinsert the phrase ``and not
designed or marketed for general illumination applications'' in the
definition of ``colored fluorescent lamp'' to ensure that only
specialty lamps are excluded from the definition of ``general service
fluorescent lamp.'' (ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp.
48-49; ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 4) In response, DOE agrees that the
intention of the exemption for colored fluorescent lamps is to exclude
only specialty lamps from standards. DOE believes that the amended
definition of ``colored fluorescent lamp'' should not become a loophole
for fluorescent lamps that are used in general service applications,
and, therefore, should be subject to energy conservation standards.
However, DOE also maintains that there are enough lamps available with
CCTs greater than 7000 K to determine technologically feasible energy
conservation standards. In addition, DOE believes that the inherently
``blue'' color of these lamps may prevent widespread adoption as
substitutes for standard CCT lamps (e.g., 4100 K).
    Therefore, in this final rule, DOE is modifying the definition of
``colored fluorescent lamp'' as follows. DOE has decided to incorporate
the phrase ``and not designed or marketed for general illumination
applications'' into the definition of ``colored fluorescent lamp.''
This phrase will apply to those lamps with CCTs greater than 7000 K, as
well as lamps with a CRI less than 40 and lamps with a CCT under 2500
K. However, because DOE believes that there are insufficient data to
determine whether amended standards for lamps with CCTs greater than
7000 K would be technologically feasible, DOE is modifying the range of
CCTs for which it is adopting standards. As a result, lamps referred to
as possessing high CCTs in this standard-setting rulemaking are now
being classified as those with a CCT greater than 4500 K and less than
or equal to 7000 K (rather than simply greater than 4500 K).
    DOE is implementing these changes in this manner because of the
anti-backsliding provision in EPCA. Because lamps with CCTs greater
than 7000K that are not designated and marketed as colored lamps are
currently subject to energy conservation standards, exempting all lamps
with a CCT above 7000 K through inclusion in the definition of
``colored fluorescent lamp'' would prescribe a standard which
impermissibly ``decreases the minimum required energy efficiency, of a
covered product.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295 (o)(1)) Thus, if lamps with CCTs
greater than 7000 K are used in general service applications, they will
not be covered by the standards adopted by this final rule, although
they will continue to be subject to the existing energy conservation
standards (which have not been eliminated, despite being superseded in
terms of efficacy levels for most--but not all, as demonstrated here--
of those lamps upon the effective date of the updated GSFL standards).
In conclusion, DOE adopts the following definition for ``colored
fluorescent lamp'' as set out in the regulatory text of this final
rule.

D. Off Mode and Standby Mode Energy Consumption Standards

    Section 310(3) of EISA 2007 amended EPCA to require energy
conservation standards adopted for a covered product after July 1, 2010
to address standby mode and off mode energy use. (42 U.S.C.
6295(gg)(3)) Although the final rule in this standards rulemaking is
scheduled for publication by June 2009 (i.e., before this statutory
deadline), DOE nonetheless did a preliminary analysis of the potential
for energy savings associated with the regulation of standby mode and
off mode energy use in covered lamps. DOE tentatively determined that
current technologies for the GSFL and IRL that are the subjects of this
rulemaking do not use a standby mode or off mode, so it is neither
feasible nor necessary to incorporate energy use in these modes into
the energy conservation standards for GSFL and IRL. Therefore, DOE did
not propose amendments to the standards to address lamp operation in
such modes. 73 FR 13620, 13627 (March 13, 2008); 74 FR 16920, 16932-33
(April 13, 2009). DOE did not receive any comments regarding this
subject, so DOE concludes that standby mode and off mode are not
applicable to these products. Therefore, in this final rule, DOE is not
adopting provisions to address lamp operation in off mode or standby
mode as part of the energy conservation standards that are the subject
of this rulemaking.

E. Color Rendering Index Standards for General Service Fluorescent
Lamps

    EPCA specifies minimum levels of both lumens per watt and CRI that
GSFL must meet. (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)) However, EPCA authorizes DOE to
consider and adopt only energy conservation standards that consist of
energy performance requirements. (42 U.S.C. 6291(6)) In the March 2008
ANOPR, commenters suggested that it may be necessary for DOE to amend
the existing CRI standards to prevent the possible emergence of
loopholes in the product class structure and standards levels. In the
April 2009 NOPR, DOE concluded that it does not have the authority to
change the CRI standard because CRI is not a measure of energy
consumption or efficacy, but rather a measure of the color quality of
the light. 74 FR 16920, 16933 (April 13, 2009).
    In written comments, Earthjustice argued that DOE has the authority
to amend EPCA's Color Rendering Index (CRI) for GSFL, stating that DOE
ignored the context of the duties that Congress imposed in 42 U.S.C.
Sec.  6295(i)(3). Earthjustice correctly noted that Congress included a
table specifying both lamp efficacy and CRI standards for GSFL. (42
U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)(B)). The commenter also correctly stated that
Congress provided that all GSFL ``shall meet or exceed the [specified]
lamp efficacy and CRI standards'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1)(B)), and
directed DOE to ``determine if the standards in paragraph (1) should be
amended.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(3)). From there, Earthjustice took the
position that Congress did not intend to require DOE to assess only the
``energy conservation standards'' established in 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(1),
but instead to review all ``standards'' established in that paragraph,
which include both lamp efficacy and CRI standards. (Earthjustice, No.
60 at pp. 3-4) The Green Lighting Campaign also argued that DOE should
place restrictions on the CRI of covered GSFL because CRI can be used
to enhance a lamp's visual acuity, thereby enabling substitution of
lower-wattage lamps in a given lamp application without sacrificing
utility. Therefore, the commenter argued that CRI affects energy
efficiency and that DOE should screen out lamps with a CRI below 80.
(Green Lighting Campaign, No. 74 at p. 2, 4)
    Furthermore, Earthjustice stated that the relevant discussion in
the preamble of DOE's April 2009 NOPR did not clarify whether DOE
believes that amendment of the CRI standards is foreclosed by EPCA's
plain language (which Earthjustice disputed for the reasons above), or
that is DOE's interpretation of an ``allegedly ambiguous provision''
(which Earthjustice asserted would be arbitrary and capricious).
Earthjustice also commented that DOE's rationale on this point in the
April 2009 NOPR explanation cannot be reconciled with the purposes of
the statute and the intent of Congress, which enacted EPCA to
``conserve energy supplies through energy conservation programs'' and
``provide for improved energy efficiency of * * * consumer products.''
42 U.S.C.

[[Page 34095]]

6201(4) and (5). Finally, Earthjustice argued that DOE must consider
amending EPCA's CRI standards if an efficacy-only standard is not
sufficient to capture all technologically feasible and economically
justified energy savings. (Earthjustice, No. 60 at pp. 3-4)
    In response, DOE disagrees with the Green Lighting Campaign and
Earthjustice's interpretation of the relevant statutory language.
Despite the overarching energy-savings purposes of EPCA, Congress
promulgated a highly detailed statute (both initially and through
subsequent amendments) with numerous provisions specifying (or
restricting) DOE's authority. In general, Congress did not provide DOE
unfettered discretion to set standards, but instead established
detailed criteria, definitions, and other limitations on DOE's
authority. Consequently, when DOE faces specific provisions which limit
its authority, it seems clear that Congress did not intend the general
energy-savings provisions of EPCA to override such limitations.
Instead, DOE interprets its mandate as to maximize energy savings
within the confines of its statutory authority. With that said, DOE
continues to believe that it does not have the authority to regulate
CRI standards for the reasons discussed in the NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16933
(April 13, 2009). That is, the language in the statute does not provide
DOE with the authority to amend the CRI standard because it is not an
energy performance standard. In implementing the amended standards
rulemaking required under 42 U.S.C. 6295(i)(3), DOE must abide by the
criteria for prescribing new or amended standards set forth in 42
U.S.C. 6295(o). In relevant part, 42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A) provides that
any new or amended ``energy conservation standard'' must be designed to
achieve the maximum improvement in energy efficiency that is
technologically feasible and economically justified. More specifically,
as discussed in the NOPR, according to 42 U.S.C. 6291(6), ``energy
conservation standard'' means either: (1) A performance standard which
prescribes a minimum level of energy efficiency or a maximum quantity
of energy use; or (2) a design requirement (only for specifically
enumerated products). Although CRI is a performance requirement, it is
not an energy performance requirement within the meaning of the term
``energy conservation standard.'' Because, in the case of GSFL, DOE has
the authority to regulate only energy conservation standards (i.e.,
energy performance requirements), DOE is not amending the existing
minimum CRI requirements in this final rule.
    Even if DOE did have authority to amend the minimum CRI
requirements, DOE does not believe any modification would have impacted
the potential energy savings of this final rule. CRI does not affect
energy consumption or efficacy and, therefore, would not affect any of
the results of DOE's analysis that are summarized in section VII.

IV. General Discussion

A. Test Procedures

    DOE's test procedures for fluorescent and incandescent lamps are
set forth at 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix R.\8\ These test
procedures provide detailed instructions for measuring GSFL and IRL
performance, as well as performance attributes of GSIL, largely by
incorporating several industry standards. As explained in the April
2009 NOPR (74 FR 16920, 16933 (April 13, 2009)), DOE published a test
procedure NOPR that proposed to update the current test procedure's
references to industry standards for fluorescent and incandescent
lamps, as well as to propose adoption of test procedure amendments to
address lamps to which coverage was extended by EISA 2007 or to which
DOE was considering extending coverage through rulemaking. 73 FR 13465,
13467-68 (March 13, 2008)(the test procedure NOPR). The test procedure
NOPR also proposed the following: (1) A small number of definitional
and procedural modifications to the test procedure to accommodate
technological migrations in the GSFL market and approaches DOE has
considered in this standards rulemaking; (2) revision of the reporting
requirements for GSFL, such that all covered lamp efficacies would be
reported with an accuracy to the tenths decimal place; and (3) adoption
of a testing and calculation method for measuring the CCT of
fluorescent and incandescent lamps. Id. at 13472-74. The March 2008
ANOPR also contains a detailed discussion of these proposals and
related matters. 73 FR 13620, 13627-28 (March 13, 2008).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \8\ ``Uniform Test Method for Measuring Average Lamp Efficiency
(LE) and Color Rendering Index (CRI) of Electric Lamps.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In response to the test procedure NOPR, NEMA commented that it
strongly opposed establishing test procedures for lamps to which
coverage has not yet been extended by the energy conservation standards
rulemaking. NEMA was concerned that specifying mandatory test
conditions prior to inclusion of coverage would inadvertently prevent
new, high-efficient lamp designs from entering the market. (NEMA, No.
25 at p. 6-8) \9\ In response, in the June 2009 test procedure Final
Rule previously published (hereafter the test procedure Final Rule)),
DOE agreed with NEMA's suggestion and proceeded to finalize all other
aspects of the lamps test procedure amendments but deferred
consideration of test procedures for potentially new covered products
until DOE establishes, by final rule, the lamps to which it is
extending energy conservation standards coverage. Therefore, today's
final rule simultaneously adopts both energy conservation standards and
test procedures for these ``additional'' GSFL. In setting test
procedures for these additional GSFL, DOE is also responding to the
public comments on that topic submitted in response to the March 2008
test procedure NOPR, as discussed below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \9\ Energy Conservation Program: Test Procedures for General
Service Fluorescent Lamps, Incandescent Reflector Lamps, and General
Service Incandescent Lamps; Docket No. EERE-2007-BT-TP-0013; RIN
number 1904-AB72.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As discussed in section III.A, DOE has decided to adopted standards
for the following additional GSFL: (1) 2-foot U-shaped; (2) 4-foot MBP;
(3) 8-foot SP slimline; (4) 8-foot RDC HO; (5) 4-foot MiniBP SO; and
(6) 4-foot MiniBP HO lamps. For the additional 2-foot U-shaped and 4-
foot MBP lamps, 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix R already contains
adequate test procedures (either through existing test procedures or
those newly adopted in the test procedure final rule). Therefore, in
this final rule, DOE is not adopting new test procedures for those
lamps. However, for the added 8-foot SP slimline, 8-foot RDC HO, 4-foot
MiniBP SO, and 4-foot MiniBP HO lamps, DOE has determined that several
new provisions need to be added to the existing test procedures for
GSFL.
    These provisions pertain to the adoption of reference ballast
settings for lamps not listed in ANSI C78.81-2005 nor in ANSI C78.901-
2005, as proposed in the test procedure NOPR. In response to that test
procedure proposal, NEMA stated that instituting generic test
conditions, particularly reference ballast settings, without knowing
the specific GSFL to which the conditions may apply could have
unexpected consequences. In particular, NEMA argued that such test
procedures could constrain innovation by affecting the introduction of
new lamps into the market. NEMA also committed to developing
standardized test conditions that DOE could consider for several
covered lamp types for which no test

[[Page 34096]]

conditions currently exist. (NEMA, No. 25 at p. 6-8) \10\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \10\ Energy Conservation Program: Test Procedures for General
Service Fluorescent Lamps, Incandescent Reflector Lamps, and General
Service Incandescent Lamps; Docket No. EERE-2007-BT-TP-0013; RIN
number 1904-AB72.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DOE does not agree that imposing test conditions for future covered
products would limit innovation in the lighting industry. DOE maintains
a test procedure waiver process specifically for this reason. Under 10
CFR 430.27, DOE's regulations state, ``Any interested person may submit
a petition to waive for a particular basic model any requirements of
Sec.  430.23, or of any appendix to this subpart, upon the grounds that
the basic model contains one or more design characteristics which
either prevent testing of the basic model according to the prescribed
test procedures, or the prescribed test procedures may evaluate the
basic model in a manner so unrepresentative of its true energy
consumption characteristics, or water consumption characteristics (in
the case of faucets, showerheads, water closets, and urinals) as to
provide materially inaccurate comparative data.'' (10 CFR 430.27(a)(1))
This waiver process exists to avoid constraining innovation in the
industry. Thus, DOE believes it is not preventing the introduction of
future products into the market by specifying generic test conditions
in this final rule.
    While DOE appreciates NEMA's offer to develop additional
standardized test procedure provisions, the organization did not set a
timeframe for developing the new test conditions, and DOE believes that
this final rule needs to establish test conditions for all lamps
subject to energy conservation standards. In addition, DOE believes
that the test conditions set forth in the March 2008 NOPR are
appropriate for most commercially-available lamps. DOE arrived at the
ballast settings for these lamps by determining the appropriate lamp
replacement that exists in the relevant industry standard and using the
corresponding reference ballast settings for all lamps that fall into
that category. However, if NEMA supplies test conditions for industry
standards, DOE will consider incorporating them into its test procedure
regulations in a subsequent rulemaking.
    Thus, in this final rule, DOE is adopting the following reference
ballast settings for those additional GSFL for which it is setting
standards, as proposed in the test procedure NOPR:
    For any 8-foot SP slimline lamp not listed in the updated ANSI
C78.81-2005, the lamp should be tested using the following reference
ballast settings:

T12 lamps: 625 volts, 0.425 amps, and 1280 ohms.
T8 lamps: 625 volts, 0.260 amps, and 1960 ohms.

    For any 8-foot RDC HO lamp not listed in the updated ANSI C78.81-
2005, the lamp should be tested using the following reference ballast
settings:

T12 lamps: 400 volts, 0.800 amps, and 415 ohms. &
T8 lamps: 450 volts, 0.395 amps, and 595 ohms.

    For any 4-foot MiniBP standard output or high output lamp that is
not listed in ANSI C78.81-2005, the lamp should be tested using the
following reference ballast settings:

Standard Output: 329 volts, 0.170 amps, and 950 ohms.
High Output: 235 volts, 0.460 amps, and 255 ohms.

B. Technological Feasibility

1. General
    As stated above, any standards that DOE establishes for GSFL and
IRL must be technologically feasible. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A) and
(o)(3)(B)) DOE considers a design option to be technologically feasible
if it is in use by the respective industry or if research has
progressed to the development of a working prototype. ``Technologies
incorporated in commercial products or in working prototypes will be
considered technologically feasible.'' 10 CFR part 430, subpart C,
appendix A, section 4(a)(4)(i).
    This final rule considers the same design options as those
evaluated in the April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16933-34 (April 13,
2009) As discussed in section VI.B.2.c, DOE additionally considers
integrally-ballasted low voltage IRL as a design option to improve IRL
efficacy. (See the final rule TSD accompanying this notice, chapter 3.)
Except for trial standard level (TSL) 1 for IRL, products are
commercially available in the market at all of the TSLs evaluated for
today's rule. As to TSL1 for IRL, DOE used a design option (i.e.,
higher-efficiency gas fills) to model the performance of lamps that
would meet this TSL, and received input from manufacturers to verify
that such a design option is technologically feasible. Therefore, DOE
determined that all of the efficacy levels evaluated in this notice are
technologically feasible.
2. Maximum Technologically Feasible Levels
    As required under 42 U.S.C. 6295(p)(1), in developing the April
2009 NOPR, DOE identified the efficacy levels that would achieve the
maximum improvements in energy efficiency that are technologically
feasible (max-tech levels) for GSFL and IRL. 74 FR 16920, 16933-35
(April 13, 2009). (See chapter 5 of the TSD)
    For GSFL, DOE considered five TSLs in the April 2009 NOPR, with
TSL5 being the most stringent level for which DOE performed full
analyses. 74 FR 16920, 16979-82 (April 13, 2009). It is noted that DOE
also considered the potential for a standard level beyond TSL5 that
would require GSFL to use a higher-efficiency gas fill composition,
which would have been the maximum technologically feasible level.
Although more-efficient fill gases (often including higher molecular
weight gases) are appropriate for and are currently used in some lamp
applications, DOE is also aware employing this technology can cause
lamp instability resulting in striations or flickering in some
circumstances. DOE's research indicated that a potential standard level
that would require the use of higher-efficiency fill gases would
significantly reduce (or in some cases eliminate) the utility and
performance of the covered GSFL, DOE concluded on this basis that a
level with such an adverse impact on product utility would not be
economically justified.\11\ (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(IV) and (3)(B))
Having made this determination, there was no need or benefits to
performing additional analyses relevant to the other statutory
criteria. (See section I.A.2 for additional detail.) Consequently, TSL5
represents the most-efficient level analyzed for GSFL.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \11\ DOE notes that it did not eliminate higher-efficiency fill
gases from further consideration as a technology under the screening
analysis, because that technology may be appropriate for low-wattage
lamp applications.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For IRL, as explained in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE believes that the
maximum technologically feasible efficacy level incorporates the
highest-efficiency technologically feasible reflector, halogen infrared
coating, and filament design. Id. Combining all three of these high-
efficiency technologies simultaneously results in the maximum
technologically feasible level. However, this level is dependent on the
use of a silver reflector, which is a proprietary technology. Because
DOE is unaware of any alternate technology pathways to achieve this
efficacy level, DOE did not consider it in its analysis.
    Instead, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE based the highest efficacy
level analyzed for IRL on a commercially-available IRL which employs a
silver reflector, an improved (but not most efficient) IR

[[Page 34097]]

coating, and a filament design that results in a lifetime of 4,200
hours. Although this commercially-available lamp uses silver
technology, DOE believes that there are alternate pathways to achieve
this level. A combination of redesigning the filament to achieve higher
temperature operation (and thus reducing lifetime to 3,000 hours),
employing other non-proprietary high-efficiency reflectors, and
applying a higher-efficiency IR coating has the potential to result in
an IRL that meets an equivalent efficacy level (for more information
regarding these technologies, see chapter 3 of the TSD). Therefore, in
the April 2009 NOPR, DOE concluded that TSL5 is the maximum
technologically feasible level for IRL that is not dependent on the use
of a proprietary technology. Id.
    In response to the April 2009 NOPR, DOE received several comments
on the efficiency levels analyzed and the maximum technologically
feasible levels. For further discussion of these comments see section
VI.B. For today's final rule, the max-tech levels are provided in Table
IV.1 and Table IV.2 below.

                  Table IV.1--Max-Tech Levels for GSFL
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Max-tech
           Lamp type                       CCT             efficacy lm/W
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-foot medium bipin............  <=4,500K...............              93
                                 >4,500K and <=7,000K...              92
2-foot U-shaped................  <=4,500K...............              87
                                 >4,500K and <=7,000K...              85
8-foot single pin slimline.....  <=4,500K...............              98
                                 >4,500K and <=7,000K...              94
8-foot recessed double contact   <=4,500K...............              95
 HO.
                                 >4,500K and <=7,000K...              91
4-foot T5 miniature bipin SO...  <=4,500K...............              90
                                 >4,500K and <=7,000K...              85
4-foot T5 miniature bipin HO...  <=4,500K...............              76
                                 >4,500K and <=7,000K...              72
------------------------------------------------------------------------


                                       Table IV.2--Max-Tech Levels for IRL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                   Diameter (in                      Max-tech
             Lamp wattage                       Lamp type             inches)         Voltage      efficacy lm/W
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40W-205W..............................  Standard-spectrum.......            >2.5          >=125V      7.4P\0.27\
                                                                                           <125V      6.4P\0.27\
                                                                           <=2.5          >=125V      6.2P\0.27\
                                                                                           <125V      5.4P\0.27\
40W-205W..............................  Modified-spectrum.......            >2.5          >=125V      6.3P\0.27\
                                                                                           <125V      5.4P\0.27\
                                                                           <=2.5          >=125V      5.3P\0.27\
                                                                                           <125V     4.6P\0.27\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note 1: P is equal to the rated lamp wattage, in watts.
Note 2: Standard Spectrum means any incandescent reflector lamp that does not meet the definition of ``modified
  spectrum'' in 430.2.

 C. Energy Savings

    DOE forecasted energy savings in its national impact analysis (NIA)
through the use of an NIA spreadsheet tool, as discussed in the April
2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16935, 16958-72 (April 13, 2009).
    One of the criteria that governs DOE's adoption of standards for
covered products is that the standard must result in ``significant
conservation of energy.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(B)) While EPCA does not
define the term ``significant,'' a U.S. Court of Appeals, in Natural
Resources Defense Council v. Herrington, 768 F.2d 1355, 1373 (D.C. Cir.
1985), indicated that Congress intended ``significant'' energy savings
in this context to be savings that were not ``genuinely trivial.''
DOE's estimates of the energy savings for energy conservation standards
at each of the TSLs considered for GSFL and IRL for today's rule
indicate that the energy savings each would achieve are nontrivial.
Therefore, DOE considers these savings ``significant'' within the
meaning of Section 325 of EPCA.

D. Economic Justification

1. Specific Criteria
    As noted earlier, EPCA provides seven factors to evaluate in
determining whether an energy conservation standard for covered
products is economically justified. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)) The
following sections discuss how DOE has addressed each of those seven
factors in evaluating efficiency standards for GSFL and IRL.
a. Economic Impact on Consumers and Manufacturers
    DOE considered the economic impact of potential standards on
consumers and manufacturers of GSFL and IRL. For consumers, DOE
measured the economic impact on consumers as the change in installed
cost and life-cycle operating costs (i.e., the LCC). (See sections V.C
and VII.C.1.a, and chapter 8 of the TSD accompanying this notice.) DOE
investigated the impacts on manufacturers through the manufacturer
impact analysis (MIA). (See section VII.C.2, and chapter 13 of the TSD
accompanying this notice.) The MIA is discussed in detail in the April
2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16972-77 (April 13, 2009).

[[Page 34098]]

b. Life-Cycle Costs
    DOE considered life-cycle costs of GSFL and IRL, as discussed in
the April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16950-58 (April 13, 2009). DOE
calculated the sum of the purchase price and the operating expense--
discounted over the lifetime of the equipment--to estimate the range in
LCC benefits that consumers would expect to achieve due to standards.
c. Energy Savings
    Although significant conservation of energy is a separate statutory
requirement for adopting an energy conservation standard, EPCA also
requires DOE, in determining the economic justification of a proposed
standard, to consider the total projected energy savings that are
expected to result directly from the standard. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(III)) As in the April 2009 NOPR (74 FR 16920, 16936
(April 13, 2009)), for today's final rule DOE used the NIA spreadsheet
results in its consideration of total projected savings that are
directly attributable to the standard levels DOE considered.
d. Lessening of Utility or Performance of Products
    In considering standard levels, DOE sought to avoid new standards
for GSFL and IRL that would lessen the utility or performance of such
products. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(IV)); 74 FR 16920, 16936 (April
13, 2009)).
e. Impact of Any Lessening of Competition
    DOE considers any lessening of competition that is likely to result
from standards. Accordingly, as discussed in the April 2009 NOPR (74 FR
16920, 16936 (April 13, 2009)) and as required under EPCA, DOE
requested that the Attorney General transmit to the Secretary a written
determination of the impact, if any, of any lessening of competition
likely to result from the standards proposed in the April 2009 NOPR,
together with an analysis of the nature and extent of such impact. (42
U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(V) and (B)(ii)) Note also that the National
Impact Analysis does not consider the possibility of lessened
competition effects, and so, depending on their magnitude, such effects
may negatively impact the Net Present Value of the standards.
    To assist the Attorney General in making such a determination, DOE
provided the Department of Justice (DOJ) with copies of the April 2009
NOPR and the TSD for review. The Attorney General's response is
discussed in section VII.C.5 below, and is reprinted at the end of this
rule. For IRLs, DOJ concluded that the proposed TSL 4 could adversely
affect competition. DOJ requested that DOE consider the possibility of
new technology for IRLs as it settles on standards in this field (DOJ,
No. 77 at pp. 1-2). Although DOJ did not evaluate the impacts on
competition of TSL 4 for GSFL, DOE believes that TSL 4 does not raise
competitive issues.
f. Need of the Nation to Conserve Energy
    In considering standards for GSFL and IRL, the Secretary must
consider the need of the Nation to conserve energy. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(VI)) The Secretary recognizes that energy conservation
benefits the Nation in several important ways. The non-monetary
benefits of standards are likely to be reflected in improvements to the
security and reliability of the Nation's energy system. As discussed in
the April 2009 NOPR and in section VII.C.6 of this final rule, DOE has
considered these factors in considering whether to adopt standards for
GSFL and IRL. 74 FR 16920, 16936 (April 13, 2009).
g. Other Factors
    The Secretary of Energy, in determining whether a standard is
economically justified, considers any other factors that the Secretary
deems to be relevant. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(VII)) In adopting
today's standards, the Secretary considered the potential for GSFL and
IRL standards to adversely affect low-income consumers, institutions of
religious worship, historical facilities, institutions that serve low-
income populations, and consumers of T12 electronic ballasts. In
considering these subgroups, DOE analyzed variations on electricity
prices, operating hours, discount rates, and baseline lamps. 74 FR
16920, 16936 (April 13, 2009). The impact on these subgroups is
summarized in section VII.C.1.b.
2. Rebuttable Presumption
    Section 325(o)(2)(B)(iii) of EPCA states that there is a rebuttable
presumption that an energy conservation standard is economically
justified if the increased installed cost for a product that meets the
standard is less than three times the value of the first-year energy
savings resulting from the standard, as calculated under the applicable
DOE test procedure. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(iii)) DOE's LCC and
payback period (PBP) analyses generate values that calculate the
payback period for consumers of potential energy conservation
standards, which includes, but is not limited to, the three-year
payback period contemplated under the rebuttable presumption test
discussed above. However, DOE routinely conducts a full economic
analysis that considers the full range of impacts, including those to
the consumer, manufacturer, Nation, and environment, as required under
42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i). The results of this analysis serve as the
basis for DOE to definitively evaluate the economic justification for a
potential standard level (thereby supporting or rebutting the results
of any preliminary determination of economic justification).

V. Methodology and Discussion of Comments on Methodology

    DOE used several analytical tools that it developed previously and
adapted for use in this rulemaking. One is a spreadsheet that
calculates LCC and PBP. Another tool calculates national energy savings
and national NPV that would result from the adoption of energy
conservation standards. DOE also used the Government Regulatory Impact
Model (GRIM), along with other methods, in its MIA to determine the
impacts of standards on manufacturers in light of other cumulative
regulatory requirements. Finally, DOE developed an approach using the
National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) to estimate impacts of standards
for GSFL and IRL on utilities and the environment. The April 2009 NOPR
discusses each of these analytical tools in detail. 74 FR 16920, 16958,
16972, 16978-79, 16982 (April 13, 2009).
    As a basis for this final rule, DOE has continued to use the
spreadsheets and approaches explained in the April 2009 NOPR. DOE used
the same general methodology as applied in the NOPR, but revised some
of the assumptions and inputs for the final rule in response to public
comments. The following paragraphs discuss these revisions.

A. Market and Technology Assessment

    When beginning an energy conservation standards rulemaking, DOE
develops information that provides an overall picture of the market for
the products concerned, including the purpose of the products, the
industry structure, and market characteristics. This activity includes
both quantitative and qualitative assessments based primarily on
publicly available information. DOE presented various subjects in the
market and technology assessment for this rulemaking. (See chapter 3 of
the NOPR TSD.) These include product definitions, product classes,
manufacturers, quantities and types of products sold and offered for

[[Page 34099]]

sale, retail market trends, and regulatory and nonregulatory programs.
As discussed below, commenters raised a variety of issues related to
the market and technology assessment, to which DOE responds in the
following sections.
1. Product Classes
    In general, in evaluating and establishing energy conservation
standards, DOE divides covered products into classes by the type of
energy used, capacity, or other performance-related features that
affect efficiency, and factors such as the utility of the product to
users. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q))
a. General Service Fluorescent Lamps
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE proposed to establish product classes
for GSFL based on the following three attributes that have differential
utility and affect efficacy: (1) Physical constraints of lamps (i.e.,
lamp shape and length); (2) lumen package (i.e., standard versus high
output); and (3) correlated color temperature. 74 FR 16920, 16936
(April 13, 2009). Based on these criteria, DOE proposed to separate
coverage into six lamp types: (1) 4-foot medium bipin; (2) 2-foot U-
shaped; (3) 8-foot single pin slimline; (4) 8-foot recessed double
contact high output; (5) 4-foot miniature bipin T5 standard output; and
(6) 4-foot miniature bipin T5 high output. DOE also proposed to
establish separate product classes for those lamps with CCT less than
or equal to 4,500 kelvin (K) and lamps with CCT greater than 4,500 K.
In total, therefore, DOE proposed 12 product classes for GSFL. In
general stakeholders expressed overall agreement with the GSFL product
class structure proposed in the April 2009 NOPR. However, DOE did
receive several comments requesting additional product classes for
specific lamps or lamp types, as discussed below.
i. Modified-Spectrum Fluorescent Lamps
    In response to the April 2009 NOPR, GE commented that it is
currently researching and developing a 4-foot MBP modified-spectrum
fluorescent lamp that imitates the color quality of modified-spectrum
incandescent lighting. Although not yet commercially-available, GE
expects to release such a product before 2012, the effective date of
the energy conservation standard that is being established by this
final rule. Expecting that these lamps may not be able to meet minimum
efficacy requirements as amended by this rulemaking, GE recommended
that DOE either set separate lower efficacy standards for ``modified-
spectrum fluorescent lamps'' or exempt these lamps from standards
altogether. (GE, No. 80 at pp. 3-6)
    In response, DOE believes that it does not have the authority to
exempt modified spectrum fluorescent lamps from standards. Pursuant to
42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(1), DOE cannot prescribe an amended standard which
``decreases the minimum required energy efficiency, of a covered
product.'' Although no such product currently exists, DOE notes that if
they did, modified-spectrum fluorescent lamps fall under the definition
of ``general service fluorescent lamp,'' so they would already be
subject to the statutory minimum efficacy requirements. Therefore, if
DOE were to exempt these lamps from any standards, this would
constitute backsliding from the minimum efficacy requirements, which is
impermissible, as noted above.
    With regard to setting lower minimum efficacy requirements for
modified-spectrum fluorescent lamps, DOE generally sets separate
efficiency standards for products deemed to be in separate product
classes. While these lamps may in the future provide a distinct utility
to consumers (a basis on which product classes may be established under
42 U.S.C. 6295(q)), at this time, DOE has no evidence that this utility
in fact exists or is even required of the general service fluorescent
market, because there is no such product yet developed. Therefore, in
this final rule, DOE is not establishing a separate product class for
modified-spectrum fluorescent lamps. However, DOE notes that if the
company successfully develops its modified-spectrum fluorescent lamp
and believes that it warrants exemption from DOE's amended standards,
it may be possible for GE to seek exception relief from DOE's Office of
Hearings and Appeals (OHA) pursuant to 10 CFR Part 1003.
i. 25 Watt 4-Foot MBP Lamps
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE established one product class for 4-
foot MBP lamps (of a single CCT category) that spanned the full range
of covered lamp wattages (i.e., greater than or equal to 25W). The
effects of doing this were such that at TSL5, as considered in the
NOPR, the 25W 4-foot MBP T8 lamp was expected to be eliminated from the
market, as it would not meet the minimum efficacy requirements. In
response to the April 2009 NORP, the California Stakeholders and ACEEE
suggested DOE should establish a separate product class for the 25W 4-
foot T8 MBP because it represents a significant energy-savings
opportunity. While DOE recognizes that the availability of the 25W 4-
foot T8 MBP lamp provides additional energy savings opportunities to
consumers, DOE does not believe that this alone is a basis to establish
a separate product class for this lamp. As noted above, DOE establishes
product classes only when a product type either: (1) Consumes a
different type of energy, or (2) has a capacity or other performance-
related feature which justifies a higher or lower standard level. In
making such a determination, DOE considers whether there is a
differential utility which affects efficacy. To DOE's knowledge, the
25W 4-foot MBP lamp does not provide any additional utility over that
which its 32W full-wattage counterpart provides. Therefore, DOE has not
established a different product classes for 25W lamps.
ii. Summary of GSFL Product Classes
    Because DOE received no other comments on the GSFL product classes
proposed in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE is not making any changes in this
final rule related to GSFL product classes. Table V.1 summarizes the
GSFL product classes for this final rule.

             Table V.1--Final Rule Product Classes for GSFL
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         Lamp type                               CCT
------------------------------------------------------------------------
4-Foot Medium Bipin........................................     <=4500 K
                                                                 >4500 K
2-Foot U-Shaped............................................     <=4500 K
                                                                 >4500 K
8-Foot Single Pin Slimline.................................     <=4500 K
                                                                 >4500 K
8-Foot RDC HO..............................................     <=4500 K
                                                                 >4500 K
4-Foot Miniature Bipin SO..................................     <=4500 K
                                                                 >4500 K
4-Foot Miniature Bipin HO..................................     <=4500 K
                                                                 >4500 K
------------------------------------------------------------------------

b. Incandescent Reflector Lamps
    For incandescent reflector lamps, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE
proposed to base its product class structure on: (1) Lamp spectrum
(modified versus standard spectrum); (2) lamp diameter (greater than
2.5 inches or less than or equal to 2.5 inches); and (3) rated voltage
(less than 125V or greater than or equal to 125V). DOE received several
comments on these product classes. The following sections summarize and
address those public comments.
i. Modified-Spectrum Lamps
    Modified-spectrum lamps provide a unique performance-related
feature to consumers, in that they offer a different spectrum of light
from the typical incandescent lamp. These lamps offer

[[Page 34100]]

benefits such as ensuring better color discrimination and often
appearing more similar to natural daylight, possibly resulting in
psychological benefits. In addition to providing a unique performance
feature, DOE also understands that the technologies that modify the
spectral emission from these lamps also decrease their efficacy,
because a portion of the light emission is absorbed by the coating.
Therefore, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE proposed to establish a separate
product class for modified-spectrum lamps based on their unique
performance feature and the impact of this performance feature on
product efficacy. 74 FR 16920, 16938-39 (April 13, 2009).
    NEMA supported DOE's proposal for separate product classes based on
modified spectrum. (GE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 60;
NEMA, No. 81 at p. 12) Conversely, ASAP, ACEEE, and the California
Stakeholders commented that separate product classes based on spectrum
are unnecessary because existing technologies such as LEDs and
phosphor-based lamps (e.g., CFLs) can deliver the same utility to
consumers that modified-spectrum IRL offer. ASAP stated that DOE should
evaluate the unique utility of a product rather than the technology
providing it. (ASAP, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4, at pp. 68-69;
California Stakeholders, No. 63 at pp. 2, 25)
    In response, DOE agrees that other technologies could produce
modified spectrum light. However, DOE reiterates the point it made in
the NOPR that the governing statutory provision directs DOE to maintain
performance-related features for a covered product type. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(4)) If DOE were to regulate modified-spectrum lamps within the
same product class as standard-spectrum lamps, this could result in an
energy conservation standard that would eliminate the modified-spectrum
utility from the IRL market. Furthermore, DOE believes some consumers
may find a unique utility in modified-spectrum IRL that does not exist
in CFL or LED lamps that emit modified spectra. For example, modified-
spectrum IRL have a higher CRI than many of their potential substitutes
(e.g., CFL), thereby providing a different, and in some cases a
preferable, quality of light. In addition, DOE cannot confirm that a
full range of lumen outputs are currently commercially available from
LED reflector lamps. This could potentially eliminate the modified
spectrum utility for some consumers requiring specific lumen packages
(e.g., high-lumen lamps).
    PG&E, NRDC, ASAP, and the California Stakeholders also commented
that no efficacy allowance is necessary for modified-spectrum lamps for
two main reasons. First, they argued that incandescent reflector
technology that results in modified-spectrum efficacies greater that
the highest standard-spectrum standard level (TSL5) already exists.
They demonstrated these efficacies in prototypes utilizing advanced IR
coatings and silver reflectors. Second, the stakeholders argued that
there are other means (beyond the use of absorptive elements within the
glass cover) to produce modified-spectrum lamps. They suggested that
reflective coatings, similar to the infrared ones that already exist,
could, in principle, be used to create a modified spectrum in a much
more efficient way. (California Stakeholders, No. 63 at pp. 2, 25;
PG&E, NRDC, ASAP, No. 59 at p. 15-16; NRDC, No. 82 at pp. 2, 4)
    DOE reiterates that it establishes product classes based on whether
a given product has unique performance features that affect the
efficacy of the product, not on whether it is technologically feasible
for the product to meet another product class's efficacy levels.
Therefore, the absolute efficacy of a given modified-spectrum IRL does
not play a role in whether DOE should or should not establish a
distinct product class. Then once it is determined that a separate
class is appropriate under the statute, an appropriate level is set
based upon examination of lamps within that class, rather than a
comparison to different types of lamps. What is relevant is whether
there is a change in efficacy that is caused by a unique performance
feature. DOE maintains that at this time modified spectrum IRL cannot
achieve an equivalent maximum technologically feasible level as
standard-spectrum IRL. To this point, the stakeholders themselves
acknowledge in their comments that lenses used to modify the spectrum
of IRL result in at least a 10 percent decrease in efficacy as compared
to standard-spectrum lamps. (PG&E, NRDC, ASAP, No. 59 at p. 2) Although
the stakeholders have demonstrated that modified-spectrum IRL might
potentially be able to achieve efficacies exceeding that of the highest
efficacy level analyzed for standard-spectrum lamps, DOE believes that
there is considerable uncertainty surrounding the efficacies of the
prototypes provided. Therefore, DOE is not establishing minimum
efficacy requirements based solely on these prototype efficacies. DOE
further addresses its consideration of these prototype efficacies in
section VI.B.2.
    On the stakeholders' second point, DOE agrees that, in principle,
there may be other means of producing modified-spectrum lamps. However,
at present, DOE is unaware of any commercially-available IRL or working
IRL prototype using the alternative methods suggested by stakeholders.
For all of the above reasons, DOE has decided to establish a separate
product class for modified-spectrum incandescent reflector lamps.
    Also related to modified-spectrum IRL, Tailored Lighting, a
specialty lighting company, commented that it produces specialty lamps
that alter the spectrum, differently than modified-spectrum lamps,
which the commenter claims better simulates daylight. Due to the
different spectra of light that are filtered in Tailored Lighting's
lamps relative to modified-spectrum lamps, Tailored Lighting argued
that their product would not qualify under the statutory definition of
``modified spectrum.'' Therefore, Tailored Lighting recommended that
DOE should either specifically exempt their product from regulation or
amend the definition of ``modified spectrum'' so as to include their
products, thereby allowing them to have reduced minimum efficacy
requirements. (Tailored Lighting, No. 73 at p. 11) Eiko Ltd, a
manufacturer of Tailored Lighting's products supported the same
amendments to the definition of ``modified spectrum.'' (Eiko, No. 79 at
p. 1)
    While DOE acknowledges that many of Tailored Lighting's products
may not fall under the definition of ``modified spectrum,'' DOE notes
that ``modified spectrum'' is a statutory definition, defined by EISA
2007 for incandescent lamps, which includes both general service
incandescent lamps and incandescent reflector lamps. (42 U.S.C.
6291(30)(W); 42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(F)) Therefore, DOE lacks the authority
to amend the definition of ``modified spectrum.'' In addition, adopting
Tailored Lighting's recommended amendment would not only affect minimum
efficacy requirements for IRL, but would also result in an amendment to
the general service incandescent lamp standards prescribed by Congress.
For these reasons, DOE is leaving the definition of ``modified
spectrum'' unchanged from that presented in the April 2009 NOPR.
    In addition, DOE notes that according to the comment, even though
Tailored Lighting also sells 12-volt MR-16 lamps with these special
daylight qualities, these lamps do not fall under the definition of
``incandescent reflector lamp.'' Tailored Lighting requested an

[[Page 34101]]

exemption (or lowered minimum efficacy requirement) for its forthcoming
PAR lamp, that would fall under the definition of ``incandescent
reflector lamp'' and is currently under development. (Tailored
Lighting, No. 73 at p. 4)) However, according to interviews and
Tailored Lighting's Web site, this lamp is not yet for sale.
    In response, DOE generally sets separate efficiency standards for
products deemed to be in separate product classes. While PAR-shaped
Tailor Lighting lamps may in the future provide a distinct utility to
consumers (a basis on which product classes are established), at this
time, because there is no product yet developed, DOE has no evidence
that this utility in fact exists or is even required of the
incandescent reflector lamp (or PAR-shaped) market. Therefore, in this
final rule, DOE is not establishing a separate product class for
Tailored Lighting's products. However, DOE notes that if Tailored
Lighting successfully develops its PAR lamp and believes that it
warrants exemption from DOE's amended standards, it may be possible for
Tailored Lighting to seek exception relief from DOE's OHA pursuant to
10 CFR Part 1003.
ii. Lamp Diameter
    As mentioned above, DOE also proposed separate product classes for
smaller-diameter lamps (i.e., lamps with a diameter less than or equal
to 2.5 inches). Such lamps provide a distinct utility (such as the
ability to be installed in smaller fixtures) which generally results in
lower efficacy because they have an inherently lower optical efficiency
than larger-diameter lamps of similar filament size. Both NEMA and the
California Stakeholders supported DOE's proposal to establish a
separate product class for small-diameter lamps. (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 7,
p. 12; GE Lighting, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 60;
California Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 22) Because DOE received no other
comments on this issue, DOE continues to set separate product classes
for lamps of diameter less than or equal to 2.5 inches.
iii. Voltage
    Current DOE test procedures provide for lamps rated at 130 volts
(V) to be tested at 130 V and for lamps rated at 120 V to be tested at
120 V. However, DOE is aware that a large number of consumers actually
operate 130 V lamps at 120 V, which results in longer lifetime but
lower efficacy. With a single efficacy level for lamps rated at each
voltage, this situation would effectively lead to a lower efficacy
requirement for these 130 V lamps that are run at 120 V, compared to
120 V lamps run at 120 V. These 130V lamps would not require the same
level of technology as 120 V-rated lamps to meet the same standard,
and, thus, they would be cheaper to produce. Therefore, setting higher
standards for IRL without accounting for voltage differences could
result in increased migration to the 130 V lamps and possible lost
energy savings. For these reasons, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE proposed
to set separate standards for 130 V lamps. Specifically, DOE proposed
to establish two separate product classes: (1) Lamps with a rated
voltage less than 125 V, and (2) lamps with a rated voltage greater
than or equal to 125 V. 74 FR 16920, 16940 (April 13, 2009). DOE also
requested comment on the alternative approach of having all IRL be
tested at 120 V, the most common application voltage in the market. Id.
    Philips commented that setting a 130 V-lamp efficacy level that was
15 percent higher than the level for 120 V lamps, as DOE proposed in
the NOPR, would drive 130 V lamps from the market because such a level
would be technologically infeasible. In addition, Philips and GE stated
that it is not uncommon for consumers to run lamps at 130 V in certain
regions of the country. Therefore, NEMA and Philips stated, with 130 V
lamps gone from the marketplace, some consumers may be forced to run
120 V lamps at 130 V, which could cut lamp lifetime in half and cause a
loss of utility for these consumers. For those reasons, manufacturers
argued, there should be no separate product class for voltage. Instead,
manufacturers argued that DOE should test IRL at their rated voltages
and subject the lamps to the same standard. Supporting this idea, GE
noted that even if one operates a 130 V lamp at 120 V, power is reduced
proportionally, meaning there would be lower energy consumption. (GE
and Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 61-62, 67;
NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 4, 7-8)
    Conversely, the California Stakeholders, EEI and ACEEE argued that
130 V lines are very rare. EEI stated that many utilities must follow
agreements to maintain voltages in the residential sector within a 5
percent range of 120 V (114 V to 126 V) and agreed with DOE's approach.
The California Stakeholders commented that utilities are trending
toward lower line voltage to minimize transmission losses. In addition,
they stated that FTC labeling requirements already require
manufacturers to provide power and light output for 120 V, even if the
lamps are designed to be run at 130 V. Therefore, the California
Stakeholders argued, all lamps should be regulated based on testing at
120 V. (ACEEE and EEI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 63-
64, 66; EEI, No. 45 at p. 3; California Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 25-
26)
    GE argued that while utilities do face line voltage regulation,
there are cases in which the voltage is higher than that prescribed in
ANSI C-84.1, ``American National Standard for Electric Power Systems
and Equipment-Voltage Ratings (60 Hertz),'' (the source of the
prescribed voltage range that EEI referenced in the above comment).
Therefore, the 130 V lamps have utility for consumers in these cases.
(GE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 67)
    In response, DOE remains concerned that the operation of 130 V
lamps at 120 V has the potential to significantly affect energy
savings. As discussed above, when operated under 120 V conditions,
lamps rated at 130 V and in compliance with existing IRL efficacy
standards are generally less efficacious than lamps using equivalent
technology rated at 120 V. Because of this inherent difference in
efficacy, it may be less costly to manufacture a lamp rated and tested
at 130 V that complies with a standard than a similar 120 V lamp
complying with the same standard. If DOE does not establish a separate
product class and standard for lamps rated at 130 V, more consumers may
purchase 130 V lamps because they may be less expensive, as they would
require less costly technology. When consumers operate these lamps at
120 V, in order to obtain sufficient light output, they may migrate to
higher wattages and use more energy than standards-compliant 120 V
lamps.
    DOE also believes, as commenters pointed out, that 130 V conditions
in the residential sector are very rare. Indeed, in many cases such
sustained voltages would violate electrical codes. As NEMA commented
earlier, 130 V lamps ``are almost always used by customers to achieve
`double life' by operating them at 120 V, resulting in performance
below 1992 EPACT levels.'' (NEMA, No. 21 at p. 16) DOE acknowledges
that in very rare cases, some consumers with 130 V power may be forced
to realize shorter lifetimes. However, based on stakeholder comments
and research into electrical codes, DOE does not believe the rare
instances of consumers with 130 V power experiencing shortened
lifetimes offsets the benefit in energy savings from closing this
potential loophole. In addition, as discussed in the April 2009 NOPR,
because DOE considers lifetime

[[Page 34102]]

an economic issue rather than a utility issue, DOE does not believe it
is eliminating any unique utility of feature from the market by setting
increased efficacy requirements for lamps rated greater than or equal
to 125 V. 74 FR 16920, 16939 (April 13, 2009)
    Finally, stakeholders have not provided any compelling arguments
for why DOE should amend the test procedure to test all lamps at 120 V
rather than set higher efficacy standards for these lamps. Therefore,
in this final rule DOE is maintaining separate product classes for
lamps with rated voltages less than 125 V and lamps with rated voltages
greater than or equal to 125 V.
iv. IRL Summary
    In summary, DOE is not making any changes in this final rule
related to IRL product classes from those proposed in the April 2009
NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 17027 (April 13, 2009). Table V.2 summarizes the IRL
product classes for this final rule.

              Table V.2--Final Rule Product Classes for IRL
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Diameter
                     Spectrum                          (in      Voltage
                                                     inches)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard Spectrum.................................       >2.5    >=125 V
                                                                  <125 V
                                                        <=2.5    >=125 V
                                                                  <125 V
Modified Spectrum.................................       >2.5    >=125 V
                                                                  <125 V
                                                        <=2.5    >=125 V
                                                                  <125 V
------------------------------------------------------------------------

B. Engineering Analysis

    For each product class, the engineering analysis identifies
potential, increasing efficacy levels above the level of the baseline
model. Those technologies not eliminated in the screening analysis
(design options) are inputs to this process. Design options consist of
discrete technologies (e.g., infrared reflective coatings, rare-earth
phosphor mixes). As detailed in the April 2009 NOPR, to ensure that
efficacy levels analyzed are technologically feasible, DOE concentrated
its efforts in the engineering analysis on developing product efficacy
levels associated with ``lamp designs,'' based upon commercially-
available lamps that incorporate a range of design options. 74 FR
16920, 16941 (April 13, 2009). However, when necessary, DOE
supplemented commercially-available product information with an
examination of the incremental costs and improved performance
attributable to discrete technologies so that a substitute lamp at each
efficacy level would be available for each baseline lamp.
    In energy conservation standard rulemakings for other products, DOE
often develops cost-efficiency relationships in the engineering
analysis. However, for this rulemaking, DOE derived efficacy levels in
the engineering analysis and end-user prices in the product price
determination. By combining the results of the engineering analysis and
the product price determination, DOE derived typical inputs for use in
the LCC and NIA. See chapter 7 of the TSD for further details on the
product price determination.
1. Approach
    For the final rule, DOE is using the same methodology for the
engineering analysis that was detailed in the April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR
16920, 16941-47 (April 13, 2009). The following is a summary of the
steps taken in the engineering analysis:
    • Step 1: Select Representative Product Classes
    • Step 2: Select Baseline Lamps
    • Step 3: Identify Lamp or Lamp-and-Ballast Designs
    • Step 4: Develop Efficacy Levels.
    A more detailed discussion of the methodology DOE followed to
perform the engineering analysis can be found in the engineering
analysis chapter of the TSD (chapter 5).
2. Representative Product Classes
    As discussed in section V.A.1 of this notice, DOE is establishing
twelve product classes for GSFL and eight product classes for IRL. As
detailed in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE did not analyze each and every
product class. 74 FR 16920, 16941-42 (April 13, 2009). Instead, DOE
selected certain product classes to analyze, and then scaled its
analytical findings for those representative product classes to other
product classes that were not analyzed. While DOE received several
stakeholder comments regarding methods of scaling to product classes
not analyzed (discussed in section V.C.7), DOE did not receive
objections to the decision to scale to certain product classes or the
representative product classes proposed in the April 2009 NOPR. Id. at
16941-42. Therefore, for this final rule, DOE analyzed the same product
classes proposed for direct analysis in the April 2009 NOPR.
    For GSFL, the analyzed product classes included 4-foot medium
bipin, 8-foot single pin slimline, 8-foot recessed double-contact high
output, 4-foot MiniBP standard output, and 4-foot MiniBP high output
GSFL product classes, all with CCTs less than or equal to 4,500K. DOE
did not explicitly analyze U-shaped lamps, but instead scaled the
results of the 4-foot medium bipin class analysis, as discussed in
section V.B.5.a. For IRL, the representative product class DOE analyzed
was IRL with standard spectrum, voltage less than 125 V, and diameter
greater than 2.5 inches. For further information on representative
product classes, see chapter 5 of the TSD.
3. Baseline Models
    Once DOE identified the representative product classes for
analysis, DOE selected the representative units for analysis (i.e.,
baseline lamps) from within each product class. These representative
units are generally what DOE believes to be the most common, least
efficacious lamps in their respective product classes. For further
discussion on baseline lamps and lamp-and-ballast systems chosen for
analysis, see the April 2009 NOPR (74 FR 16920, 16942-45 (April 13,
2009)) and Chapter 5 of the TSD.
    In general, DOE decided to maintain the baseline models proposed in
the April 2009 NOPR. However, DOE did receive a comment on its
selection of the baseline model for 4-foot MiniBP lamps, as discussed
and responded to below. In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE developed model T5
halophosphor lamps as the baselines for the 4-foot MiniBP SO and 4-foot
MiniBP HO product classes. To create these model T5 lamps, DOE used
efficacy data from short halophosphor fluorescent T5 lamps currently
available and developed a relationship between length and efficacy. DOE
validated this relationship by comparing it to previous industry
research and efficacies of other halophosphor lamps. DOE then used this
relationship to determine the efficacies of a halophosphor 4-foot
miniature bipin standard output lamp and a halophosphor 4-foot
halophosphor T5 miniature bipin HO lamp. The resulting baseline
efficacies for 4-foot MiniBP SO and 4-foot MiniBP HO lamps were 86.0
lm/W and 76.6 lm/W. 74 FR 16920, 16943 (April 13, 2009)
    In response to the April 2009 NOPR, NEMA and GE commented that
baseline efficacies and efficacy levels for 4-foot MiniBP lamps should
reflect testing at an ambient temperature of 25 [deg]C rather than 35
[deg]C, the temperature at which standards for 4-foot MiniBP lamps in
the April 2009 NOPR were based. GE also stated that manufacturers test
4-foot

[[Page 34103]]

MiniBP lamps at 25 [deg]C and then use a relative measurement to
estimate performance at 35 [deg]C. This additional information is
provided in catalogs because many T5 lamps are operated in higher-
temperature environments. (GE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at
pp. 72-73, 76-78, NEMA, No. 81 at p. 3, 7, 8, 9, 22)
    DOE has confirmed that test procedures for 4-foot MiniBP lamps in
fact specify that the test should be performed at 25 [deg]C. While DOE
agrees that the minimum efficacy standards (and therefore efficacy
levels) should be based on this testing condition, DOE believes that
the efficacies and lumen outputs of lamps analyzed in the engineering
analysis (and thus LCC and NIA) should reflect typical operating
conditions. It is DOE's understanding that 4-foot MiniBP lamps most
often operate at 35 [deg]C. Therefore DOE bases all lamp efficacies and
lumen outputs used in the engineering, LCC, and national impacts
analyses on this operating condition. DOE discusses its approach to
establishing 4-foot MiniBP efficacy levels based on testing at 25
[deg]C in section V.B.4.b.
    NEMA also commented that a more accurate and straightforward
approach to modeling the 4-foot MiniBP halophosphor baseline lamp
efficacies would be to base it on the ratio of halophosphor to
triphosphor lamp efficacies in 4-foot T8 MBP lamps (0.78). (NEMA, No.
81 at p. 9) DOE believes that NEMA's suggested approach is valid.
However, when using efficacies of commercially-available 4-foot MBP
halophosphor lamps (77.9 lm/W) and triphosphor lamps (95.4 lm/W), DOE
calculated an efficacy ratio of 0.82. Applying this ratio to 35 [deg]C
catalog lamp efficacies results in baseline efficacies of 4-foot MiniBP
SO and 4-foot MiniBP HO lamps of 85.5 lm/W and 76.1 lm/W. Because these
efficacies are within an acceptable margin of uncertainty relative to
the baseline efficacies used in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE has not
changed its 4-foot MiniBP baseline lamps.
    For more information about these and other baseline lamps, see
chapter 5 and appendix 5B of the TSD.
 4. Efficacy Levels
a. GSFL Compliance Reports
    For the March 2008 ANOPR, DOE developed candidate standards levels
for GSFL by dividing initial lumen output by the ANSI rated wattages of
commercially-available lamps, thereby resulting in rated lamp
efficacies.\12\ 74 FR 16920, 16945 (April 13, 2009). In response to the
potential GSFL efficacy levels presented in the March 2008 ANOPR, NEMA
commented on several reasons why the association believes that the
efficacy levels need to be revised, including (1) the appropriateness
of using ANSI rated wattages in the calculation of lumens per watt; (2)
consideration of variability in production of GSFL; (3) manufacturing
process limitations related to specialty products; (4) consideration of
adjustments to photometry calibrations; and (5) the appropriateness of
establishing efficacy levels to the nearest tenth of a lumen per watt.
74 FR 16920, 16945-46 (April 13, 2009).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \12\ DOE used rated wattages listed in ANSI C78.81-2005 to
determine lamp efficacies. DOE proposed a definition of ``rated
wattage'' in section III.C.1 that referred to an ANSI standard to
prevent manufacturers from circumventing standards by rating lamps
at artificially low wattages.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    After considering NEMA's comments, DOE agreed that tolerances
incorporated into ANSI rated wattages and variability in production of
GSFL warranted changes to the efficacy levels presented in the March
2008 ANOPR. Therefore, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE revised the efficacy
levels for GSFL by using lamp efficacy values submitted to DOE over the
past 10 years for the purpose of compliance with existing energy
conservation standards. Using compliance reports as a basis for
efficacy standards allowed DOE to more accurately characterize the
tested performance of GSFL, by accounting for the measured wattage
effects and wattage and lumen output variability. 74 FR 16920, 16946-47
(April 13, 2009).
    DOE received several comments on its proposed efficacy levels in
the NOPR. NEMA commented that the range of efficacy levels considered
was appropriate. (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 21) Both ACEEE and NEMA supported
DOE's usage of compliance reports to establish efficacy levels.
However, NEMA commented that it has additional data on variability that
has been observed in lamp production. (ACEEE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 79-80; NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No.
38.4 at pp. 89-90) NEMA recommended a slight lowering of certain GSFL
efficacy levels so that an assessment of multiple lamps in a product
line would find that the lamps were in conformance when tested under
the DOE GSFL test procedure. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4
at pp. 90-91) NEMA also claimed that required adjustments to photometry
facilities used for NIST and NVLAP testing over time have resulted in a
reduction of reported lumens for some products, which DOE did not
account for in the April 2009 NOPR. NEMA therefore advised DOE to use
only ``sufficiently current'' compliance data to determine efficacy
levels. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 75-76; NEMA,
No. 81 at p.10-11) To account for all of these factors, NEMA stated
that DOE should adopt the efficacy levels NEMA recommended in response
to the March 2008 ANOPR. These levels recommended by NEMA achieve the
desired technology goals as outlined by DOE. (NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 1-2,
10-11, 23) ACEEE opposed a further downward adjustment of the
efficiency levels, as it would allow less-efficacious products to
remain on the market. (ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p.
80)
    While DOE is aware that manufacturers may have additional data on
production variability, NEMA has not provided such data to DOE.
Therefore, DOE has maintained its approach (as presented in the April
2009 NOPR) to develop GSFL efficacy levels. Additionally, DOE believes
that by using the compliance reports it is accounting for variability
in production as it exists today, for the reasons that follow. First,
the product efficacy reported for compliance purposes is related to the
lower limit of the 95-percent confidence interval. As explained in
DOE's May 1997 lamps test procedure final rule, this interval
represents variation over the whole population of production, not only
the sample size. 62 FR 29222, 29230 (May 29, 1997). In addition,
regarding any changes in calibration requirements that may have
occurred that could affect reported lamp efficacy, DOE has reevaluated
its efficacy levels based on the latest compliance reports, many of
which were submitted to DOE after the NOPR analysis had been completed.
Following the same methodology as presented in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE
compared the efficacy values for each product class to all available
compliance report data and assessed whether the April 2009 NOPR levels
achieved the technology goals outlined in chapter 5 of the TSD. For 4-
foot MBP lamps, DOE determined that the efficacy levels proposed in the
April 2009 NOPR must be revised to accurately represent those goals.
For 4-foot MBP lamps with CCTs less than or equal to 4500K, DOE
adjusted the efficacy values because new compliance reports: (1)
Provided recent data for an existing basic model; (2) provided data for
a new basic model; or (3) provided 12-month average production data
whereas only initial data had been previously reported.

[[Page 34104]]

    NEMA also did not believe it was necessary to raise EL3 for 4-foot
MBP lamps from their recommended 83 lumens per watt to 84 lumens per
watt as proposed in the April 2009 NOPR. NEMA stated that this increase
was not required to achieve the technology goal specified for TSL3 and,
furthermore, would have significant consequences for the residential
consumer because it eliminated nearly all T12 lamps. (NEMA, No. 81 at
p. 2)
    In response, DOE reassessed its efficacy levels based compliance
report data from 2008 and 2009. As a result of this analysis, DOE
determined that the efficacy values for 4-foot MBP low CCT EL3 and EL5
required adjustments. DOE also does not believe that the value for EL3
will have significant consequences for the residential consumer. See
section V.C.8 for a discussion of this topic.
    For 8-foot SP slimline lamps and 8-foot RDC HO lamps, DOE analyzed
recent compliance reports and determined that not enough data existed
in those reports to maintain all of the levels proposed in the April
2009 NOPR. Therefore, DOE modified ELs 1, 2, and 5 for 8-foot SP
Slimline lamps and EL2 for 8-foot RDC HO lamps to reflect the levels
that NEMA recommended. The revised efficacy levels are shown in section
VII.A.1.
b. 4-Foot MiniBP Efficacy Levels
    As discussed in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE established efficacy
levels for 4-foot MiniBP SO and 4-foot MiniBP HO lamps based on catalog
rated efficacies. 74 FR 16920, 16947 (April 13, 2009). Then, in order
to account for manufacturer variation, DOE used the average reductions
in efficacy values due to manufacturer variation calculated for the
highest-efficacy 4-foot T8 medium bipin lamps, and applied those same
reductions to the 4-foot miniature bipin rated efficacy values. DOE was
unable to directly use 4-foot MiniBP lamp compliance data because these
products have not been regulated in the past.
    As mentioned earlier, NEMA and GE commented that efficacy levels
for these 4-foot MiniBP lamps should reflect testing at an ambient
temperature of 25 [deg]C rather than 35 [deg]C, the temperature at
which standards for 4-foot MiniBP lamps in the April 2009 NOPR were
based. (NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 3, 7, 8, 9, 22; GE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 72-73) ACEEE agreed that 4-foot MiniBP
lamps should be tested at 25 [deg]C. (ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript,
No. 38.4 at p. 79) As stated earlier, DOE agrees that 4-foot MiniBP
efficacy levels should be based on testing at 25 [deg]C and notes that
based on catalog data, efficacies at 25 [deg]C are 10 percent lower
than efficacies at 35 [deg]C. Therefore, in this final rule, DOE has
revised the efficacy levels for the 4-foot MiniBP product classes
accordingly.
    In addition, NEMA commented that reductions applied to the 4-foot
MiniBP efficacy levels in the April 2009 NOPR were insufficient to
fully account for variability in production. (NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 3, 9,
22) NEMA recommended that DOE adopt 86 lm/W and 76 lm/W as EL1 for the
4-foot MiniBP SO and HO product classes, respectively. DOE recognizes
that because it does not have compliance report information for 4-foot
MiniBP lamps, it may not be able to accurately assess the manufacturing
tolerance required for these lamps. Based on DOE's calculations, NEMA's
recommended efficacy levels represent manufacturer tolerances within
the range required by other lamp types. Therefore, in this final rule,
DOE has revised EL1 for 4-foot MiniBP SO and HO lamps to be 86 lm/W and
76 lm/W respectively. For consistency with those allowed manufacturer
tolerances DOE has also revised EL2 for 4-foot MiniBP SO lamps to be 90
lm/W. For the purposes of comparison, DOE estimates that 4-foot MiniBP
SO and HO halophosphor lamps would have efficacies of 77 lm/W and 69
lm/W when tested at 25 [deg]C. See Chapter 5 of the TSD for further
detail on 4-foot MiniBP efficacy levels.
c. IRL Manufacturing Variability
    For incandescent reflector lamps, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE
established efficacy levels based on commercially-available and
prototype IRL technologies. 73 FR 16920, 16944 (April 13, 2009). In
response to those efficacy levels, Philips commented that DOE did not
account for manufacturing variability when developing the efficacy
levels for incandescent reflector lamps and stressed the importance of
accounting for this variability when setting minimum efficacy
standards. (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 102-103)
Similarly, the International Association of Lighting Designers (IALD)
wrote that there are currently IRL on the market that meet TSL4 but
only by very small amounts; these products could be eliminated if TSL4
is not carefully set. (IALD, No. 71 at p. 2) Philips also wrote that it
is in support of TSL4 for IRL once it is lowered to account for
manufacturing variability. (Philips, No. 75 at pp. 1-2) DOE supports
the consideration of manufacturing variability in the development of
efficacy requirements. In response, DOE examined IRL compliance reports
submitted by manufacturers and discovered that reported efficacies of
IRL do in fact vary from the catalog efficacies. Similar to GSFL, the
efficacy reported for IRL product compliance is related to the lower
limit of the 95-percent confidence interval. 62 FR 29222, 29230 (May
29, 1997). Therefore, in some cases, given significant variability in
production, the reported efficacy of IRL may be lower than the long-
term mean efficacy presented in lamp catalogs. The compliance reports
also indicated that different efficacy levels (or technologies) require
different efficacy reductions. Thus, similar to the approach taken in
developing revised GSFL efficacy levels, DOE used IRL compliance report
data to adjust the efficacy levels presented in the April 2009 NOPR
downward to better reflect the observed efficacies of commercially-
available lamps that feature the described technologies of each EL as
discussed in chapter 5 of the TSD. Table VII.2 shows the final rule
coefficients A in the equation A*P[caret]0.27, which represents the
efficacy level requirement for IRL. P is the rated wattage of the lamp.
See chapter 5 of the TSD for further detail on the compliance reports
used in the analysis.
5. Scaling to Product Classes Not Analyzed
a. 2-Foot U-Shaped Lamps
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE developed efficacy levels for 2-foot
U-shaped GSFL by assessing the catalog efficacies of U-shaped lamps
that utilize the same design options used for the 4-foot medium bipin
GSFL lamps that DOE analyzed. 74 FR 16920, 16948 (April 13, 2009). To
develop the April 2009 NOPR ELs for U-shaped lamps while taking into
account manufacturing variability, DOE assessed compliance reports of
U-shaped lamps. Where U-shaped lamp compliance report data was
unavailable, DOE augmented its assessment of manufacturing variability
with compliance report data for 4-foot medium bipin lamps due to the
technological similarities between U-shaped and 4-foot medium bipin
lamps. In the April 2009 NOPR, the maximum reduction in efficacy
requirements for U-shaped lamps in comparison with the 4-foot medium
bipin ELs was 7.7 percent at EL1 (the 4-foot medium bipin EL1
requirement of 78 lm/W vs. the U-shaped EL1 requirement of 72 lm/W).
    At the public meeting, GE commented that it is in general agreement
with the approach that DOE used to develop the efficacy levels for 2-
foot U-shaped lamps for the April 2009 NOPR. (GE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at p.

[[Page 34105]]

119-120) GE indicated, however, that the reduction in efficacy for U-
shaped lamps compared to 4-foot medium bipin lamps should be
approximately 8 percent, as the production of the bend in U-shaped
lamps adds additional manufacturing variability. (GE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 123-124) In writing, NEMA then commented
that the assumptions that DOE used to develop U-shaped lamp reduction
factors were incorrect; NEMA proposed that DOE set EL3 at 76 lm/W for
U-shaped lamps with CCTs less than or equal to 4500K and 71 lm/W for U-
shaped lamps with CCTs greater than 4500K. NEMA warned that an EL3
efficacy requirement higher than these would remove all T12 U-shaped
lamps from the market and that the setting of EL4 or higher as a
standard would negatively impact competition; according to comment, the
setting of EL5 would eliminate from the market all energy-efficient U-
shaped lamps that feature a 6-inch spacing and the ability to fit into
2x2-foot luminaires. (NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 2-3, 11)
    In response, DOE grouped U-shaped lamp compliance data sent to DOE
in 2007 and 2008 into efficacy levels based on the design options
featured in the 4-foot medium bipin lamps that DOE analyzed for the
April 2009 NOPR, as follows: 700-series U-shaped 40W T12 lamps were
grouped into EL1, and 800-series U-shaped 32W T8 lamps were grouped
into either EL3, EL4, or EL5 based on catalog efficacy. DOE did not
have any compliance reports from 2007 and 2008 for U-shaped 34W T12
lamps. DOE found that it did not have enough data at ELs 1 through 5 to
confidently assess the manufacturing variability of U-shaped lamps on
the market. For EL1 through EL3, DOE thus selected the levels proposed
by NEMA in response to the March 2008 ANOPR. (NEMA, No. 26 at p. 7) For
EL4 and EL5, NEMA did not propose levels for U-shaped lamps. Thus, DOE
used NEMA's suggested 8-percent value as a scaling factor from the
linear 4-foot medium bipin efficacy levels. (NEMA, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 123-124). The efficacy levels for low-CCT
U-shaped lamps for this final rule are shown in chapter 5 of the TSD.
    DOE notes that two manufacturers currently produce U-shaped lamps
that meet the EL4 proposed in the April 2009 NOPR and retained by DOE
in this final rule. DOE acknowledges that currently, only one
manufacturer produces U-shaped lamps that meet EL5. DOE is not aware of
technological barriers or legal barriers (such as the utilization of a
proprietary technology by this manufacturer) that would prevent other
manufacturers from producing U-shaped lamps at EL5. For this reason,
DOE is using 87 lm/W as the EL5 efficacy level requirement for U-shaped
lamps in this final rule.
b. Lamps With Higher CCTs
    Because DOE received a number of comments related to its
determination of efficacy levels based on compliance reports, DOE
decided to reevaluate its efficacy levels at higher CCT levels using
the latest compliance report data. For 4-foot MBP lamps with CCTs
greater than 4500K, DOE discovered that the efficacy values proposed in
the April 2009 NOPR required significant revision to achieve the
technology goals outlined in chapter 5 of the TSD. Therefore, to
determine efficacy values for these lamps, DOE employed the same
methodology as was used to determine efficacy values for 4-foot MBP
lamps with CCTs less than or equal to 4500K. Thus, as summarized in
section V.B.4.a, DOE selected commercially available lamps for each
efficacy level that represented that level's desired technology goal.
These revised efficacy levels are supported by data contained in
compliance reports submitted in 2008. The updated efficacy values for
these lamps are shown in chapter 5 of the TSD.
    DOE also compared NEMA's proposed efficacy levels for 8-foot lamps
against its proposed efficacy levels in the April 2009 NOPR. For 8-foot
SP Slimline lamps with CCTs greater than 4500 K, efficacy levels 1, 2,
and 5 were higher than those levels proposed by NEMA. For 8-foot RDC HO
lamps with high CCTs, only efficacy level 2 was greater than what NEMA
proposed. DOE analyzed recent compliance reports submitted and
determined that not enough data existed in those reports to maintain
the levels proposed in the April 2009 NOPR for these lamps. Therefore,
DOE modified ELs 1, 2, and 5 for 8-foot SP Slimline lamps and EL2 for
8-foot RDC HO lamps to reflect the levels that NEMA proposed. The
revised efficacy levels are shown in section VII.A.1.
    For U-shaped lamps, NEMA proposed that DOE set EL1, EL2, and EL3 at
65, 67, and 71 lm/W, respectively, for U-shaped lamps with CCTs greater
than 4500K. (NEMA, No. 26 at p. 7; NEMA, No. 81 at p. 2) DOE did not
have enough recent compliance report data for U-shaped lamps with CCTs
above 4500K to accurately assess the manufacturing variability of U-
shaped lamps on the market. For this reason, DOE adopted NEMA's
proposed requirements for this final rule. NEMA did not propose
efficacy level requirements at EL4 and EL5. To develop requirements at
these levels for U-shaped lamps with CCTs above 4500K, DOE used NEMA's
suggested 8-percent value as a scaling factor and applied the factor to
the high-CCT linear 4-foot medium bipin efficacy levels. (NEMA, Public
Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 123-124). The efficacy levels for
high-CCT U-shaped lamps for the April 2009 NOPR and for this final rule
are shown in section VII.A.1.
c. Modified Spectrum IRL
    DOE received a number of comments on the reduction factor that DOE
applied to the standard-spectrum IRL efficacy levels in order to
develop efficacy levels for the modified-spectrum IRL product class. At
the public meeting, NEMA commented that industry uses an efficacy
reduction of 20 to 25 percent for modified-spectrum IRL (in comparison
with standard-spectrum IRL of otherwise identical characteristics) and
that the typical efficacy reduction is closer to 20 percent than 25
percent. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 128-129)
After publication of the April 2009 NOPR, however, NEMA commented in
writing that DOE's April 2009 NOPR analysis was based only on 50W
modified-spectrum lamps and that DOE should choose a reduction factor
of 25 percent for the modified-spectrum IRL product class in order to
retain a diversity of modified-spectrum products on the market. (NEMA,
No. 81 at p. 12) On the other hand, PG&E, ASAP, ACEEE, and NRDC
commented in writing that if DOE does retain a modified-spectrum IRL
product class for the final rule, the class should feature an efficacy
reduction of no greater than 10 percent from the standard-spectrum IRL
efficacy requirements so that manufacturers cannot produce modified-
spectrum IRL using technologies that are cheaper than technologies that
would be needed to produced a standard-spectrum IRL of the same
efficacy level, creating a loophole. (PG&E, ASAP, NRDC, No. 59 at p. 1-
2; NRDC, No. 82 at pp. 2, 4-5; ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 5) DOE generally
does not believe that a modified-spectrum IRL product class will be
utilized by manufacturers as a loophole that ultimately undermines
energy savings. This is because DOE expects that designers of modified-
spectrum IRL will likely utilize the same design options featured in
standard-spectrum IRL that meet a particular efficacy requirement (such
as improved HIR technologies at EL4). Thus, in response to the comments
of EEI, PG&E, ASAP, and NRDC, DOE expects modified-

[[Page 34106]]

spectrum IRL to have a similar cost as standard-spectrum IRL that
comply with standards, minimizing migration to modified-spectrum IRL on
a first-cost basis. In addition, modified-spectrum IRL are of lower
lumen output than standard-spectrum IRL that otherwise have the same
characteristics (particularly rated wattage) due to the subtractive
filtering that is employed for spectrum modification. Consumers
replacing standard-spectrum IRL with modified-spectrum IRL of the same
rated wattage are likely to experience lower light levels, further
discouraging migration.
    DOE acknowledges, however, that some manufacturers may attempt to
produce modified-spectrum IRL using cheaper technologies if the
efficacy reduction for modified-spectrum IRL permits this to occur. For
the April 2009 NOPR, DOE analyzed two modified-spectrum IRL and found
an average efficacy reduction of approximately 19 percent, in general
support of NEMA's comment concerning a 20 to 25 percent efficacy
reduction utilized by industry. PG&E commented, however, that DOE
should analyze more than two modified-spectrum IRL in order to
determine an appropriate efficacy reduction for the product class.
(PG&E, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 132-133) PG&E, ASAP,
and NRDC commented in writing that it tested commercially-available
modified-spectrum cover glasses with a variety of commercially-
available IRL burner/reflector assemblies and found that one assembly
produced a MacAdam step shift of more than six MacAdam steps, which is
more than necessary to meet the modified-spectrum definition
requirement of a four-MacAdam-step shift. The interested parties
suggested that a smaller MacAdam-step shift would enable a more-
efficacious lamp that still provides modified-spectrum utility. (PG&E,
ASAP, NRDC, No. 59 at p. 2)
    DOE supports the notion that additional information could enable a
more accurate determination of the average efficacy reduction featured
by modified-spectrum lamps and prevent a possible loophole. DOE also
agrees that greater MacAdam-step shifts inherently reduce lamp efficacy
by greater amounts, as more subtractive filtering is necessary to
produce a larger shift in color point; the setting of a standard that
can be met by commercially-available technologies that produce color
points near the four-MacAdam-step boundary would thus preserve
modified-spectrum utility on the IRL market while reducing the chance
of a loophole. However, DOE was unable to find more modified-spectrum
lamps on the market than those already found and utilized for the April
2009 NOPR analysis. Thus, to assess the impact of varying degrees of
spectrum modification through neodymium (which DOE found to be the most
common method of modifying IRL spectra) in IRL cover glasses, DOE
developed a model that correlated cover glass neodymium concentration
with cover glass light output reduction and MacAdam-step shift in color
point. Increasing neodymium concentrations produce greater light output
reduction. DOE found that a 15-percent light output reduction
correlated with a MacAdam-step shift slightly greater than four steps.
To validate the model, DOE then obtained five commercially-available
HIR IRL capsules and then assembled reflector lamps utilizing the
capsules in combination with either standard-spectrum or modified-
spectrum commercially-available IRL cover glasses and reflectors. DOE
then tested the lamps with the two cover glass types and determined
their efficacies. The reduction in efficacy between the standard-
spectrum and modified-spectrum lamps utilizing the five commercially-
available HIR capsules obtained by DOE, averaged across the lamps, was
approximately 16 percent. DOE believes that this value is in line with
the output of the neodymium concentration model that it developed for
the analysis. DOE also believes that manufacturers will be able to vary
the neodymium concentration for cover glasses associated with a variety
of lamp shapes such that modified-spectrum utility is preserved while
standards are met. Thus, DOE is implementing a 15-percent reduction in
efficacy levels for the modified-spectrum IRL product class in this
final rule.
    While PG&E, ASAP, and NRDC mentioned that no more than a 10 percent
reduction would be necessary for a modified-spectrum product class, DOE
believes that this value is specific to the IRL featuring prototype
(not commercially-available) technologies that these interested parties
tested with a modified-spectrum cover glass. In writing, the three
interested parties acknowledged that commercially-available IRL burner/
reflector assemblies tested with the same cover glass did not meet the
modified-spectrum definition. (PG&E, ASAP, NRDC, Appendix 1, No. 63 at
pp. 11-12) Because PG&E, ASAP, and NRDC did not indicate the filament
temperature of the prototype IRL nor specify color point data, DOE
could not determine the color of the IRL lumen output when operated
with either the standard-spectrum or the modified-spectrum glasses.
Thus, DOE has insufficient data to determine whether a 10-percent
efficacy reduction could be achieved by manufacturers producing
currently-available modified-spectrum lamps or if such a reduction
would instead eliminate currently-available modified-spectrum lamps
from the market. For this reason, DOE has chosen to use an efficacy
reduction of 15 percent for the modified-spectrum IRL product class in
this final rule, based on commercially-available IRL technologies.
d. Small Diameter IRL
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE recognized that the size of small-
diameter (PAR20) lamps vs. PAR30 and PAR38 lamps provides a specific
utility to consumers (e.g. the ability to fit into smaller fixtures)
but also results in an inherent efficacy reduction. Thus, DOE
established a separate product class for small-diameter lamps in order
to preserve the small-diameter utility in the IRL marketplace in the
face of standards. 74 FR 16920, 16939 (April 13, 2009). Based on a
comparison between the efficacies of commercially-available PAR20 lamps
and their PAR30 and PAR38 counterparts, DOE selected an efficacy
reduction factor of 12 percent vs. the large-diameter IRL product class
and utilized this factor to develop the efficacy levels for the small-
diameter IRL product class.
    DOE received a number of comments on its choice of a 12-percent
efficacy reduction factor for the small-diameter IRL product class. The
California Stakeholders expressed that a 12-percent factor adequately
describes the observed efficacy differences due to optics between PAR20
and larger-diameter lamps; the California Stakeholders also warned DOE
that the selection of a larger reduction factor would allow small-
diameter IRL to meet DOE's standards using less-efficient components,
undermining DOE's energy savings goals. (California Stakeholders, No.
63 at pp. 2, 22) NEMA and GE, on the other hand, commented that the 12-
percent reduction factor is inappropriate for the product class because
75W and 50W PAR20 lamps utilize single-ended halogen burner
technologies and a double-ended burner (which is more efficacious than
a single-ended burner) will not fit into a PAR20 lamp, thus eliminating
PAR20 lamps from the market in the face of a TSL4 or TSL5 standard.
(NEMA, No. 81 at p. 7, pp. 12-13; GE, No. 80 at p. 6-7; GE, Public
Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 60-61) Philips acknowledged that a
12-percent factor describes the observed

[[Page 34107]]

efficacy differences between PAR20 lamps and larger-diameter lamps, but
the interested party concurred with GE and NEMA concerning technical
limitations that prevent double-ended burners from being installed into
PAR20 lamps. (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 135-
136, p. 138) NEMA also commented that the smaller envelope featured on
small-diameter lamps limits heat dissipation, which would cause such
lamps to run hotter and increase the susceptibility to early failure if
the highest-efficacy halogen IR burners were installed. (NEMA, No. 81
at p. 13) In writing, NEMA recommended that DOE employ a reduction
factor of 15 percent to 25 percent from the large-diameter efficacy
levels for small-diameter lamps; the range represents the range of
efficacies observed across small-diameter lamps on the market
(considering a variety of manufacturers). (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 4) The
California Stakeholders then commented in writing that PAR20 lamps will
be able to accommodate double-ended burners by utilizing bent burner
leads or cover glasses with a greater bulge and thus reach TSL5, as
illustrated by two sources: A Philips MR16 lamp (which has a smaller
diameter than a PAR20 lamp) on the European market that features a
double-ended burner and bulged cover glass, and drawings from a
lighting company that show the potential for a double-ended burner with
a bent lead to be fitted into a PAR20 without a bulged cover glass.
(California Stakeholders, No. 63 at pp. 22-24)
    Based on comments, DOE acknowledges that the installation of
double-ended burners into small-diameter lamps could be problematic.
DOE notes that the outer dimensions of a PAR20 lamp, including the
shape of the bulge, are dictated by ANSI Standard C78.21 (most recently
updated in 2003). DOE notes that it is unaware of any standard
dictating the inner dimensions of a PAR20 lamp, nor is DOE aware of a
standard dictating the dimensions of double-ended burners. Thus, DOE
believes that some technical innovations may make the installation of a
double-ended burner into a PAR20 lamp feasible. Interested parties did
not provide additional data to DOE indicating the efficacy impacts of
bending the lead of a double-ended burner so that it can be installed
into a PAR20 lamp, however; DOE also could not obtain other data
addressing these impacts. Also, DOE believes that manufacturers would
not be able to position a double-ended burner at the optimum position
for maximum efficacy in a PAR20 lamp due to the lamp's reduced size;
thus, DOE believes that a greater reduction factor than 12 percent is
warranted for PAR20 lamps at EL4 and EL5 even if a double-ended burner
could be fitted into a PAR20 lamp.
    DOE acknowledges the Philips MR16 lamp that features a double-ended
burner and also acknowledges that the MR16 format is smaller than the
PAR20 format. The MR16 format, however, is a low-voltage format, and
low-voltage lamps have different inherent characteristics than lamps
designed for line-voltage operation. DOE thus does not believe that it
can make assumptions about line-voltage small-diameter lamp designs by
assessing low-voltage lamps. The California Stakeholders provided
information showing a prototype low-voltage lamp with integrated
transformer that can meet the April 2009 NOPR level of EL5 for IRL, but
this interested party did not provide details about the lifetime of the
lamp or the impacts of the transformer on efficacy. (CA Stakeholders,
Appendix 4, No. 63 at pp. 1-5) While DOE is aware of low-voltage PAR20
lamps utilizing integrated transformers for direct connection to line-
voltage sources, DOE does not have the data required to assess the
impacts of such transformers on IRL efficacy; DOE thus could not
confidently develop an efficacy level based on an IRL with an
integrated transformer. See section VI.B.2.c for a further discussion
of the integrated-transformer IRL design option. Because DOE cannot
assess the effects of bent burner leads on lamp efficacy, acknowledges
that double-ended burners cannot be optimally positioned in PAR20
lamps, cannot make design assumptions for line-voltage lamps based on
low-voltage lamps, and cannot assess the impacts of an integrated
transformer on lamp efficacy, DOE is revising its PAR20 EL4 and EL5
efficacy requirements in this final rule so that PAR20 lamps will not
require double-ended burners to meet a standard established at EL4 or
EL5.
    In order to determine the efficacy reduction that would result from
using a single-ended burner instead of a double-ended burner in a lamp,
DOE obtained a commercially-available single-ended HIR capsule and
measured the location and dimensions of the lead wire inside of the
capsule, which prevents a certain amount of energy from reaching the
capsule wall and being reflected back to the capsule filament. (A
double-ended burner features a lead wire outside of the capsule, where
it does not interfere with the reflectance of energy from the capsule
wall back to the capsule filament.) DOE then created a model to
determine the efficacy impacts of the lead wire's presence inside of
the capsule. DOE also simulated manufacturing variability by modeling
the effects of changing the capsule dimensions and lead wire
positioning. With the resulting data from the model, DOE determined the
reduction in efficacy that results from the presence of the lead wire
inside of a single-ended HIR capsule in comparison with a double-ended
capsule, which features an external lead wire. This reduction was
determined to be approximately 3.5 percent. For EL4 and EL5, DOE is
thus changing the reduction factor for small-diameter lamps from the
April 2009 NOPR value of 12 percent to the value of 15.5 percent for
this final rule. This is within the reduction factor range proposed by
NEMA for small-diameter IRL. (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 4) The small-diameter
IRL reduction factors in the April 2009 NOPR and in this final rule are
shown in Table V.3. 74 FR 16920, 16950 (April 13, 2009).

 Table V.3--Small-Diameter IRL Reduction Factors in the April 2009 NOPR
                         and in This Final Rule
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Efficacy level                      NOPR      Final rule
------------------------------------------------------------------------
EL1...........................................          12%          12%
EL2...........................................          12%          12%
EL3...........................................          12%          12%
EL4...........................................          12%        15.5%
EL5...........................................          12%        15.5%
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Concerning heat dissipation, DOE acknowledges that the smaller size
of a PAR20 in comparison with larger-diameter lamps limits heat
dissipation, which would cause a given filament to operate at a higher
temperature if simply transplanted from a larger-diameter lamp to a
PAR20 lamp without any other changes. DOE notes, however, that HIR R20
lamps currently exist on the market, thus proving that high
temperature-HIR technology in small-diameter lamps is technologically
feasible. In addition, in its research, DOE found no ANSI standard that
indicated a required seal temperature. In fact on product
specifications, DOE found that commercially-available lamps have a
variety of seal temperatures. In consideration of all of these factors,
DOE believes that the 15.5 percent reduction for EL4 and EL5 is
appropriate for small-diameter lamps.
e. IRL With Rated Voltages Greater Than or Equal to 125 Volts
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE proposed that covered IRL with rated

[[Page 34108]]

voltages greater than or equal to 125V must be 15 percent more
efficacious than covered IRL with rated voltages less than 125V. At the
public meeting, DOE received numerous comments on this proposal. NEMA
commented that the proposed standard for 130V would not be technically
feasible to achieve; 130V IRL are less efficacious than 120V IRL so
that lifetime is preserved, and the effective elimination of 130V IRL
would reduce utility for certain regions of the country with line
voltages near 130V (since 120V IRL operated at 130V have reduced
lifetimes). (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 60-62,
66-67, 139-140) NEMA instead requested the elimination of a 130V IRL
product class and the development of standards based strictly upon
lamps' rated voltages. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at
pp. 61-62, 67; NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 7, 24) On the other hand, EEI
commented in writing on its support of higher efficacy standards for
lamps with rated voltages higher than 125V, while ACEEE commented at
the public meeting that many 130V IRL are used on 120V lines as longer-
life lamps. (EEI, No. 39 at p. 3; ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript, No.
38.4 at pp. 65-66) Philips acknowledged that 130V IRL lose 15 percent
in efficacy when operated at 120V but commented that there were other
ways apart from separate product classes to prevent the usage of 130V
IRL on 120V lines. (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp.
62, 139-140)
    DOE shares ACEEE's concern that without a more-stringent 130V IRL
product class, 130V IRL that meet a particular IRL efficacy requirement
will be purchased and used on 120V lines as longer-life lamps that no
longer meet the efficacy requirement. While DOE agrees with NEMA's
comment that 130V lamps use less power than their rated power when
operated at 120V, DOE also supports NEMA's comments that 130V lamps are
less efficacious than 120V lamps. (NEMA, Public Meeting Transcript, No.
38.4 at p. 67; NEMA, No. 81 at p. 13) Specifically, a 130V lamp with a
specific rated power, rated lumen output, efficacy, and rated lifetime
will have lower power consumption, lower lumen output, lower efficacy,
and longer lifetime when operated at 120V. By maintaining a separate
product class for 130V IRL with a 15 percent increase in stringency
relative to 120V IRL standards, DOE ensures that 130V IRL operated on
120V lines will be as efficacious during operation as 120V IRL that
comply with standards. DOE acknowledges that designers of 130V IRL may
have to make certain tradeoffs to meet the efficacy requirements, but
DOE also believes that there are a number of ways to make compliant
130V IRL (such as by adjusting lamp lifetime). Therefore, DOE has kept
the 130V IRL product class and its associated 15-percent stringency
increase for the Final Rule.
    In writing, EEI also asked for clarification that the efficacy
requirements shown in the April 2009 NOPR for IRL with rated voltages
greater than or equal to 125V apply when the IRL are tested at 120V.
(EEI, No. 39 at p. 3) In response, DOE notes that IRL must be tested
for compliance according to the test procedure in section 4.3 of
Appendix R to Subpart B of 10 CFR 430, which states in part that
``[l]amps shall be operated at the rated voltage.'' Thus, IRL rated at
130V should be operated at 130V during the efficacy measurement
process. DOE believes that IRL operated at 130V are generally 15
percent more efficacious than when they are operated at 120V; thus,
retaining a separate product class for 130V IRL, with a 15-percent
increase over 120V IRL standards, allows DOE to take into account the
efficacy reduction that 130V IRL will experience when operated at 120V.

C. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Analysis

    This section describes the LCC and payback period analyses and the
spreadsheet model DOE used for analyzing the economic impacts of
possible standards on individual consumers. Details of the spreadsheet
model, and of all the inputs to the LCC and PBP analyses, are contained
in chapter 8 and appendix 8A of the TSD. DOE conducted the LCC and PBP
analyses using a spreadsheet model developed in Microsoft Excel. When
combined with Crystal Ball (a commercially-available software program),
the LCC and PBP model generates a Monte Carlo simulation \13\ to
perform the analysis by incorporating uncertainty and variability
considerations. For further details on the LCC and PBP Monte Carlo
simulations, see the TSD appendix 8B, in which probable ranges of LCC
results are presented.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \13\ Monte Carlo simulations model uncertainty by utilizing
probability distributions instead of single values for certain
inputs and variables.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The LCC analysis estimates the impact of a standard on consumers by
calculating the net cost of a lamp (or lamp-and-ballast system) under a
base-case scenario (in which no new energy conservation standard is in
effect) and under a standards-case scenario (in which the proposed
energy conservation regulation is applied). As part of the LCC and PBP
analyses, DOE developed data that it used to establish product prices,
sales taxes, installation costs, disposal costs, operating hours,
product energy consumption, energy prices, product lifetime, and
discount rates.
    As discussed in the April 2009 NOPR, the life-cycle cost of a
particular lamp design is a function of the total installed cost (which
includes manufacturer selling price, sales taxes, distribution chain
mark-ups, and any installation cost), operating expenses (due to
purchases of energy as well as repair and maintenance costs), product
lifetime, and discount rate. 74 FR 16920, 16950 (April 13, 2009). DOE
also incorporated a residual value calculation to account for any
remaining lifetime of lamps (or ballasts) at the end of the analysis
period. 74 FR 16920, 16950 (April 13, 2009). The residual value is an
estimate of the product's value to the consumer at the end of the life-
cycle cost analysis period, which embodies the assumption that a lamp
system continues to function beyond the end of the analysis period. DOE
calculates the residual value by linearly prorating the product's
initial cost consistent with the methodology described in the Life-
Cycle Costing Manual for the Federal Energy Management Program.\14\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \14\ Fuller, Sieglinde K. and Stephen R. Peterson, National
Institute of Standards and Technology Handbook 135 (1996 Edition);
Life-Cycle Costing Manual for the Federal Energy Management Program
(Prepared for U.S. Department of Energy, Federal Energy Management
Program, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Conservation and
Renewable Energy) (Feb. 1996). Available at: http://fire.nist.gov/
fire/firedocs/build96/PDF/b96121.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DOE also calculates a payback period for each standards-case lamp
or lamp-and-ballast system. The payback period is the change in total
installed cost of the more-efficient product compared to the baseline
product, divided by the change in annual operating cost of that product
compared to the baseline product. Stated more simply, the payback
period is the time period for which a consumer must operate a more-
efficient product to recoup the assumed increased total installed cost
(compared to the baseline product) through savings from reduced
operating costs. DOE expresses this period in years.
    In addition, in the April 2009 NOPR and in today's final rule, DOE
analyzes five types of events that would prompt a consumer to purchase
a fluorescent lamp. These events account for the various economic
impacts incurred by consumers depending upon the situations under which
they are

[[Page 34109]]

purchasing a lamp., Described in detail in the April 2009 NOPR, these
events are: Lamp Failure (Event I), Standards-Induced Retrofit (Event
II), Ballast Failure (Event III), Ballast Retrofit (Event IV), and New
Construction and Renovation (Event V). 74 FR 16920, 16958 (April 13,
2009). Although described primarily in the context of GSFL, lamp
purchase events can be applied to IRL as well. However, considering
that IRL are generally not used with a ballast, the only lamp purchase
events applicable to IRL are lamp failure (Event I) and new
construction and renovation (Event V).
    Table V.4 summarizes the approach and data that DOE used to derive
the inputs to the LCC and PBP calculations for the April 2009 NOPR and
the changes made for today's final rule. The following sections discuss
the comments DOE received regarding its presentation of the LCC and PBP
analyses in the April 2009 NOPR and the responses and changes DOE made
to these analyses as a result.

          Table V.4--Summary of Inputs and Key Assumptions Used in the NOPR and Final Rule LCC Analyses
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Inputs                               April 2009 NOPR                Changes for the final rule
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Consumer Product Price................  Applied discounts to manufacturer         No change.
                                         catalog (``blue-book'') pricing in
                                         order to represent low, medium, and
                                         high prices for all lamp categories.
                                         Discounts were also applied to develop
                                         a price for ballasts.
Sales Tax.............................  Derived weighted-average tax values for   Updated the sales tax using
                                         each Census division and four large       the latest information from
                                         States from data provided by the Sales    the Sales Tax
                                         Tax Clearinghouse.\2\                     Clearinghouse.\3\ Updated
                                                                                   population estimates using
                                                                                   2008 U.S. Census Bureau
                                                                                   data.\4\
Installation Cost.....................  Derived costs using the RS Means          No change.
                                         Electrical Cost Data, 2007 \5\ to
                                         obtain average labor times for
                                         installation, as well as labor rates
                                         for electricians and helpers based on
                                         wage rates, benefits, and training
                                         costs. For GSFL, included 2.5 minutes
                                         of installation time to the new
                                         construction, major retrofit, and
                                         renovation events in the commercial and
                                         industrial sectors to capture the time
                                         needed to install luminaire disconnects.
Disposal Cost.........................  GSFL: Included a recycling cost of 10     No change.
                                         cents per linear foot in the commercial
                                         and industrial sectors.
                                        IRL: Not included.......................
Annual Operating Hours................  Determined operating hours by             Updated the regional
                                         associating building-type-specific        distribution of residential
                                         operating hours data with regional        buildings using the 2005
                                         distributions of various building types   Residential Energy
                                         using the 2002 U.S. Lighting Market       Consumption Survey.\10\
                                         Characterization \6\ and the Energy
                                         Information Administration's (EIA) 2003
                                         Commercial Building Energy Consumption
                                         Survey (CBECS),\7\ 2001 Residential
                                         Energy Consumption Survey,\8\ and 2002
                                         Manufacturing Energy Consumption
                                         Survey.\9\
Product Energy Consumption Rate.......  Determined lamp input power (or lamp-and- No change.
                                         ballast system input power for GSFL)
                                         based on published manufacturer
                                         literature. Used a linear fit of GSFL
                                         system power on several different
                                         ballasts with varying ballast factors
                                         in order to derive GSFL system power
                                         for all of the ballasts used in the
                                         analysis.
Electricity Prices....................  Price: Based on EIA's 2006 Form EIA-861   Updated with EIA's 2007 Form
                                         data.\11\                                 EIA-861.\12\
                                        Variability: Regional energy prices
                                         determined for 13 regions.
Electricity Price Trends..............  Forecasted with EIA's Annual Energy       Updated with EIA's April 2009
                                         Outlook (AEO) 2008.\13\                   AEO2009, which includes the
                                                                                   impacts of the American
                                                                                   Recovery and Reinvestment Act
                                                                                   of February 2009.\14\
Lifetime..............................  Commercial and industrial sector ballast  DOE added residential sector
                                         lifetime based on average ballast life    GSFL LCC analysis scenarios
                                         of 49,054 from 2000 Ballast Rule; \15\    where a consumer preserves
                                         developed separate ballast lifetime       the lamp during a fixture
                                         estimate for the residential sector       replacement and installs the
                                         using measured life reports. Lamp         preserved lamp on a new
                                         lifetime based on published               fixture. The analysis periods
                                         manufacturer literature where             for these scenarios are based
                                         available. DOE assumed a lamp operating   on the full lifetime of the
                                         time of 3 hours per start. Where          baseline lamp.
                                         manufacturer literature was not
                                         available, DOE derived lamp lifetimes
                                         as part of the engineering analysis.
                                        Residential GSFL: 4-foot medium bipin
                                         lamp lifetime is dependent on the
                                         fixture lifetime (i.e., for average
                                         residential lamp operating hours, the
                                         fixture reaches end of life before the
                                         lamp reaches end of life, and, thus,
                                         the lamp is retired before it fails.)
Discount Rate.........................  Residential: Approach based on the        For the residential sector,
                                         finance cost of raising funds to          included data from the 2007
                                         purchase lamps either through the         Survey of Consumer Finances
                                         financial cost of any debt incurred to    and the Cost of Savings Index
                                         purchase product or the opportunity       dataset covering 1984 to
                                         cost of any equity used to purchase       2008.\24\
                                         equipment, based on the Federal
                                         Reserve's Survey of Consumer Finances
                                         data \16\ for 1989, 1992, 1995, 1998,
                                         2001, and 2004.
                                        Commercial and industrial: Derived
                                         discount rates using the cost of
                                         capital of publicly-traded firms in the
                                         sectors that purchase lamps, based on
                                         data in the 2003 CBECS,\17\ Damodaran
                                         Online,\18\ Ibbotson's Associates,\19\
                                         the 2007 Value Line Investment
                                         survey,\20\ Office of Management and
                                         Budget (OMB) Circular No. A-94,\21\
                                         2008 State and local bond interest
                                         rates,\22\ and the U.S. Bureau of
                                         Economic Analysis.\23\

[[Page 34110]]


Analysis Period.......................  Commercial and industrial GSFL: Based on  No change.
                                         the longest baseline lamp life in a
                                         product class divided by the annual
                                         operating hours of that lamp.
                                        Residential GSFL: Based on the useful
                                         lifetime of the baseline lamp.
Lamp Purchasing Events................  Commercial and industrial sectors: DOE    No change.
                                         assessed five events: lamp failure,
                                         standards-induced retrofit, ballast
                                         failure (GSFL only), ballast retrofit
                                         (GSFL only), and new construction/
                                         renovation.
                                        Residential sector: DOE assessed three
                                         events: lamp failure, ballast failure
                                         (GSFL only), and new construction/
                                         renovation.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Table Containing History of CPI-U U.S. All Items Indexes and Annual Percent Changes
from 1913 to Present (Last accessed Feb. 20, 2009). Available at: ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/ special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt.
\2\ The four large States are New York, California, Texas, and Florida.
\3\ Sales Tax Clearinghouse, Aggregate State Tax Rates (2009) (Last accessed Feb. 20, 2009). Available at: 
  http://thestc.com/STrates.stm. Exit Disclaimer The February 20, 2009 material from this Web site is available in Docket # EE-
  2006-STD-0131. For more information, contact Brenda Edwards at (202) 586-2945.
\4\ U.S. Census Bureau, Population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2008 (NST-EST2008-popchg2000-2008). Last
  accessed February 20, 2009. Available at: http://www.census.gov/popest/states/files/NST-EST2008-popchg2000-2008.csv.
\5\ R. S. Means Company, Inc., 2007 RS Means Electrical Cost Data (2007).
\6\ U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Energy Conservation Program for
  Consumer Products: Final Report: U.S. Lighting Market Characterization, Volume I: National Lighting Inventory
  and Energy Consumption Estimate (2002). Available at: www.eere.energy.gov/buildings/info/documents/pdfs/
  lmc_vol1_final.pdf.
\7\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey:
  Micro-level data, file 2 Building Activities, Special Measures of Size, and Multi-building Facilities (2003).
  Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/public_use.html.
\8\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Residential Energy Consumption Survey: File 1:
  Housing Unit Characteristic (2006). Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/recs/recs2001/
publicuse2001.html.
\9\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, Table
  1.4: Number of Establishments by First Use of Energy for All Purposes (Fuel and Nonfuel) (2002). Available at:
  http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/mecs/mecs2002/data02/shelltables.html.
\10\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Residential Energy Consumption Survey: File
  1: Housing Unit Characteristics (2008). Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/recs/recspubuse05/datafiles/RECS05file1.csv.
\11\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-861 for 2006 (2006). Available at:
  http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/eia861.html.
\12\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-861 for 2007 (2007). Available at:
  http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/eia861.html.
\13\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2008 with Projections
  to 2030 (June 2008). Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo08/index.html.
\14\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, An Updated Annual Energy Outlook 2009
  Reference Case Reflecting Provisions of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act and Recent Changes in the
  Economic Outlook (April 2009). Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/stimulus/index.html.
\15\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Office of Building Research and
  Standards, Technical Support Document: Energy Efficiency Standards for Consumer Products: Fluorescent Lamps
  Ballast Final Rule (Sept. 2000). Available at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/
residential/gs_fluorescent_0100_r.html.
\16\ The Federal Reserve Board, Survey of Consumer Finances. Available at: http://www.federalreserve.gov/PUBS/oss/oss2/scfindex.html.
\17\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey
  (2003). Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/.
\18\ Damodaran Online, The Data Page: Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds, and Bills--United States (2006) (Last
  accessed Sept. 12, 2007). Available at: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~~adamodar. The September 12, 2007 material
  from this Web site is available in Docket # EE-2006-STD-0131. For more information, contact Brenda
  Edwards at (202) 586-2945.
\19\ Ibbotson's Associates, Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation, Valuation Edition, 2001 Yearbook (2001).
\20\ Value Line, Value Line Investment Survey (2007). Available at: http://www.valueline.com. Exit Disclaimer
\21\ U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Circular No. A-94 Appendix C (2008). Available at: 
  http://  www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/a094.html.
\22\ Federal Reserve Board, Statistics: Releases and Historical Data--Selected Interest Rates--State and Local
  Bonds (2008). Available at: http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/data/Monthly/H15_SL_Y20.txt.
\23\ U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Table 1.1.9 Implicit Price Deflators for Gross
  Domestic Product (2008). Available at: http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/SelectTable.asp?Selected=N.
\24\ Mortgage-X, Mortgage Information Service. Cost of Savings Index (COSI), Index History. 2009. Last accessed,
  February 25, 2009. http://mortgage-x.com/general/indexes/default.asp. Exit Disclaimer

1. Consumer Product Price
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE used a variety of sources to develop
consumer equipment prices, including lamp and ballast prices in
manufacturers' suggested retail price lists (``blue books''), State
procurement contracts, large electrical supply distributors, hardware
and home improvement stores, Internet retailers, and other similar
sources. DOE then developed low, medium, and high prices based on its
findings. 74 FR 16920, 16952 (April 13, 2009).
    At the public meeting, Philips commented that DOE's estimated costs
of IRL in the residential sector reported in the proposed rule appear
too low in comparison with the costs of commercial IRL. (Philips,
Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 179-181) In response, DOE
notes that the costs of all commercial IRL in the LCC and PBP analyses
include $1.10 to account for the labor cost of a four-minute
installation time at a labor rate of $16.55 per hour. (Using the
consumer price index for 2008, the labor rate for this final rule was
inflated to 2008 dollars, as compared to the April 2009 NOPR value of
$15.94 per hour in 2007 dollars.) Conversely, DOE assumes that
consumers in the residential sector will replace their own lamps and,
therefore, does not model labor costs for IRL in the residential
sector; this difference in

[[Page 34111]]

methodology contributes to the relative price difference between
commercial and residential IRL. In addition, DOE acknowledges that
lamps sold through various distribution chains may have differing end-
user prices. For this reason, DOE conducts the LCC analysis on the high
and low lamp prices as sensitivities, DOE believes that the sources and
methodologies used to develop IRL prices for the April 2009 NOPR
reflect the variety of IRL prices encountered by consumers in the
residential and commercial sectors. The results of the IRL price
sensitivities analysis can be found in Appendix 8B of the TSD.
    Philips also commented that the incremental price differential for
more-efficacious IRL appears too small. (Philips, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 179-181) Additionally NEMA and Philips
stated that the prices of IRL will be uncertain due to expected
capacity constraints in 2012. (NEMA, Philips, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 286-287)
    DOE recognizes that the imposition of a standard will commoditize
higher-efficacy IRL that may be sold today as premium products at
higher markups (from manufacturing costs to end-user prices) than
lower-efficacy IRL. Prices of IRL in DOE's analysis are meant to
reflect commoditization of these higher-efficacy products in the face
of standards. DOE assessed discounts between blue book prices and end-
user prices of currently-available lower-efficacy IRL to obtain
information about how commoditization affects IRL price. DOE took this
information into account during the development of prices for the IRL
that comply with each EL shown in today's final rule. Furthermore,
although DOE recognizes that there may be uncertainty regarding future
IRL prices, interested parties did not provide additional data to DOE
as would cast doubt on its overall pricing methodology or as would
support an alternative methodology. For these reasons, DOE has not
changed the April 2009 NOPR IRL methodologies or prices for this final
rule. For further information on the development of IRL prices, see
chapter 7 of the final rule TSD.
2. Sales Tax
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE obtained State and local sales tax data
from the Sales Tax Clearinghouse. (April 2009 NOPR TSD chapter 7) The
data represented weighted averages that include county and city rates.
DOE used the data to compute population-weighted average tax values for
each Census division and four large States (New York, California,
Texas, and Florida). For the final rule, DOE retained this methodology
and used updated sales tax data from the Sales Tax Clearinghouse \15\
and updated population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau.\16\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \15\ Sales Tax Clearinghouse, ``Aggregate State Tax Rates''
(2009) (Last accessed February 20, 2009). Available at: http://
thestc.com/STrates.stm. Exit Disclaimer The February 20, 2009, material from this
Web site is available in Docket #EE-2006-STD-0131. For more
information, contact Brenda Edwards at (202) 586 2945.
    \16\ U.S. Census Bureau, ``Population Change: April 1, 2000 to
July 1, 2008'' (July 2008). Available at: http://www.census.gov/
popest/states/files/NST-EST2008-popchg2000-2008.csv.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

3. Annual Operating Hours
    As discussed in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE developed annual operating
hours for IRL and GSFL by combining building type-specific operating
hours data from the 2002 U.S. Lighting Market Characterization (LMC)
\17\ with data in the 2003 Commercial Building Energy Consumption
Survey (CBECS),\18\ the 2001 Residential Energy Consumption Survey
(RECS),\19\ and the 2002 Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey
(MECS),\20\ which describe the probability that a particular building
type exists in a particular region. 74 FR 16920, 16954-55 (April 13,
2009). For this final rule, DOE updated the residential annual
operating hours estimates using the 2005 RECS.\21\ Residential-sector
average operating hours changed from 789 to 791 hours per year for GSFL
and from 884 hours per year in the April 2009 NOPR to 889 hours per
year for this final rule for IRL. DOE did not receive any further
comments on residential-sector operating hours. For further details on
the annual operating hours used in the analyses, see chapter 6 of the
TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \17\ U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy, ``U.S. Lighting Market Characterization. Volume I:
National Lighting Inventory and Energy Consumption Estimate
(2002).'' Available at: http://www.netl.doe.gov/ssl/PDFs/lmc_vol1_
final.pdf.
    \18\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Agency,
``Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey: Micro-Level Data,
File 2 Building Activities, Special Measures of Size, and Multi-
building Facilities (2003).'' Available at: www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/
cbecs/public_use.html.
    \19\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration, Residential Energy Consumption Survey: File 1:
Housing Unit Characteristic (2006). Available at: http://
www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/recs/recs2001/publicuse2001.html.
    \20\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Agency,
``Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, Table 1.4: Number of
Establishments by First Use of Energy for All Purposes (Fuel and
Nonfuel) (2002).'' Available at: www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/mecs/mecs2002/
data02/shelltables.html.
    \21\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration, Residential Energy Consumption Survey: File 1:
Housing Unit Characteristic (2009). Available at: http://
www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/recs/recspubuse05/pubuse05.html.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

4. Electricity Prices and Electricity Price Trends
    As explained in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE determined energy prices
by deriving regional average prices for 13 geographic areas consisting
of the nine U.S. Census divisions, with four large States (New York,
Florida, Texas, and California) treated separately. 74 FR 16920, 16955-
56 (April 13, 2009). For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE derived electricity
prices based on data from the 2006 publication of EIA Form 861. Id. At
the public meeting, ACEEE commented that DOE should use the latest
available electricity prices and electricity price trends in its
analysis for the final rule. (ACEEE, Public Meeting Transcript, No.
38.4 at pp. 154-155)
    DOE agrees with ACEEE and has updated the related electricity price
and electricity price trend sources for the final rule analysis. For
electricity price data, the analysis now utilizes EIA's Form 861
electricity price data from the year 2007.\22\ DOE obtained electricity
price trend data from EIA's latest AEO2009,\23\ which was published in
April 2009 and is a special update of the March 2009 AEO2009 (the
initial release of EIA's AEO2009) \24\ that includes the impacts of the
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of February 2009 (Pub. L.
111-5). To project electricity prices to the end of the LCC analysis
period, DOE used the reference economic growth projection in the April
AEO2009. As done for the April 2009 NOPR, DOE used the price trend
average rate of change during 2020-2030 to estimate the price trends
after 2030. See chapter 8 of the April 2009 NOPR TSD \25\ as well as
chapter 8 of the final rule TSD. The spreadsheet tools and LCC
sensitivity scenarios featured in the April 2009 NOPR also included
high-economic-growth and low-economic-growth electricity price trend

[[Page 34112]]

cases from EIA. The April 2009 AEO2009 did not include these cases,
however. To generate them, DOE utilized the difference between the
reference economic-growth case and the high- and low-economic-growth
cases in the March 2009 AEO2009 as scaling factors to produce high- and
low-economic-growth estimates for the spreadsheet tools and LCC
sensitivity scenarios addressed in this final rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \22\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration, Form EIA-861 for 2007 (2007). Available at: http://
www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/eia861.html.
    \23\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration, An Updated Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Reference Case
Reflecting Provisions of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
and Recent Changes in the Economic Outlook (April 2009). Available
at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/stimulus/index.html.
    \24\ U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2009 with Projections to 2030
(March 2009). Available at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/.
    \25\ U.S. Department of Energy. Chapter 8: Life-Cycle Cost and
Payback Period Analyses. Available at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/
buildings/appliance_standards/residential/pdfs/ch_8_lamps_
standards_nopr_tsd.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The results of DOE's analysis using the reference economic-growth
projections are presented in this notice, with a full set of results
displayed in chapter 8 of the TSD. DOE also presents LCC and PBP
results for the low-economic-growth and high-economic-growth cases from
AEO2009 in appendix 8B of the final rule TSD.
5. Ballast Lifetime
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE used a commercial and industrial
sector ballast lifetime of approximately 50,000 hours, which is the
average ballast life used in the 2000 final rule for fluorescent lamp
ballasts (2000 Ballast Rule).\26\ 65 FR 56740 (Sept. 19, 2000). In the
primary commercial sector LCC and PBP analysis, this is equivalent to a
lifetime of approximately 14.2 years (based on an average of 3,435
operating hours per year in the commercial sector).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \26\ U.S. Department of Energy. April 2009 NOPR Technical
Support Document. Chapter 4. Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Periods.
Available at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_
standards/residential/pdfs/chap4.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the public meeting, Lutron Electronics agreed that a ballast
lifetime of 50,000 hours is common, and a 14.2 year lifetime is
appropriate for a ballast that is operated approximately 3,500 hours
per year. However, Lutron Electronics also commented that the ballast
service life (in years) will change as operating hours change. (Lutron
Electronics, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 152-153) DOE
agrees with Lutron Electronics and verifies that in its commercial and
industrial LCC analyses, for the Monte Carlo simulations (that analyze
a distribution of operating hours) and for the consumer subgroup
analyses, DOE varies ballast service life as operating hours change.
    For the residential sector LCC and PBP analysis in the April 2009
NOPR, DOE used a ballast lifetime of 15 years, based on measure life
reports that discuss ballast lifetime in terms of
years.27 28 74 FR 16920, 16959 (April 13, 2009). In other
words, DOE assumed that a ballast installed in the residential sector
would remain in place for an average of 15 years, regardless of its
annual operating hours. The measure life reports, published in 2005 and
2007, incorporate both magnetic and electronic ballasts. DOE used the
measure life reports because DOE believes they best capture the true
service life of ballasts in the residential sector.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \27\ GDS Associates, Inc., Engineers and Consultants, Measure
Life Report: Residential and Commercial/Industrial Lighting and HVAC
Measures (The New England State Program Working Group) (2007).
    \28\ Economic Research Associates, Inc., and Quantec, LLC,
Revised/Updated EULs Based On Retention And Persistence Studies
Results (Southern California Edison) (2005).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the NOPR public meeting, ACEEE stated that in 2005, the vast
majority of ballasts were magnetic, suggesting that the measure life
that DOE assumed may not be appropriate. ACEEE also commented that the
ballast lifetimes, when expressed in hours (15 years in place is
equivalent to 11,869 hours of life based on average residential GSFL
operating hours), appeared too low for the residential sector. (ACEEE,
Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 154, 169-170) In response,
DOE notes that it did not receive any data that indicate the measure
life of electronic ballasts differs from magnetic ballasts. Thus, DOE
does not believe there is a difference in the lifetimes of the two
ballast types that is substantial enough to affect the results of the
analyses. First, it is worth noting that the 2000 Ballast Rule assumes
no difference between the two ballast lifetimes.\29\ Second,
manufacturer product literature does not generally suggest or market a
difference in lifetimes between magnetic and electronic ballasts.
Third, in interviews, manufacturers mentioned that there was no
substantial difference in reliability (a proxy for service life)
between magnetic and electronic ballasts. Finally, DOE understands that
most ballasts are rated for longer lifetimes (in hours) than the
lifetimes that DOE used in its analyses. DOE reiterates, however, that
the measure life reports estimate the lifetimes of actual ballasts in
the field, accounting for not only ballast failure at its rated life,
but also premature failure, fixture removal, and replacement during
renovation. For all of these reasons, DOE continues to use the measure
life reports to determine ballast service life in the residential
sector.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \29\ U.S. Department of Energy. Chapter 4. Life-Cycle Costs and
Payback Periods. Available at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/
buildings/appliance_standards/residential/pdfs/chap4.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

6. Lamp Lifetime
    When possible, for the April 2009 NOPR, DOE used manufacturer
literature to determine lamp lifetimes. 74 FR 16920, 16956-57 (April
13, 2009). When published manufacturer literature was not available--as
was the case for some IRL--DOE derived lamp lifetimes as part of the
engineering analysis. DOE also considered the impact of group re-
lamping practices on GSFL lifetimes in the commercial and industrial
sectors in this final rule. 74 FR 16920, 16954 (April 13, 2009). For
details, see chapter 5 of the final rule TSD.
    For GSFL, DOE based its lamp lifetimes on lamp start cycles of 3
hours per start. At the public meeting, Southern California Edison
commented that residential GSFL may experience much shorter start
cycles than 3 hours per start, thereby lowering their lifetimes from
rated values. (Southern California Edison, Public Meeting Transcript,
No. 38.4 at pp. 166-167) DOE acknowledges that some residential GSFL
may indeed experience shorter start cycles than 3 hours per start,
thereby reducing lamp lifetime due to increased electrode degradation.
Research indicated to DOE that the effective lifetimes of lamps
operated at start cycles other than 3 hours per start is highly
variable and depends directly on the lamp type as well as the type of
ballast (i.e., program start, instant start, or rapid start) to which
the lamp is connected. Southern California Edison did not provide data
to illustrate the expected lifetimes of any of the residential GSFL
(either base-case or standards-case) featured on any of the ballasts
that DOE presents in the LCC analysis, nor did it provide data
indicating the prevalence of various start cycles in the residential
sector. In response to these comments, DOE conducted research but was
unable to find data sources for the residential sector that specified
any of this information. For this reason, DOE has chosen to maintain
the usage of rated lamp lifetimes based on 3 hour start cycles for this
final rule.
7. Discount Rates
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE derived residential discount rates by
identifying all possible debt or asset classes that might be used to
purchase replacement products, including household assets that might be
affected indirectly. DOE estimated the average proportions of the
various debt and equity classes in the average U.S. household equity
and debt portfolios using data from the Survey of Consumer Finances
(SCF) sources from 1989 to 2004. DOE used the mean share of each class
across the six sample years as a basis for estimating the effective
financing rate for replacement equipment. DOE estimated interest or

[[Page 34113]]

return rates associated with each type of equity and debt using SCF
data and other sources. The mean real effective rate across the classes
of household debt and equity, weighted by the shares of each class, was
5.6 percent for the April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16957 (April 13,
2009). For this final rule, DOE updated the sources used to compute the
discount rate in the residential sector. The analysis now features data
from the 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances and the Cost of Savings Index
dataset covering 1984 to 2008. Based on these updates, the residential
sector average discount rate for the final rule is 4.8 percent.
    For the commercial sector and industrial sector, DOE derived the
discount rate from the cost of capital of publicly-traded firms in the
sectors that purchase lamps, as done for the April 2009 NOPR 74 FR
16920, 16957 (April 13, 2009). Because DOE received no comments on its
commercial and industrial sector discount rates and all sources used
remain the most current sources available, for this final rule, DOE has
continued to use discount rates of 7.0 percent and 7.6 percent for the
commercial and industrial sectors, respectively.
8. Residential Fluorescent Lamp Analysis
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE produced a residential sector GSFL
life-cycle cost and payback period analysis based upon measure life
reports that indicated an average residential GSFL fixture lifetime of
15 years. 74 FR 16920, 16956 (April 13, 2009). Under average operating
hours (791 hours per year), DOE determined that a 4-foot MBP lamp would
live approximately 19 years. In the April 2009 NOPR LCC analysis, DOE
assumed that consumers would discard their lamps during fixture
replacement, effectively ending the life of the lamps, thus resulting
in no lamp-only replacements in the residential sector under average
operating hours. The 2.5-year analysis period used by DOE for the
residential GSFL lamp failure events represented DOE's belief that
under high operating hours (1,210 hours per year), if a baseline lamp
and fixture were purchased at the same time, the baseline lamp would
fail after approximately 12.5 years and the fixture would be replaced
2.5 years after the lamp failure (for a total fixture life of 15
years). Thus, after a lamp failure, the replacement lamp would have 2.5
years in which to operate before the fixture is replaced. DOE's
analysis period for calculating the LCC savings for residential
consumers responding to a lamp failure was therefore 2.5 years.
    Both Southern California Edison and the California Stakeholders
commented that the 2.5-year analysis period utilized by DOE in the NOPR
to model the residential GSFL lamp failure events is too short and that
the energy savings should be considered over the full life of the
replacement lamp, in other words 12.5 years. In their suggested
revisions to the LCC analysis, the stakeholders imply that upon fixture
replacement, consumers will retain their previously-installed
replacement lamp and reinstall it on a new fixture. According to the
comments, analyzing such a scenario under high operating hours results
in significant life-cycle cost savings for the residential lamp failure
event when consumers are forced to retrofit their T12 systems with T8
systems. (Southern California Edison, No. 53 at p. 1-7; California
Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 9)
    DOE acknowledges that in the residential sector, consumers may
choose to preserve a lamp instead of discarding it upon fixture
replacement, though in its research, DOE was unable to determine which
situation was more likely. DOE recognizes that retaining a lamp beyond
the fixture or ballast life would extend the useful lamp life, and,
thus, the analysis period. Modeling this scenario would take into
account operating cost savings over a longer period of time and
additional equipment costs to the consumer, who in the base case is
replacing their T12 lamp and will need to purchase a new ballast at
some point in the future. Therefore, for this final rule, DOE has
analyzed an additional scenario in the residential sector LCC analysis
modeling this preservation of lamp behavior. This analysis shows that
some residential consumers with T12 systems do in fact obtain LCC
savings when forced to retrofit their T12 ballast with a T8 system.
However, DOE also notes that the results of this analysis are highly
dependent on the remaining years of lifetime left on the T12 ballast
when the lamp is replaced. DOE presents the LCC results for this
additional scenario in section VII.C.1.a of this final rule as well as
in chapter 8 and appendix 8B of the TSD.
    In contrast to Southern California Edison and the California
Stakeholders who implied that DOE's analysis understated the consumer
economic savings to the residential sector of retrofitting from a T12
to T8 system, GE commented that such a retrofit presents a best-case
estimate of a 50-year payback period, and, therefore, is not
economically justified. (GE, No. 80 at pp. 1-3; GE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38 at p. 81)
    While DOE acknowledges that the standards presented in this final
rule place some burden on some residential T12 GSFL users, DOE believes
that the LCC analysis performed for this final rule accurately reflects
this burden. DOE notes that as discussed below, payback period
calculations do not account for expenses incurred by consumers who
purchase new fixtures in the middle of the analysis period. In
addition, DOE notes that the assumptions of electricity prices, labor
rates, system energy savings, and operating hours that GE used to
produce the payback estimate in its written comment do not align with
the inputs that DOE presented in the April 2009 NOPR and updated for
this final rule. DOE recognizes that there may be some variability in
these inputs, but believes that DOE estimates represent those
experienced for the average consumer. In addition, DOE notes that it
did not receive specific adverse comments on these inputs themselves.
9. Rebuttable Payback Period Presumption
    The payback period (PBP) is the amount of time it takes a consumer
to recoup the assumed incremental costs of a more-efficient product
through lower operating costs. In the April 2009 NOPR and today's final
rule, DOE used a ``simple'' PBP, so named because the PBP does not take
into account other changes in operating expenses over time or the time
value of money. 74 FR 16920, 16957-58 (April 13, 2009). As inputs to
the PBP analysis, DOE used the total installed cost of the product to
the consumer for each efficacy level, as well as the first year annual
operating costs for each efficacy level. The calculation requires the
same inputs as the LCC, except for energy price trends and discount
rates; only energy prices for the year the standard takes effect (2012
in this case) are needed.
    At the public meeting, Earthjustice commented that there is a
presumption that an energy conservation standard is economically
justified if the payback period of products that comply with the
standard is less than three years. (Earthjustice, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 186-187) Earthjustice further stated that
DOE did not calculate a rebuttable presumption payback period for each
trial standard level presented in the April 2009 NOPR and that DOE
cannot ignore the rebuttable presumption payback period out of
preference for the seven-factor test described in 42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(i). ACEEE similarly commented in writing that ``[a]
higher burden of proof is required to overcome the rebuttable

[[Page 34114]]

presumption.'' (Earthjustice, No. 60 at p. 6; ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 6)
DOE is aware of the rebuttable presumption payback period test in 42
U.S.C 6295(o)(B)(iii), which states that ``[i]f the Secretary finds
that the additional cost to the consumer of purchasing a product
complying with an energy conservation standard level will be less than
three times the value of the energy * * * savings during the first year
that the consumer will receive as a result of the standard, as
calculated under the applicable test procedure, there shall be a
rebuttable presumption that such standard level is economically
justified.'' While DOE acknowledges that the rebuttable presumption
payback period computation can have value, DOE emphasizes that the
presumption is rebuttable, specifically because DOE is required by law
to consider the specific criteria in 42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i) when
prescribing new standards, such as impacts on utility, competition, and
the Nation as a whole. Thus, DOE's analyses of these criteria serve to
either support or rebut any initial determination that a standard is
economically justified based on the rebuttable payback period
presumption. There is no statutory provision that requires DOE to
emphasize the rebuttable presumption payback period test over the
specific criteria that must be considered according to 42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(i); thus, DOE disagrees that ``[a] higher burden of proof
is required to overcome the rebuttable presumption.'' There is also no
statutory requirement for DOE to present a single rebuttable
presumption payback period for each trial standard level. DOE has
conducted the full set of economic analyses required by 42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(B)(i) for this final rule. The results of this analysis serve
as the basis for DOE to definitively evaluate the economic
justification for a potential standard level.
    The payback periods shown in chapter 8 and appendix 8B of the final
rule TSD are ``simple payback periods'' computed using the same
methodology that would be utilized to compute payback periods for a
rebuttable presumption payback period test; DOE's seven-factor analysis
serves to confirm or rebut any assumption of economic justification
based on payback periods that are shorter than three years. DOE
stresses, however, that there are several factors for which the LCC
analysis accounts, but the payback period analysis does not. For
example, the LCC analysis includes financing effects and utilizes
energy costs that vary over time. In addition, DOE notes that the
simple payback period values computed for some lamp purchase events and
scenarios do not fully express the equipment costs experienced by
consumers in these scenarios. Payback period calculations take into
account only the installed costs incurred at the very beginning of the
analysis period. Thus, the calculation excludes the economic impacts of
any additional costs (e.g., a new ballast purchase, recycling costs)
that may be incurred in the middle or at the end of the analysis
period. For these reasons, DOE believes that the LCC analysis and other
analyses performed for this final rule serve as a higher-fidelity
assessment of economic impacts than the computation of payback periods
alone. In other words, the LCC results serve to support or rebut the
results of the PBP analysis. Therefore, DOE is continuing to utilize
these higher-fidelity analyses as a definitive evaluation of the
economic impacts of the standards presented and chosen in this final
rule.

D. National Impact Analysis--National Energy Savings and Net Present
Value Analysis

    DOE's NIA assesses the national energy savings (NES) and the
national net present value (NPV) of total customer costs and savings
that would be expected to result from new standards at specific
efficacy levels.
    For the final rule analysis, DOE used the same spreadsheet model
(with updated inputs as discussed below) described and used in the NOPR
to calculate the NES and NPV based on the annual energy consumption and
total installed cost data employed in the LCC analysis. 74 FR 16920,
16958-71 (April 13, 2009). DOE forecasts energy savings, energy cost
savings, equipment costs, and NPV for each product class from 2012
through 2042. The forecasts provide annual and cumulative values for
all four output parameters. DOE also examines impact sensitivities by
analyzing various lamp shipment scenarios (such as Roll-up and Shift).
    To arrive at these output parameters, DOE first develops a base-
case forecast for each analyzed lamp type. This forecast characterizes
energy use and consumer costs (lamp purchase and operation) in the
absence of new or revised energy conservation standards. To evaluate
the impacts of such standards on these lamps, DOE compares this base-
case projection with projections characterizing the market if DOE were
to promulgate new or amended standards (i.e., the standards case). In
characterizing the base and standards cases, DOE considers historical
shipments, its shipment projections, emerging technologies, the mix of
efficacies sold in the absence of any new standards, and how that mix
might change over time. Inputs and issues associated with the NIA and
any changes made in this final rule are discussed in more detail
immediately below.
1. Overview of NIA Changes in This Notice
    Based on the comments it received regarding the April 2009 NOPR,
DOE made a number of changes to the NIA. Table V.5 summarizes the
approach and data DOE used to derive the inputs to the NES and NPV
analyses for the April 2009 NOPR, as well as the changes it made for
this final rule in response to comments and updated information. As
demonstrated by the table, DOE changed several inputs due to the
availability of updated sources. For example, DOE updated projected
electricity prices from EIA's AEO2008 estimates to AEO2009. In
addition, DOE calculated new annual marginal site-to-source conversion
factors based on the version of the National Energy Modeling System
(NEMS) that corresponds to AEO2009. Following the table, DOE details
additional inputs and changes, and summarizes and responds to each of
the NIA-related comments it received at the public meeting and in
written comments. See TSD chapters 10 and 11 for further details.

 Table V.5--Approach and Data Used To Derive the Inputs to the National
              Energy Savings and Net Present Value Analyses
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 April 2009 NOPR       Changes for the
           Inputs                  description           final rule
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Shipments...................  Annual shipments      See Table V.6 and
                               from shipments        Table V.7.
                               model.
Effective date of standard..  2012................  No change.
Analysis period.............  2012 to 2042........  No change.

[[Page 34115]]


Unit energy consumption (kWh/ Established in the    Residential
 yr).                          energy-use            operating hours
                               characterization,     updated based on
                               TSD chapter 6, by     RECS 2005 (from
                               lamp or lamp-and-     RECS 2001).
                               ballast design and
                               sector.
Total installed cost........  Established in the    No change.
                               product price
                               determination, TSD
                               chapter 7 and the
                               LCC analysis,
                               chapter 8, by lamp-
                               and-ballast designs.
Electricity price forecast..  Based on AEO2008      Updated for AEO2009
                               forecasts (to 2030)   (used version
                               and an                informed by impacts
                               extrapolation for     of the American
                               beyond 2030. (See     Reinvestment and
                               TSD chapter 8).       Recovery Act).
Energy site-to-source         Conversion varies     Updated for AEO2009
 conversion.                   yearly and was        (used version
                               generated by DOE/     informed by impacts
                               EIA's NEMS program    of the American
                               (a time-series        Reinvestment and
                               conversion factor;    Recovery Act).
                               includes electric
                               generation,
                               transmission, and
                               distribution
                               losses).
                              Conversion factors
                               for beyond 2030 are
                               held constant.
HVAC interaction savings....  6.25% of total        No change.
                               energy savings in
                               all sectors.
Rebound effect..............  1% of total energy    No change.
                               savings in the
                               commercial and
                               industrial sectors.
                              8.5% of total energy
                               savings in the
                               residential sector.
Discount rate...............  3% and 7% real......  No change.
Present year................  Future costs and      Future costs and
                               savings are           savings are
                               discounted to 2007.   discounted to 2009.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

2. Shipments Analysis
    Lamp shipments are an important input to the NIA. In the April 2009
NOPR, DOE explained how it developed separate shipment models for GSFL
and IRL. 74 FR 16920, 16959-70 (April 13, 2009). In general, to
forecast shipments for these two categories of lamps, DOE followed a
four-step process. First, DOE used 2001-to-2005 historical shipment
data from NEMA and other publicly-available sources to estimate the
total historical shipments (i.e., NEMA member and non-NEMA member
shipments) of each lamp type analyzed. Second, based on these
historical shipments and the average service lifetime of each lamp
type, DOE calculated the installed stock of lamps for each lamp type in
2005. Third, by modeling lamp purchasing events, and applying growth
rate, replacement rate, and emerging technologies penetration rate
assumptions, DOE developed annual shipment projections from 2006 to
2042. (NEMA had not provided publically-available data for years after
2005). Specifically, DOE modeled lamp (and ballast for GSFL) shipments
based on four lamp-purchasing market events: (1) New construction; (2)
ballast failure (GSFL only); (3) lamp replacement; and (4) standards-
induced retrofit (for the standards case). DOE also calibrated its
shipments model to reflect confidential shipment data provided by NEMA
for 2006 and 2007. Finally, because the shipments of lamp designs and
lamp-and-ballast designs (for GSFL) often depend on their properties
(e.g., ballast factor and efficacy), DOE developed base-case and
standards-case market-share matrices as another model input. The
market-share matrices characterize the efficacy, power rating, light
output, and lifetime of the lamp and lamp-and-ballast designs. The
matrices input the percentage market share of each design into the
shipment model. DOE used these market-share matrices to forecast lamp
stock and shipments, taking into account each design's respective
lifetime.
    Table V.6 and Table V.7 summarize the approach and data DOE used
for GSFL and IRL, respectively, to derive the inputs to the shipments
analysis for the April 2009 NOPR, as well as the changes DOE made for
the final rule. A discussion of comments DOE received on these inputs
and of the changes implemented for the final rule follows.

Table V.6--Approach and Data Used to Derive the Inputs to GSFL Shipments
                                Analysis
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                    2009 NOPR          Changes for the
           Inputs                  description           final rule
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Historical shipments........  2001-2005 shipment    No change.
                               data provided
                               publicly by NEMA
                               (except for T5
                               lamps; see NOPR TSD
                               chapter 10).
                               Assumed NEMA data
                               represented 90
                               percent of GSFL
                               shipments.
                               Calibrated 2006-
                               2007 forecasted
                               shipments based on
                               confidential
                               historical shipment
                               data NEMA provided
                               for those years.
Lamp inventory..............  Calculated stock in   No change.
                               2005. Then used
                               growth, emerging
                               technologies, and
                               shipment
                               assumptions to
                               establish lamp
                               inventory from 2006
                               to 2042.
Growth......................  Based commercial and  Updated commercial
                               residential growth    and residential
                               on AEO2008            growth for AEO2009
                               estimates for         (used version
                               future floor space    informed by impacts
                               growth. For the       of the American
                               residential sector,   Reinvestment and
                               modeled variations    Recovery Act).
                               in number of lamps
                               per new home. For
                               the industrial
                               sector, projected
                               floor space growth
                               using the 2002
                               Manufacturer Energy
                               Consumption Survey
                               (MECS 2002).
Base-case scenarios.........  Developed two base-   Updated LED prices
                               case scenarios, one   and performance
                               of which modeled      projections for
                               the market            DOE's Solid State
                               penetration of LEDs   Lighting Research
                               based on projected    and Development
                               payback period.       Multi-Year Program
                                                     Plan FY'09-FY'15.

[[Page 34116]]


Market-share matrices.......  Developed product     Revised product
                               distributions based   distributions based
                               on comments,          on comments, NEMA
                               interviews, and       survey data and
                               catalog research.     further research.
                               Matrices apportion
                               a share of
                               shipments for each
                               lamp-and-ballast
                               design option.
Standards-case scenarios....  Considered two sets   No change
                               of scenarios to
                               characterize
                               consumer behavior
                               in response to
                               standards: the
                               Shift and Roll-up
                               scenarios and the
                               High and Market
                               Segment-Based
                               Lighting Expertise
                               scenarios.
------------------------------------------------------------------------


 Table V.7--Approach and Data Used to Derive the Inputs to IRL Shipments
                                Analysis
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                    2009 NOPR          Changes for the
           Inputs                  description           final rule
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Historical shipments........  2001-2005 shipment    Received additional
                               data provided         historical
                               publicly by NEMA.     shipments (2004-
                               Assumed NEMA data     2008) from NEMA
                               represented 85        with which DOE
                               percent of IRL        verified growth,
                               shipments.            projected
                               Calibrated 2006-      shipments, and
                               2007 projected        emerging
                               shipments based on    technologies
                               confidential          assumptions.
                               historical shipment
                               data NEMA provided
                               for those years.
Lamp inventory..............  Calculated stock in   No change.
                               2005 based on
                               average lifetime
                               and historical
                               shipments. Then
                               used growth,
                               replacement rate,
                               and emerging
                               technologies
                               assumptions to
                               establish lamp
                               inventory from 2006
                               to 2042.
Growth......................  Shipment growth       Updated for AEO2009
                               driven by socket      (used version
                               growth. Socket        informed by impacts
                               growth based on       of the American
                               AEO2008 estimates     Reinvestment and
                               for future            Recovery Act).
                               commercial floor
                               space and
                               residential
                               buildings. Also
                               accounted for trend
                               of increasing
                               sockets per home.
Base-case R-CFL and emerging  Developed two base-   Updated LED prices
 technologies.                 case scenarios        and performance
                               modeling the market   projections for
                               penetration of        DOE's Solid State
                               light emitting        Lighting Research
                               diodes (LEDs),        and Development
                               ceramic metal         Multi-Year Program
                               halides (CMH), and    Plan FY'09-FY'15.
                               reflector compact
                               fluorescent lamps
                               (R-CFL) based on
                               projected payback
                               period.
Market-share matrices.......  Considered mix of     No change.
                               technologies
                               consumers select in
                               the base case and
                               standards case, as
                               well as each of the
                               scenarios analyzed.
Standards-case scenarios....  Modeled both Roll-up
                               and Shift
                               scenarios.
                              Revised BR lamp       Modeled migration to
                               sensitivity           only exempted BR
                               scenario, creating    lamps in the new
                               two new standards-    ``BR Product
                               case scenarios also   Substitution''
                               accounting for        scenario, which
                               additional            replaced the ``No
                               migration to R-CFL:   Product
                               ``Product             Substitution''
                               Substitution'' and    scenario.
                               ``No Product         Modeled migration to
                               Substitution.''       only R-CFL in the
                                                     new ``R-CFL Product
                                                     Substitution,''
                                                     which replaced the
                                                     ``Product
                                                     Substitution''
                                                     scenario.
                                                    Added the ``Baseline
                                                     Lifetime''
                                                     scenarios modeling
                                                     sale of lamps with
                                                     lifetimes similar
                                                     to the baseline
                                                     lamps in the
                                                     standards case.
                                                     (See section VI.C)
------------------------------------------------------------------------

3. Macroeconomic Effects on Growth
    In the April 2009 NOPR, as part of its shipments forecasts, DOE
established commercial floor space and residential buildings growth
based on AEO2008. Because AEO2008 does not provide industrial floor
space forecasts, DOE used historical MECS floor space values to
establish a growth rate for the industrial sector. 74 FR 16920, 16961
(April 13, 2009). OSI stated that growth will be subject to economic
shocks over time, and pointed to the current decline in the commercial
market as evidence to that fact. (OSI, Public Meeting Transcript, No.
38.4 at p. 213-214) Southern California Edison commented that DOE
should look at past economic dislocations to better forecast lamp
shipments through 2042. (Southern California Edison, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 214) The California Stakeholders urged DOE
not to change its NIA assumptions with respect to the recent
macroeconomic downturn reasoning that such a modification would add no
value to DOE's analysis because no one can accurately predict the
timing and extent of an economic recovery. An attempt by DOE to do so
would unduly burden its efforts to publish a final rule by the
deadline. (California Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 8)
    While DOE agrees that future shipments will be subject to general
economic shocks over time, DOE believes there is no practical way of
projecting the timing of those shocks throughout the analysis period.
DOE's projections (of sockets and thus shipment growth) incorporate
AEO2009's assumption of average gross domestic product (GDP) growth of
2.5 percent annually. That is consistent with historical growth, which
has averaged 2.85 percent annually over the last 30 years, covering
both recessionary and expansionary cycles.\30\ Because of this
consistency with historical trends and the incorporation of future
economic growth considerations, DOE believes its approach of using
AEO's projections is superior to extrapolating from specific historical
economic events.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \30\ National Economic Accounts, Bureau of Economic Analysis,
U.S. Department of Commerce (Last accessed on Feb. 28, 2009).
Available at: http://www.bea.gov/national/nipaweb/Index.asp.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

[[Page 34117]]

4. Reflector Market Growth
    To establish IRL shipment forecasts in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE
first modeled the projected growth in the total reflector lamp market.
To do this, DOE utilized the year-to-year commercial floor space and
residential building growth projections in AEO2008. DOE also accounted
for a trend toward more fixtures in new and renovated homes. To do
this, DOE obtained historical California data\31\ on recessed cans per
home, categorized by home age. Using this data, DOE estimated the
average number of recessed cans per home to grow from 4.82 in 2005 to
8.52 in 2042. To estimate the growth rate in each year, DOE multiplied
this growth in the number of recessed cans in homes by the projected
stock of homes according to AEO2008. Combining these two sources, DOE
predicted an average growth rate of sockets of 2.6 percent between 2006
and 2042. 74 FR 16920, 16961 (April 13, 2009).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \31\ RLW Analytics, Inc., ``California Statewide Residential
Lighting and Appliance Efficiency Saturation Survey'' (August 2005)
(Last accessed on Sept. 29, 2008). Available at: www.calresest.com/
docs/2005CLASSREPORT.pdf. Exit Disclaimer
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In response to DOE's shipment forecasts, NEMA commented that DOE's
stated average annual growth rate of 2.6 percent for IRL was not
realistic. NEMA also provided additional historical IRL shipment data
from 2004 to 2008 that show shipments of PAR38 lamps decreasing
approximately 8 percent per year and shipments of PAR30 and PAR20 lamps
only marginally increasing. (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 14-15) In response, DOE
notes that the 2.6 percent growth rate in sockets presented in the
April 2009 NOPR does not represent growth in overall IRL shipments. DOE
used that growth in sockets and then applied varying penetrations of
non-IRL technologies into those sockets to determine IRL shipment
forecasts, as discussed in section V.D.5. In fact, after accounting for
these non-IRL technologies, DOE's resulting 2004 to 2008 IRL shipments
decline at a rate consistent with NEMA's historical shipments.
    At the NOPR public meeting, EEI commented that data from RECS show
that California homes historically have been smaller than the national
average. Therefore, using the California study as a proxy for the
nation as a whole may not be appropriate. Additionally, in recent
years, EEI stated that new U.S. homes have stopped growing in terms of
average floor space. EEI suggested that DOE research other State
studies and regional studies from the National Association of Home
Builders to obtain more values for growth rates of lighting fixtures.
Philips agreed and stated a preference for much more pessimistic IRL
growth projections than those used by DOE, due to the economic
slowdown, houses getting smaller, and the penetration of CFLs and other
emerging technologies. (EEI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p.
196; Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 197; EEI, No.
38.4 at pp. 3,4)
    In response, DOE agrees that RECS data shows that the average home
in California is smaller than the average home in the U.S. However,
that fact does not mean DOE's extrapolation of the California trend
(showing increasing number of light sources per home) to the nation is
inappropriate. As discussed above and in TSD chapter 10, DOE used the
growth rate of sockets per California home as an input into its
national shipment projections, not the absolute number of sockets per
home. It is the growth in the size of California homes relative to the
growth of all U.S. homes that is important to the analysis, not the
absolute size of the homes. Therefore, as long as the floor space
growth rate of new homes in California is consistent with rest of the
country, the trend toward more sockets in California is applicable in
this instance to the country as a whole. To that point, Census data
from 1973 to 2008 show that average floor space of new homes in the
West has grown at roughly the same rate as in the nation overall--1.11
percent versus 1.20 percent. Therefore, DOE believes the application of
the California data to the rest of the country is appropriate in this
instance and has not changed its methodology for the final rule.
    With regard to the comment that homes are no longer growing in
size, DOE's analysis of census housing data shows positive annual
single-family home floor space growth in each year from 1994 to 2007.
In 2008, the overall U.S. average did indeed decline by 0.5 percent.
However, while year-to-year average growth has varied over 35 years,
the long-term trend is clearly upward--as mentioned above, the average
floor space of new homes has grown at a compounded annual rate of 1.2
percent since 1973. AEO2009 projections for average residential square
footage, which incorporate macroeconomic effects, also predict a long-
term trend of positive floor space growth. Therefore, DOE believes
projecting continued growth in the number of sockets per home is
appropriate and has not changed its methodology for the final rule.
This enables DOE to continue to use AEO forecasts, which capture
macroeconomic conditions--as many comments have urged DOE to do--in its
socket and shipment growth projections. With regard to the comment
suggesting DOE obtain more regional housing data, DOE notes that
AEO2009 projections for residential housing stock growth are based off
Census data on the nine Census Divisions. AEO projects housing stocks
separately for each Census Division. Given the purposes of this
analysis and the nationwide applicability of standards, DOE believes
this methodology incorporates a sufficient level of geographic
granularity.
5. Penetration of R-CFLs and Emerging Technologies
    As discussed in more detail in the April 2009 NOPR (74 FR 16920,
16962-63 (April 13, 2009)) DOE developed and analyzed two base-case
shipment scenarios for IRL that estimated varying penetrations of non-
IRL technologies into the reflector market. For the Existing
Technologies scenario, DOE only considered the market penetration of
technologies that are currently readily available and have reached
maturation in terms of price and efficacy, namely R-CFL. In the
Emerging Technologies scenario, DOE attempted to forecast the market
penetration of mature technologies and those technologies that are
still undergoing significant changes in price and efficacy.
Specifically, DOE considered the market penetration of R-CFL, LED
lamps, and CMH lamps in the Emerging Technologies scenario. Because the
lamps employing emerging technologies are beyond the scope of the
rulemaking, DOE did not consider them design options for improving IRL
or GSFL efficacy. Instead, DOE considered these technologies potential
substitutes for the lamps covered in this rulemaking. DOE assumed that
the price of emerging technologies relative to covered technologies is
related to the likelihood that a consumer will buy an emerging
technology instead of a covered lamp.
    DOE developed price, performance, and efficacy forecasts for each
of the analyzed R-CFL and emerging technologies. For the LED forecasts,
DOE used data from its Solid State Lighting Multi-Year Program Plan.
(For this final rule, DOE updated its LED forecasts for DOE's latest
Multi-Year Program Plan.)\32\ With these inputs, DOE calculated the
payback period (PBP) of each technology in the relevant

[[Page 34118]]

sector using the difference between its purchase price, annual
electricity cost, and annual lamp replacement cost relative to the lamp
it replaces. (See TSD chapter 10 for further details.) DOE then used a
relationship between PBP and market penetration to predict the market
penetration of each technology in the relevant sector in every year
from 2006 to 2042. DOE received several comments on how it estimated R-
CFL and emerging technologies penetrations into the IRL market, as
discussed below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \32\ Multi-Year Program Plan FY'09 to FY'15: Solid-State
Lighting Research and Development (March 2009). Available at: 
http://apps1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/publications/pdfs/ssl/ssl_
mypp2009_web.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the public meeting, EEI commented that dimmable CFLs could
dramatically impact IRL growth if the dimmable technology improves.
(EEI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 202) In contrast, ADLT
commented that DOE overestimated the penetration of R-CFLs in the
commercial market in its April 2009 NOPR analysis. ADLT stated that
many commercial lighting applications require directional lighting for
which R-CFLs are ineffective. (ADLT, No. 72 at p. 5)
    In response to EEI's comment, DOE agrees that enhanced utility
features of various emerging technologies may change the rate at which
they are adopted. DOE also acknowledges that there is considerable
uncertainty in predicting the penetration of non-IRL technologies into
the IRL market. It is for this very reason that DOE models two base-
case scenarios that encompasses a large range of potential
penetrations. DOE believes that its Emerging Technologies forecast
adequately captures the effects of any increased penetration of R-CFLs
through advances in dimming technology. As discussed in TSD chapter 10,
based on payback period calculations, in the Emerging Technologies
forecast, DOE predicts that R-CFLs will have a significant impact on
IRL shipments only in the first few years of the analysis period.
Thereafter, LEDs, which have dimming capability (and thus can provide
the utility at issue in the comment), become more cost-effective and
dominate the emerging technologies forecast, despite any potential
future improvement in R-CFL dimming capabilities.
    With regard to ADLT's comment, DOE recognizes that there are
several qualities of R-CFLs (such as form factor, beam spread, color
quality, directionality, and dimming capability) which may result in
consumers' unwillingness to purchase them for IRL applications. DOE has
attempted account for these factors by reducing the penetration of R-
CFLs by approximately 40 percent relative to the penetrations predicted
by the payback period-penetration calculations. However, considering
the significant uncertainty regarding these penetrations, DOE verified
its R-CFL penetration by comparing its modeled shipments from 2005 to
2008 to NEMA's historical shipments. As discussed earlier, DOE found
that during this time period, the rate of decline in historical IRL
shipments (which is primarily due to R-CFL penetration) is consistent
with DOE's modeled shipments. For this reason, DOE does not feel it
necessary or that there is an analytical basis and data to modify its
R-CFL penetration estimates.
    Pertaining to the Emerging Technology forecasts, NEMA commented
that the April 2009 NOPR analysis incorrectly projected IRL shipments
to increase after reaching a minimum level. NEMA asserted that DOE
should remodel its expected energy savings with a continued decline in
IRL shipments after 2024. (NEMA, No. 81, p. 15) DOE believes that its
IRL forecasts are reasonable. As emerging technologies continue to
improve and their prices continue to decrease, DOE agrees that IRL
shipments will further decline as market share shifts from IRL to LED.
However, as these emerging technologies reach maturation, DOE believes
that their relative market share will stabilize, consistent with their
mature cost and performance features. Thus, as the total number of
reflector lamp sockets continues to increase (due to new construction),
it is reasonable to predict that IRL shipments will experience a
moderate increase as well. However, as DOE acknowledges that there is
considerable uncertainty regarding its forecasts, DOE performed a
sensitivity analysis for the Emerging Technologies scenario in which
IRL shipments continue to decline until emerging technologies reach a
maximum market penetration, which is upheld for the rest of the
analysis period. This sensitivity analysis results in approximately a 6
percent decrease in energy savings over the analysis period.
6. Building Codes
    In response to the April 2009 NOPR, GE commented that increasingly-
stringent building codes will most likely be phased in over time,
causing IRL growth to slow and decline. (GE, Public Meeting Transcript,
No. 38.4 at pp. 205-206) EEI also stated that the most recent model
building codes would have an effect on lighting technologies and
efficiencies. EEI added that the 2009 International Energy Conservation
Code (IECC) for residential construction calls for 50 percent of
lighting to be high-efficiency. Once DOE certifies the IECC, EEI
stated, States have one year to update their codes to meet or exceed
the IECC 2009, which will alter the growth of IRL. (EEI, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38.4, pp. 206-207, 315; EEI, No. 45 at pp. 5-6).
    In response, to evaluate the effects of more-stringent building
codes being phased in over the analysis period, DOE identified and
evaluated three of the most influential building codes across the
country. These included: (1) California's Title 24,\33\ which is
mandatory in the State; (2) the latest International Energy
Conservation Code (IECC 2009), which is a model energy code and which
some States voluntarily incorporate by reference into their building
codes, and (3) ASHRAE/IESNA Standard 90.1-2004. Each code has sections
that pertain to residential and commercial lighting. For example, IECC
2009 requires that high-efficacy light bulbs be installed in at least
50 percent of permanent lighting fixtures in new residential homes.
``High-efficacy'' is defined as:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \33\ California Energy Commission, ``Residential Compliance
Manual For California's Energy Efficiency Standards,'' Chapter 6
(April 2005) (Last accessed: June 18, 2009). Available at:
www.energy.ca.gov/2005publications/CEC-400-2005-005/chapters_4/q/6_Lighting.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ``A lighting fixture that does not contain a medium screw base
socket (E24/E26) and whose lamps have a minimum efficacy of:
    1. 60 lumens per watt for lamps over 40 watts,
    2. 50 lumens per watt for lamps over 15 watts to 40 watts,
    3. 40 lumens per watt for lamps 15 watts or less.'' \34\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \34\ International Code Council, ``International Energy
Conservation Code: Excerpt From the 2007 Supplement'' (July 2007)
(Last accessed: June 18, 2009). Available at: 
http://www.iccsafe.org/cs/codes/2007-08cycle/2007Supplement/IECC07S.pdf.
Exit Disclaimer
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The California Building Standards Code (Title 24) requires that all
luminaires that are permanently installed via new construction,
alterations, or additions (including replacements) be high-efficacy.
Title 24's definition of ``high-efficacy'' is very similar to that in
IECC 2009.
    DOE also researched ASHRAE/IESNA Standard 90.1-2004, a commonly-
referenced code for commercial buildings. Although it rarely references
lumen-per-watt metrics directly, the code does impose lighting power
density requirements and requires controls for many building types and
sizes, while providing various allowances and exemptions for many applications.
    When evaluating how such codes will affect lamp shipments, it is important
to note that DOE does not have the authority to mandate that States enact

[[Page 34119]]

residential building codes, as EEI suggested (although for commercial
codes DOE can require the adoption of a certain code it determines will
improve the energy efficiency of the nation's commercial building
stock). (42 U.S.C. 6833(b)(2)(A)) To clarify, EPCA requires DOE to
determine whether updates to IECC's residential energy efficiency code
will improve the energy efficiency of the nation's residential housing
stock. When DOE makes such a positive determination, States are
required to review (but not necessarily adopt) the energy provisions of
the code and to determine whether it would be appropriate to revise
residential building codes to meet or exceed the model code on which
DOE made a positive determination. (42 U.S.C. 6833(b)(1)). States must
complete their review within two years of DOE's positive determination.
Given a variety of policy considerations and the absence of a direct
mandate under EPCA that States adopt such building codes, currently,
the stringency of residential codes adopted varies widely throughout
the country.\35\ The most recent and stringent codes are not
necessarily adopted by States. Furthermore, in some States, local
governments have authority over their building codes (known as ``Home
Rule''), making it even more likely that the stringency of building
codes will vary widely throughout the country. For these reasons, DOE
does not believe that it should explicitly assume that new, more
stringent codes will necessarily be adopted, implemented, and enforced.
Furthermore, building codes are informed by product capabilities, IESNA
recommended light levels, and lamp and ballast efficiencies, rather
than vice versa. With that said, however, while not a driver of
development of more efficient technology, DOE agrees that increasingly-
stringent residential building codes are likely to contribute to a
greater share of shipments being higher-efficacy lamps by the end of
the analysis period as compared to the start of the period. Consistent
with this trend, DOE's market share matrices show migration to higher-
efficacy lamps in the base case, which allow for the effects of more-
energy-efficient building codes, although DOE did not directly analyze
those effects. See chapter 10 of the TSD for the full market-share
matrices in 2012 and 2042.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \35\ See: http://www.energycodes.gov/implement/state_codes/index.stm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

7. GSFL Shipments Growth
    NEMA also commented on several aspects of the GSFL shipment
forecasts. NEMA commented that DOE should forecast shipments that
account for a migration to GSFL with longer lifetimes. NEMA argued that
this phenomenon, currently occurring through both the increased
shipments of T8 lamps relative to T12 lamps and through a movement from
short-life T8 lamps to long-life T8 lamps, will result in a decline of
overall GSFL shipments. NEMA stated that such an effect would
materially affect DOE's economic justification of GSFL standard levels.
(NEMA, No. 81 at p. 14) In response to NEMA's concern, DOE agrees that
it is important to account for the economic effects of consumers
purchasing longer-life GSFL and has done so. In its NOPR analyses and
in chapter 11 of the TSD, DOE has fully accounted for this migration
toward longer-life lamps in its calculations of consumer equipment
costs and industry revenues, which are inputs into its calculations of
NPV and INPV. According to the NIA model, the average commercial sector
4-foot MPB T8 shipped in 2012 has a lifetime of approximately 6 years;
in 2042, the average lifetime is approximately 7 years.
    NEMA also commented that DOE overlooked the trend toward more
lighting controls and occupancy sensors in the commercial sector and,
therefore, did not account for this effect in slowing shipment growth
and reducing potential energy savings. NEMA asserted that this
highlights the flaw in the current rulemaking approach (e.g.,
considering lamps instead of lighting systems). (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 14)
    In response, DOE researched the issue of lighting controls and how
their deployment may affect the potential energy savings from more-
efficient lamps. DOE agrees that lighting controls are penetrating the
commercial buildings sector and as these technologies advance, building
managers seek to control costs, and more recent commercial building
energy codes are adopted. DOE's research suggested this trend is almost
entirely in the new construction and major renovation market segments.
A 2003 study suggested such controls are already common to roughly 60
percent of newly-constructed commercial square footage.\36\ DOE has
determined that the impacts of lighting controls are captured by the
operating-hours data derived from CBECS and employed in DOE's analysis.
However, as NEMA pointed out, given the additional time for the
continued market penetration of these controls throughout the analysis
period and the fact that buildings larger than 5,000 square feet
require automatic shutoff controls to be in compliance with the most
recent versions of the most referenced energy codes,\37\ higher
penetration rates are possible in the future. Therefore, to evaluate
the potential increased penetration of lighting controls, DOE conducted
a sensitivity analysis in which it estimated that all new commercial
building floor space after 2012 featured automated lighting controls,
such as occupancy sensors and scheduling systems.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \36\ DiLouie, Craig, ``Lighting Controls: Current Use, Major
Trends and Future Direction,'' Lighting Controls Association (2003).
    \37\ See, for example, http://resourcecenter.pnl.gov/cocoon/
morf/ResourceCenter/article/1566. (Last accessed June 16, 2009).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Next, DOE estimated the reduced operating hours due to these
lighting controls based on industry references. A Lighting Research
Center study on savings potential from occupancy sensors found a range
of 17 percent to 60 percent, depending on the application and tenant
behavior.\38\ This finding was in line with other industry estimates.
For its analysis, DOE assumed the midpoint of these findings (38.5
percent) as the energy savings achieved by new commercial buildings
employing lighting controls. DOE then reduced commercial operating
hours by the product of the energy savings, increase in commercial
square footage with lighting controls, and the average proportion of
the lighting market serving newly-constructed commercial buildings over
the analysis period. Based on these inputs, DOE calculated
approximately a 0.5 percent decline in national energy savings and an
average reduction in shipments of 0.5 percent over the analysis period.
Although this reflects a relatively small impact, DOE considered this
information in weighing the economic justification of the final rule.
See TSD chapter 11 for more details on the lighting controls
sensitivity analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \38\ VonNeida, Bill; Maniccia, Dorene; Tweed, Alan, An Analysis
of the Energy and Cost Savings Potential of Occupancy Sensors for
Commercial Lighting Systems, Lighting Research Center and
Environmental Protection Agency (August 2000).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

8. Residential Installed GSFL Stock
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE allotted a portion of the 4-foot MBP
installed stock in 2012 to the residential sector. To model this, DOE
chose the representative system as a 40W T12, 4-foot MBP lamp on a magnetic
low-ballast-factor ballast. 74 FR 16920, 16942-16943 (April 13, 2009). DOE

[[Page 34120]]

received comments on its residential sector analysis for the GSFL NIA.
These comments are discussed below.
    NEMA stated that DOE's analysis overlooked the fact that a small
portion of the residential installed base is already composed of T8
lamps, thereby resulting in an overstatement of energy savings. NEMA
stated that fixture manufacturers have begun to sell more T8 fixtures
for the residential sector and that one luminaire manufacturer reported
sales in the sector are currently split evenly between T8 and T12
fixtures. (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 8)
    DOE acknowledges that in there is some present migration to T8
lamps in the residential sector. However, DOE also believes that the
vast majority of the installed GSFL stock in the residential sector is
T12 lamps. This view was communicated in public meetings, comments, and
manufacturer interviews, as noted in the April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920,
16942 (April 13, 2009). For example, in earlier comments, NEMA stated
that the residential sector is projected to use more than 75 percent of
all 4-foot medium bipin T12 lamps sold by 2012 and this level would be
expected to persist, given that the 2000 Ballast Rule allows continued
use of the most common residential magnetic ballast. (NEMA, No. 21, at
p. 20; OSI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 20 at p. 276) DOE's
estimates are roughly in line with this estimate. Furthermore, DOE's
approach is consistent with a 2008 PG&E study that assumed, based on
discussions with fixture manufacturers and distributors, all current
residential fixtures were T12 systems.\39\ Based on these comments,
interviews, and its own research, DOE chose to analyze the 4-foot
medium bipin T12 lamp as the representative system in the residential
sector. Taken together, PG&E's study and the public comments DOE
received do not compel a change in this approach. However, DOE does
assume and account for rapid migration to T8 lamps in the residential
sector in the base case, reflecting the trend noted by NEMA. For
example, in the base case, DOE assumes the stock of 4-foot medium bipin
T8 lamps in the residential sector will grow more than 10-fold in the
first decade after the effective date, or roughly at a 28-percent
compounded annual growth rate. Therefore, DOE has retained its
methodology in this respect.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \39\ ''Codes and Standards Enhancement (CASE) Initiative for
PY2008: Title 20 Standards Development,'' Analysis of Standards
Options for Linear Fluorescent Fixtures (Prepared for PG&E by ACEEE,
Lighting Wizards, and Energy Solutions). (Last modified May 14, 2008)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EEI commented that 34W T12 lamps are being sold now in hardware
stores for the residential market, and, therefore, DOE should not
assume that the entire residential market is composed of 40W T12 lamps.
Southern California Edison commented that only about 25 percent of T12
lamps are 40W (DOE's baseline lamp) in California. On the other hand,
GE commented that the overwhelming majority of GSFL in the residential
market are 40W lamps. (EEI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p.
222; Southern California Edison, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at
pp. 188-189; GE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 189)
    DOE acknowledges that some 34W T12 lamps may be sold to residential
consumers. Therefore, DOE has revised its residential 4-foot T12
market-share matrix to reflect this effect. In addition, DOE revised
its 4-foot T12 market-share matrices in both the commercial and
residential markets to better reflect confidential manufacturer survey
data, as it relates to triphosphor and halophosphor shipment
categories. As a result of these two changes, DOE now assumes that in
the 2012 base case, 8 percent of 4-foot T12 lamp shipments in the
residential sector are 34W, and 92 percent are 40W (down from 100
percent in the April 2009 NOPR). Overall, for this final rule, DOE
allocated 90 percent (up from 67 percent) of the commercial 4-foot T12
market to 34W lamps and 10 percent to 40W.
9. GSFL Lighting Expertise Scenarios
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE considered two sets of standards-case
scenarios for GSFL shipments: (1) Roll-up and Shift scenarios; (2) High
and Market Segment-Based Lighting Expertise scenarios. 74 FR 16920,
16967-16968 (April 13, 2009). The Roll-up and Shift scenarios address
the issue of whether consumers who currently purchase lamps with
efficacies that exceed (not just meet) the minimum standard would be
likely to shift to even higher efficacy lamps in the face of amended
standards. These scenarios and the comments DOE received on them are
described below. For further details on the scenarios DOE analyzed and
developed, see TSD chapter 10.
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE modeled the Lighting Expertise
scenarios that analyzed the lamp and ballast purchase decisions
consumers are likely to make when required to purchase higher-efficacy
lamps. DOE analyzed these scenarios because how consumers respond to
this situation could substantially affect the potential energy savings
and NPV that will result from amended standards. For example, to
maintain lumen output with a new higher-efficacy lamp, some consumers
may select a reduced-wattage lamp to replace a less-efficacious
predecessor. Others may simply replace the lamp with one of the same
wattage, not make any other adjustments, and accept higher light
output. For GSFL, which operate on ballasts, consumers may also choose
to run the higher-efficacy lamps on lower-ballast-factor ballasts. To
the extent that lower ballast factors (BF) can achieve the appropriate lumen
output, DOE incorporated them into the technology choices facing consumers.
    The Lighting Expertise scenarios estimate the extent to which
consumers in the standards case may migrate to energy-saving, reduced-
wattage lamps, or, when reduced-wattage lamps are not available or
feasible, pair the new lamps with a lower-BF ballast (i.e., ballast
factor ``tuning''). With the results of this analysis, DOE developed
two standards-case scenarios called the ``High'' and ``Market Segment-
Based'' Lighting Expertise scenarios. This set of scenarios
characterizes the likelihood consumers will maintain equivalent light
output upon the purchase of a new higher-efficacy lamp or accept higher
lighting levels. In the High Expertise scenario, consumers who can
maintain lumen levels, do so. Conversely, in the Market Segment-Based
scenario, DOE assumes only a percentage of consumers will have the
expertise, based primarily on their market segment and purchase event,
to make this energy savings decision.
    In general, NEMA supported the modeling of the Market Segment-Based
Lighting Expertise scenario as the more realistic outcome of amended
energy conservation standards. NEMA stated that despite an increase in
efficacy, triphosphor lamps (particularly those at TSL4 and TSL5) will
not save consumers any energy, because the lamps will be the same
wattage as those they replace (with consumers simply realizing higher
lighting levels). (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp.
253-254; GE, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 256-7; NEMA,
No. 81 at p. 19) NEMA also commented that original equipment
manufacturer (OEM) sales data indicates that roughly 90 percent of OEM
luminaires (used in the fixture replacement, renovation, and new
construction markets), are shipped with ballasts with a normal ballast
factor. Therefore, NEMA commented, DOE's estimate of consumers with
high expertise for new construction and

[[Page 34121]]

renovation in the commercial sector (69 percent and 78 percent,
respectively) are likely overstated and should probably be closer to
what it estimates for the fixture replacement (34 percent) market.
(OSI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 233-235, NEMA, No. 81,
pp. 15-16)
    In response to the comments it received, DOE conducted further
research and interviews on this issue. Specifically, DOE reevaluated
its assumptions based on confidential sales channel data on instant-
start electronic T8 ballast sales that DOE received. The data were
categorized by ballast type (standard or high-efficiency), ballast
factor, and sales channel. OEM sales, which represent ballasts
generally sold to fixture manufacturers, best match the fixture replacement,
renovation, and new construction purchase events in DOE's analysis.
    While the OEM sales data suggest, as NEMA noted, that most ballasts
shipped for new fixtures have normal ballast factors, DOE does not
believe such a distribution will necessarily characterize the lamp/
ballast market in the standards case for the following reasons. First,
the current distribution of ballast factors cannot be assumed to be
predictive of the standards-case distribution. As more efficient lamps
are introduced, a key variable--lumen output--in the utility of
fixtures will have changed, all other things being equal. If, in the
standards case, fixture OEMs were agnostic to ballast factor and
continued to purchase the same distribution of high, normal, and low
ballast factors, they would be altering and perhaps jeopardizing this
utility the consumer derives from their product. Because fixtures are
often designed and marketed for a typical lumen output, DOE does not
believe it is likely that OEMs would be disinterested in the light
output of their product in the standards case. This is reinforced by
the emphasis on the cost of ownership estimates provided by fixture
manufacturers in their specifications sheets and marketing materials.
Given higher-efficacy lamps, DOE believes fixture manufacturers will
continue to market energy savings as before, which will require pairing
reduced-wattage lamps (if sold with the fixture) or low BF ballasts
with their fixtures.
    Next, discussions with fixture manufacturers and DOE's product
research indicate fixture manufacturers have the flexibility to meet
the demand of their end-users. There are no inherent substitutability
issues that would pose obstacles in migrating from normal ballast
factor to a low ballast factor. In interviews, fixture manufacturers
communicated their desire and that of their customers to ``match''
lumens--i.e., not over-light or under-light relative to the system
being replaced. For example, one fixture manufacturers noted that it
was common for them to replace three-lamp fixtures with two-lamp fixtures.
    Manufacturers stated during the public meeting that the commercial
sector is mostly characterized by a high level of lighting
sophistication. (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp.
239-240) For all of these reasons, DOE believes that fixture OEMs would
be likely to consider lower BF ballasts, if more-efficacious lamps were
required due to standards. Therefore, DOE decided not to change its
lighting expertise assumptions for this final rule and continues to use
the results of its analysis to characterize the Market-Segment-Based
Lighting Expertise scenario. However, whereas DOE believes it has
modeled market behavior which is consistent with the available
research, DOE acknowledges the uncertainty in these estimates, and,
therefore, modeled a sensitivity scenario in which it assumed that 34
percent (as recommended by NEMA) of consumers in the new construction
and renovation markets migrate to lower-ballast-factor ballasts or low-
wattage lamps. Generally, this sensitivity scenario reduces energy
savings and NPV by approximately 20 percent and 25 percent,
respectively (depending on the TSL and scenario). NPV and NES remain
highly positive. See TSD chapter 11 for results of this sensitivity analysis.
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE characterized residential consumers as
having low lighting expertise in the Market-Segment-Based Lighting
Expertise scenario and assumed 0 percent of these consumers would
migrate to lower-BF ballasts or lower-wattage lamps in this standards-
case scenario. 74 FR 16920, 16968 (April 13, 2009). ASAP commented that
the residential consumer's expertise, or lack thereof, is not as
relevant as what is on the store shelf and what is on sale. Therefore,
ASAP argued, 0 percent choosing a lower BF ballast or reduced wattage
is likely not accurate for fixture replacement in the residential
sector. (ASAP, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at pp. 236-237)
    DOE reiterates that how consumers behave in this respect is highly
uncertain. What is on sale in the store clearly has an effect, but to
assert that it is the only determinate would be to disregard the impact
of consumer choice. Additionally, what is on sale depends largely on
the expertise of the agent deciding what the store should stock, and
how responsive this agent is to consumer demand. As discussed in the
April 2009 NOPR, because of the uncertainty around this issue DOE
decided to consider both the High and Market Segment-Based Lighting
Expertise scenarios. 74 FR 16920, 16967-68 (April 13, 2009). With these
scenarios, DOE attempts to capture this range of potential impacts,
with the Market Segment-Based scenario characterizing the lower bound.
DOE decided for this final rule to continue to assume, in the Market
Segment-Based lighting expertise scenario, that 0 percent of
residential fixture replacement purchases will pair lower ballast
factors with higher-efficacy lamps, or purchase reduced-wattage lamps.
In contrast, the High Lighting Expertise scenario is meant to represent
the upper bound of impacts and assumes that 100 percent of residential
decision-makers have high lighting expertise.
10. IRL Product Substitution Scenarios
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE modeled two sets of standards-case
scenarios for IRL: Shift/Roll-up and Product Substitution/No Product
Substitution. 74 FR 16920, 16969-70 (April 13, 2009). Similar to GSFL,
the Shift/Roll-up scenarios consider whether consumers purchasing lamps
with efficacies that exceed (not just meet) the minimum standard would
be likely to shift to even higher efficacy lamps in the face of amended
standards. In the Product Substitution scenario, DOE assumed consumers
purchasing covered IRL in the base case do not necessarily continue to
purchase regulated IRL in the standards case. Accordingly, DOE modeled
a shift to both exempted BR lamps (namely the 65W BR30 lamp) and to R-
CFL in the standards case. In the ``No Production Substitution''
scenario, DOE assumed consumers who purchase covered IRL technology in
the base case continue to purchase covered IRL technology in the
standards case (i.e., the total number of installed covered IRL in the
base case is the same as that in the standards case throughout the
analysis period). In this scenario, DOE did not model any additional
shift in the standards case to non-regulated reflector technologies.
For more information about the IRL standards-case scenarios, see
chapter 10 of the NOPR TSD.
    DOE received several comments on the merits of modeling the Product
Substitution and No Product Substitution scenarios. ASAP and the
Alliance to Save Energy commented that DOE should model migration to R-
CFL and migration to exempt BR lamps

[[Page 34122]]

separately in order to better determine the effects of standards. ASAP
suggested that DOE's decision to simultaneously model R-CFL and BR
lamps obscured standards-case impacts because it combined two
offsetting effects-migration to BR lamps, which would decrease energy
savings, and migration to R-CFL, which would increase energy savings.
(ASAP, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4. at p. 241; Alliance to Save
Energy, Public Meeting Transcript, No 38.4. at pp. 243-244). ACEEE and
ADLT commented that because DOE intends to cover previously-exempted
lamps in a separate rulemaking, it should eliminate or greatly reduce
modeled migration to these lamps in the standards case. (ACEEE, No. 76
at p. 6, ADLT, No. 72 at p. 4) Philips also commented that DOE's
assumption in the No Product Substitution scenario--that consumers who
purchase covered IRL in the base case will continue to do so in the
standards case--is incorrect because standards will increase the cost
of covered IRL. This increase will tend to accelerate the penetration
of competing technologies, which the No Product Substitution scenario
fails to incorporate. (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38.4 at p. 239)
    First, DOE notes that currently exempted BR lamps, which are not
included in the current rulemaking but are largely at issue in this
discussion, may be analyzed for energy conservation standards in a
separate rulemaking. At this time, DOE cannot predict what minimum
efficacy requirements, if any, may be established for BR lamps.
Therefore, it is impossible to determine how lamps exempted from this
rulemaking (BR lamps) will compare in cost and efficacy to those IRL
covered by today's final rule. As a result, there is a great deal of
uncertainty in estimating the number of consumers likely to migrate to
BR lamps. For this very reason, DOE maintains the following two
scenarios. In the first scenario, no migration to the exempted 65W BR
lamp is modeled (representative of a situation in which the exempted
lamps are regulated at the same efficacy level as those IRL in this
rulemaking) and only migration to R-CFL occurs. In the second scenario,
DOE models the same migration to the 65W BR lamp as in the NOPR
(representative of a situation in which the exempted lamps remain unregulated).
    However, DOE agrees that modeling the two separate offsetting
standards-case impacts (migration to R-CFL and migration to the 65W BR
lamp together) conflates two variables that may be more illustrative
when modeled separately. Therefore, for this final rule, DOE is
modifying what was called the Product Substitution scenario in the
April 2009 NOPR and by dividing it into two scenarios and renaming them
the ``R-CFL Product Substitution'' and ``BR Product Substitution''
scenarios, respectively. In the R-CFL Product Substitution scenario,
DOE models migration to only R-CFL in response to standards (for the
reasons addressed in the comments and responses above). Similarly, in
the BR Product Substitution scenario, DOE models migration only to BR
lamps. DOE believes this approach best isolates the potential energy
savings impacts of migration to the two different technologies. DOE has
maintained its approach of modeling incrementally greater migration to
R-CFL and BR lamps for higher TSLs in these scenarios; it also
maintained the magnitude of these increases. In consideration of
Philips's comment, DOE is no longer analyzing the ``No Product
Substitution Scenario.'' DOE received several comments on the merits of
modeling the ``No Product Substitution'' scenario for determining
manufacturer impacts due to standards. These comments are discussed in
section V.F.
    Philips commented that it would be unlikely for the commercial
sector to migrate to BR lamps in the standards case because the sector
is driven by life-cycle costs (which are generally higher for BR lamps)
and because most commercial entities have high lighting knowledge. As
for the residential sector, Philips noted that BR lamps are not
suitable for outdoor applications, limiting the pool of applications
for which BR lamps are suitable to be potential replacements for
covered IRL in the standards case. (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript,
No. 38.4 at p. 239)
    DOE agrees that PAR lamps may be more suitable for outdoor
applications than the exempted BR lamps. However, as noted in the April
2009 NOPR and based on residential estimates that 40 percent of all
residential IRL are PAR lamps,\40\ DOE believes that a considerable
portion of residential PAR lamps are used in non-outdoor applications
that are suitable for both PAR and the exempted BR lamps. 74 FR 16920,
16970 (April 13, 2009). Thus, DOE maintains for this final rule that
some residential consumers may move to exempted IRL in the standards
case, although a great deal of uncertainty remains. For this reason DOE
models a separate scenario which reflects no migration to the 65W BR
lamps. Regarding NEMA's assertion that commercial consumers are more
sensitive to life-cycle cost, DOE agrees that the penetration rates of
less-cost-effective lamps will be lower in the commercial sector than
the residential sector. In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE took this factor
into account in its analysis by using separate payback period-
penetration relationships for each sector. 74 FR 16920, 16963 (April
13, 2009). For the reasons discussed above, for this final rule, DOE
maintains the same migration to the 65W BR lamp as modeled in the April
2009 NOPR in the Product Substitution scenario.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \40\ New York State Energy Research and Development Authority,
Incandescent Reflector Lamps Study of Proposed Energy Efficiency
Standards for New York State (2006) (Last accessed Oct. 7, 2006).
Available at: http://www.nyserda.org/publications/Report%2006-07-
Complete%20report-web.pdf. Exit Disclaimer
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IALD commented that DOE did not consider all the possible
substitution scenarios in the April 2009 NOPR. For example, consumers
may switch to fixtures with exempted AR (aluminum reflector) and MR
(multi-faceted reflector) lamps because of the lower upfront cost, or
lamp manufacturers may choose to produce 39W lamps (outside the scope
of coverage of DOE's regulations). (IALD, No. 71 at p. 2, 3) In
response, DOE believes that a migration to AR and MR lamps is unlikely
to have a material impact on energy savings due to the unique
characteristics (e.g., lamp size, voltage, or socket) of these lamps
and because they generally cannot be interchanged with other
reflectorized lamps.\41\ In addition, DOE does not expect a significant
migration to 39W lamps as a result of standards for the following
reason. If these lamps were manufactured at lower efficacies without
halogen technology (thereby circumventing the standard), they would
likely have much lower lumen output than needed to meet the demand of
consumers of the existing lamp, thereby making it an unacceptable
replacement.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \41\ Lighting Resource Center, NLPIP Lighting Answers: Volume 6,
Issue 2 (Sept. 2002) (Last accessed: June 21, 2009). Available at:
http://www.lrc.rpi.edu/programs/nlpip/lightingAnswers/mr16/
reflectorizedLamps.asp. Exit Disclaimer
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For more information about the R-CFL Product Substitution and BR
Product Substitution standards-case scenarios, see chapter 10 of the TSD.
11. Discount Rates
    In its analyses, DOE multiplies monetary values in future years by
a discount factor in order to determine its present value. DOE
estimated national impacts using both a 3-percent and a 7-percent real
discount rate as the average real rate of return on private investment

[[Page 34123]]

in the U.S. economy. NRDC argued that DOE should use a 2-percent or 3-
percent discount rate and should not apply it to the value of carbon
emissions. (NRDC, No. 82 at p. 5).
    In response, DOE notes that it follows the guidelines on discount
factors set forth by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB).
Specifically, DOE uses these discount rates in accordance with guidance
that OMB provides to Federal agencies on the development of regulatory
analysis (OMB Circular A-4 \42\ (Sept.17, 2003), particularly section
E, ``Identifying and Measuring Benefits and Costs''). Accordingly, DOE
is continuing to use 3-percent and 7-percent real discount rates for
the relevant calculations for this final rule. Furthermore, DOE
continues to report both undiscounted and discounted values of carbon
emission reductions. DOE believes this allows for consideration of a
range of policy perspectives, one of which is the view that a reduction
in emissions today is more valuable than one in thirty years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \42\ Available at: http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/assets/
regulatory_matters_pdf/a-4.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

E. Consumer Sub-Group Analysis

    In analyzing the potential impact of new or amended standards on
commercial customers, DOE evaluates the impact on identifiable groups
(i.e., sub-groups) of customers, such as different types of businesses
that may be disproportionately affected by a National standard level.
In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE identified low-income consumers,
institutions of religious worship, and institutions that serve low-
income populations, and consumers of T12 electronic ballasts as lamp
consumer sub-groups that could be disproportionately affected, and
examined the impact of proposed standards on this group. 74 FR 16920,
16971-72 (April 13, 2009). DOE determined the impact on this consumer
sub-group using the LCC spreadsheet model. DOE did not receive comments
on sub-groups chosen to analyze nor on the assumptions applied to those
sub-groups. DOE relied on the same methodology outlined in the April
2009 NOPR for the final rule analysis. The results of DOE's LCC sub-
group analysis are briefly summarized in section VII.C.1.b and
described in detail in chapter 12 of the TSD.

F. Manufacturer Impact Analysis

    DOE performed a manufacturer impact analysis (MIA) to estimate the
financial impact of energy conservation standards on manufacturers of
GSFL and IRL, and to assess the impact of such standards on employment
and manufacturing capacity. DOE's MIA methodology is discussed in
detail in the April 2009 NOPR (74 FR 16920, 16972-77 (April 13, 2009))
and in chapter 13 of the TSD. DOE conducted the MIA for GSFL and IRL in
three phases. Phase 1 (Industry Profile) consisted of preparing an
industry characterization, including data on market share, sales
volumes and trends, pricing, employment, and financial structure. Phase
2 (Industry Cash Flow Analysis) focused on the industries as a whole.
In this phase, DOE used the Government Regulatory Impact Model (GRIM)
to prepare an industry cash-flow analysis for each industry (GSFL and
IRL). Using publicly-available information developed in Phase 1, DOE
adapted the GRIM's generic structure to perform an industry cash flow
analysis for manufacturers of GSFL and IRL both with and without energy
conservation standards. In Phase 3 (Sub-Group Impact Analysis) DOE
conducted interviews with manufacturers representing the majority of
domestic GSFL and IRL sales. During these interviews, DOE discussed
engineering, manufacturing, procurement, and financial topics specific
to each company and obtained each manufacturer's view of the
industries. The interviews provided valuable information DOE used to
evaluate the impacts of an energy conservation standard on manufacturer
cash flows, manufacturing capacities, and employment levels. DOE then
finalized its assumptions for the cash flow analysis and described the
qualitative impacts on manufacturers due to amended energy conservation
standards.
    The GRIM inputs consist of data regarding the cost structures for
GSFL and IRL industries, shipments, and revenues. These include
information from many of the analyses described above, such as retail
prices from the product price determination analysis and shipments
forecasts from the NIA.
    For the final rule, DOE incorporates a number of changes to GRIM
inputs that were made in the other analyses for this rulemaking. The
GRIM uses the medium prices in the product price determination analysis
to calculate the manufacturer production costs (MPCs) for each
equipment class at each TSL. By multiplying the production costs by
different sets of markups, DOE derives the manufacturer selling prices
used to calculate industry revenues. Following the NOPR, DOE updated
its product price determination analysis using the CPI. DOE uses these
updated prices in the GRIM for the final rule.
    The GRIM estimates manufacturer revenues based on total-unit-
shipment forecasts and the distribution of these shipments by efficacy.
Changes in the efficacy mix at each standard level are a significant
driver of manufacturer finances. For the final rule analysis, DOE
updated the GSFL and IRL MIA results based on the total shipments and
efficacy distribution estimated in the final rule NIA.
    As described in section V.D.10, DOE updated the substitution
scenarios in the IRL GRIM. For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE modeled a set
of standards-case IRL scenarios called the ``Product Substitution'' and
``No Product Substitution'' scenarios. 74 FR 16920, 16969-70 (April 13,
2009). In the Product Substitution scenario, DOE assumed consumers
purchasing covered IRL in the base case do not necessarily purchase
covered IRL in the standards case. DOE modeled a shift to both exempted
BR R-CFL in the standards case. In the ``No Production Substitution''
scenario, DOE assumed consumers who purchase covered IRL technology in
the base case continue to purchase covered IRL technology in the standards case.
    In response to comments by ASAP, for today's final rule, DOE
modified the IRL shipments scenarios. The Product Substitution is
modified by dividing it into two and renaming them the ``R-CFL Product
Substitution'' and ``BR Product Substitution'' scenarios. In the R-CFL
Product Substitution scenario, DOE models migration to only R-CFL in
response to standards. Similarly, in the BR Product Substitution
scenario, DOE models migration only to BR lamps. For further detail in
DOE's modification of the Product Substitution scenarios and its
response to ASAP's comments regarding this issue, see section V.D.10 of
today's notice.
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE determined the total capital
conversion costs that would be required for the IRL industry to convert
existing production to meet demand at each TSL. For the NOPR, DOE
scaled the IRL capital conversion costs using the Existing Technologies
base-case shipments to account for the decline in shipments before
standards become effective. DOE used the same capital conversion costs
for all scenarios. For today's final rule, DOE updated the capital and
product conversion costs to 2008$ using the PPI for NAICS code 335110
(electric lamp bulb and part manufacturing) for both GSFL and IRL.
Additionally, for the final rule, DOE is using two sets of capital
conversion costs. For all IRL scenarios in the Existing Technologies
base case, DOE scales its updated

[[Page 34124]]

estimate of the capital conversion costs using the Existing
Technologies base-case shipments. For all IRL scenarios in the Emerging
Technology base case, DOE scales its updated estimate of the capital
conversion costs using the Emerging Technologies base-case shipments.
Scaling the IRL capital conversion costs for each base case results in
lower capital conversion costs in the Emerging Technologies base case
than in the Existing Technologies base case. DOE believes this approach
to scaling capital conversion cost with shipments more accurately
captures the capital costs that the IRL industry could incur in each scenario.
    For today's final rule and in response to comments, DOE developed a
shortened lifetime scenario for IRL to investigate the effects of
shorter lamp lifetime at higher TSLs. In this sensitivity scenario, DOE
changes the lifetime and prices of the higher-efficacy representative
lamps at TSL 4 and TSL 5. These changes in characteristics also
simulate certain lamps becoming a commodity product in response to
energy conservation standards. These alterations cause higher shipments
in the standards case and result in reduced negative impacts on the
industry. See section VI.C.1 of today's final rule for an explanation
of the lifetime sensitivity scenario. For the INPV results in the
lifetime sensitivity scenario, see section VII.C.2.a of today's notice
and chapter 13 of the TSD.
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE used a set of markup scenarios to
calculate manufacturer selling prices in order to estimate industry
revenues in its cashflow analysis. 74 FR 16920, 16977 (April 13, 2009).
In both the IRL and GSFL GRIM, DOE modeled a Flat Markup scenario. This
scenario assumed that the cost of goods sold for each lamp is marked up
by a flat percentage to cover standard selling, general, and
administrative (SG&A) expenses, research and development (R&D)
expenses, and profit. To derive this percentage, DOE evaluated
publicly-available financial information for manufacturers of lighting
equipment. For today's final rule, DOE continues to model a Flat Markup
scenario in both the IRL and GSFL GRIM.
    For GSFL only, DOE also modeled a Four-Tier markup scenario for the
April 2009 NOPR. 74 FR 16920, 16977 (April 13, 2009). In this scenario,
DOE assumed that the markup on lamps varies by efficacy in both the
base case and the standards case. DOE used information provided by
manufacturers, the medium prices in its product price determination,
and industry average gross margins to estimate markups for GSFL under a
four-tier pricing strategy in the base case. In this scenario premium
products have a higher markup at each increasing tier of efficacy
(i.e., a higher markup for each increasing phosphor series). In the
standards case, DOE modeled the situation in which a reduction in
product portfolios squeezes the margins of higher-efficacy products as
they are ``demoted'' to lower-relative-efficacy-tier products.
    For today's final rule, DOE incorporates additional assumptions in
its Four-Tier markup scenario for both the base case and standards
case. For the final rule, DOE continues to model a base-case pricing
strategy in which each phosphor series earns a separate markup. However
these mark-ups are changing over time during the analysis period to
take into account commoditization of more-efficient lamps as they gain
market share. Depending on the product class of GSFL, the market share
of either 800 or 800 plus series lamps overtakes the market share of
700 series lamps. This capture of market share is fully realized at
later dates (between 2035 and 2040, depending on the base-case scenario
and product class). The original markups for 700, 800, and 800 plus
series lamps converge to a single, lower markup over time. The Four-
Tier markup standards case continues to ``squeeze'' the margins of
commoditized lamps, but the impacts are reduced because the margins are
already lowered in the base case. For an extensive explanation of the
revised Four-Tier markup scenario, see chapter 13 of the TSD.
    During the NOPR public meeting OSI commented that the INPV results
for GSFL show that the manufacturer impacts were taken into
consideration in DOE's arrival at the appropriate proposed energy
conservation standard. However, the negative INPV results for IRL,
especially at the proposed TSL 4, indicated that the impact on
manufacturers was not considered in DOE's proposed energy conservation
standard for IRL (OSRAM/Sylvania, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38 at
pp 284-286). Similarly, NEMA commented that DOE failed to give adequate
consideration to the negative INPV at TSL4 (NEMA, No. 81 at p. 4).
Philips added that the analysis for IRL showed a large increase in NPV
at TSL 3, the first TSL to require exclusively infrared technology. The
benefit to consumers moving past TSL 3 was incremental whereas the
impacts on manufacturers were worse at TSL 4 than TSL 3 (Philips,
Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38 at pp 292-293).
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE presented the results of the MIA and
its determination of proposed energy conservation standard levels for
GSFL and IRL based on the EPCA criteria. Specifically, EPCA provides
that any such standard for a covered product must be designed to
achieve the maximum improvement in energy efficiency that the Secretary
determines is technologically feasible and economically justified and
that results in significant conservation of energy. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(A) and (3)(B)) In determining whether a standard is
economically justified, the Secretary must determine whether the
benefits of the standard exceed its burdens, to the greatest extent
practicable, considering the seven factors. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(i)) DOE believes that the industry commenters took a
contrasting approach to the agency's analysis under the relevant
statutory criteria by attempting to frame the issue as one of comparing
incremental benefits to consumers relative to impacts on manufacturers
at in moving from TSL3 to TSL 4. Instead, DOE interprets the proper
application of statutory criteria, to require atop-down approach, which
implies DOE must first analyze the TSL that would save the maximum
amount of energy. If that TSL is not economically justified (i.e., the
benefits do not exceed the burdens), DOE must then analyze the TSL with
the next greatest energy savings until it reaches a TSL that it
determines is economically justified and technologically feasible.
Impacts on manufacturers and consumers are specific criteria that DOE
must consider in its analysis. (42 U.S.C. 6295 (o)(2)(B)(i)(I)) In the
April 2009 NOPR, DOE found that TSL 5 was not economically justified
for IRL. DOE then analyzed TSL 4 and found that it was economically
justified and technologically feasible. 74 FR 16920, 17018 (April 13, 2009).
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE considered the negative impacts on
INPV for IRL manufacturers at TSL 4. However, the Secretary reached the
initial conclusion that the benefits of energy savings, emissions
reductions, the positive net economic savings to the Nation, and
positive life-cycle cost savings at TSL 4 would outweigh the
potentially large reduction in INPV for manufacturers. 74 FR 16920,
17018 (April 13, 2009). For the final rule, DOE continues to base its
determination of whether a standard level is economically justified
using all seven EPCA factors. While the impacts on consumers and
manufacturers are both considered in making this

[[Page 34125]]

determination, none of these factors are reviewed in isolation.
Although DOE gathers information on each of the seven statutory factors
individually, the Secretary must ultimately consider the seven factors
collectively in determining whether a standard is economically justified.
    In its comments on DOE's April 2009 NOPR, ADLT stated that DOE's
use of longer lifetimes at TSL 4 and TSL 5 is counter to manufacturer
interviews. According to ADLT, because longer lamp lifetimes would have
a significant impact on IRL shipments, the MIA overstates the impact on
manufacturers. (ADLT, No. 72 at p. 3)
    DOE acknowledges that lifetimes of analyzed lamps have a
significant impact on IRL shipments. For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE
presented its assumptions for lamp lifetimes and shipment projections.
74 FR 16920, 16956-57, 16959-65 (April 13, 2009). DOE also acknowledges
that shipments are a significant driver of INPV results, especially in
the IRL industry. To analyze the effects of lower lifetimes on IRL
shipments at TSL 4 and TSL 5, DOE included a lifetime sensitivity
analysis for today's final rule. The INPV results for the sensitivity
scenario show that reduced lamp lifetimes at TSL 4 and TSL 5
significantly reduce the negative impacts on IRL manufacturers. DOE
agrees with ADLT that the impacts on the IRL industry would be lower if
manufacturers reduced lamp lifetimes in response to the energy
conservation standards. See section VI.C.1 of today's final rule for an
explanation of the lifetime sensitivity scenario. For the INPV results
in the lifetime sensitivity scenario, see section VII.C.2.a of today's
notice and chapter 13 of the TSD.
    The CA Stakeholders are concerned that DOE's analysis of the burden
on the GSFL industry may have focused primarily on the worst case
scenario, rather than on the more likely combination of scenarios. The
CA Stakeholders argue that if DOE were to average the impacts on GSFL
manufacturers in the 16 possible scenarios, the industry losses would
be less than half of the losses associated with the worst case scenario
(CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 11).
    In arriving at the energy conservation standards in this final
rule, DOE considered the full range of potential impacts on GSFL
manufacturers. To determine the range of potential impacts on GSFL
manufacturers, DOE performed an analysis which included 16 different
industry cash flow scenarios. These scenarios considered numerous
variables which influence the analysis (level of emerging technologies,
markup strategies, product substitution, consumer lighting expertise,
and product mix). To better explain the basis of its decision DOE
describes how it balanced the likelihood of the scenarios and the range
of uncertainty in arriving at today's standards. For a more detailed
explanation of how DOE arrived at its decision for today's final rule,
see section VII.D of today's notice.
    All manufacturers expressed the view that the supply of standards-
compliant lamps would be constrained. OSI commented that the large,
negative INPV impacts for IRL manufacturers show that after the
effective date of the standard, only the current volumes of standards-
compliant lamps will be produced by manufacturers. (OSI, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38 at p. 286). Philips stated that there is not an
opportunity to invest in IRL because of negative impacts on
manufacturers at the proposed level and the limited time horizon of the
investment due to emerging technology. According to Philips, these
factors could cause the IRL industry to experience a capacity
constraint of HIR lamps (Philips, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38 at
pp. 287-288). GE agreed that this rulemaking forces a decision upon
manufacturers in terms of whether to invest in a technology whose
market is expected to decline over time. This limited investment will
lead to a constrained IRL HIR lamp market (GE, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38 at pp. 292-293). Similarly, NEMA commented that TSL
4 or above is essentially unthinkable for the industry and would cause
capacity issues. NEMA added that TSL 3 or above for IRL would require
manufacturers to over-invest to increase capacity of HIR lamps that
will no longer be needed in a few years. NEMA believes these
investments, which may never be recovered, cannot be justified
financially and economically because of the diminishing market of
covered IRL as a result of emerging technology. (NEMA, No. 81 at pp. 5, 10)
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE included the capital conversion costs
that would be required to meet the entire industry demand at each TSL.
74 FR 16920, 17001-02 (April 13, 2009). DOE based these estimates on
interviews with manufacturers that produce the vast majority of IRL for
sale in the United States. DOE obtained financial information through
these manufacturer interviews and aggregated the results to mask any
proprietary or confidential information from any one manufacturer.
These estimates were found to be consistent with financial ratios for
plant, property, and equipment reported in manufacturer financial
statements. For TSL 5, because some manufacturers did not provide
capital costs since they had no access to the needed technology, DOE
supplemented manufacturer information with information provided by a
supplier of coating technology. Therefore, DOE believes that the large
capital conversion costs identified are representative of the
expenditures that would be required for the industry to increase the
production of higher-efficacy lamps at each TSL. DOE also cited these
large capital conversion costs as a primary driver of the large,
negative impacts on INPV. 74 FR 16920, 17002-03 (April 13, 2009).
    In the April 2009 NOPR, DOE acknowledged manufacturers' concern
about the potential for emerging technologies to further erode the IRL
market. 74 FR 16920, 17002-03 (April 13, 2009). DOE also noted that an
IRL standard would be unique because it would force investments in a
market that could shrink over the entire lifetime of the investment.
These large capital conversion costs continue to be a significant
driver of the large, negative INPV values.
    DOE believes that the large, negative INPV results compared to the
industry value using the Emerging Technologies base case accurately
captures manufacturer concerns about the lack of a financial return
from large capital conversion in a shrinking market.
    Philips commented that the capacity constraint would be worse at
TSL 4 than at TSL 3, even though both these TSLs involve HIR
technology. According to Philips, the additional time needed for the
manufacturing processes associated with IRL lamps that meet TSL 4 could
lead to additional capacity constraints because fewer products can be
produced after the effective date of the standards. (Philips, Public
Meeting Transcript, No. 38 at pp. 292-293)
    DOE agrees that the INPV impacts at TSL 4 are larger than at TSL 3.
The production of improved infrared capsules is more time consuming
than the production of standard HIR lamps. The improvements to standard
HIR lamps lower the output of each coating machine because production
run would require additional cycle time for the coating process and
quality control. The additional capital conversion costs at TSL 4
include the additional production equipment required to meet industry
demand with a lower production output rate. DOE believes that there is
sufficient lead time for manufacturers to convert their existing
facilities to meet market demand with standards-compliant lamps.
Manufacturers could mitigate possible capacity constraints by

[[Page 34126]]

installing additional coaters, purchasing infrared burners from a
supplier, and using existing excess capacity.
    The CA Stakeholders and ACEEE commented that DOE's capital
conversion and product conversion costs for IRLs should have addressed
the fact that massive investments in advanced IR technologies will
likely be happening absent standards. According to the CA Stakeholders,
due to great potential improvements and consumer preferences, IRL
manufacturers will already be making investments in advanced burner
technology to meet the EISA 2007 requirement for general service
incandescent lamps. These investments include coating machines and
coating technology that can be applied to both general service lamp
burners and reflector lamp burners. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 27)
(ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 5)
    DOE believes that the energy conservation standards set by today's
final rule are more stringent than the EISA 2007 requirements for
general service incandescent lamps in 2012, and, therefore, these GSIL
investments are not pertinent to the IRL analysis. The EISA 2007 GSIL
standards that are effective in 2020 are similar to the IRL energy
conservation standards for today's final rule. If manufacturers use the
same technology in 2020, improved capsule technology could be used to
reach prescribed GSIL efficacy levels. However, it is uncertain that a
similar pathway for GSIL will be used to reach the prescribed efficacy
levels in 2020 since emerging technologies may offer a better solution.
Because the GSIL regulation is effective eight years after the
effective date for today's IRL energy conservation standard and because
manufacturers will have already made investments for IRL, any GSIL
investments to meet the 2020 requirements will not impact the magnitude
of investments needed by the IRL industry to meet today's final rule.
    OSI stated that an additional concern about the declining market
share of IRL due to emerging technology is that IRL are manufactured
mostly in the United States, whereas the alternative technologies are
not. The commenter argued that a standard that hastens the shift to
alternative technologies would have negative impacts on domestic
employment in the IRL industry. (OSI, Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38
at p. 286)
    In response, DOE notes that in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE includes
two base-case scenarios which examine the employment impacts of energy
conservation standards. The Emerging Technologies base case models the
situation in which emerging technologies such as LED and CMH lamps take
an increasing share of covered IRL. Shipments of IRL are eroded in both
the Existing Technologies and Emerging Technologies scenarios by R-CFL
(a fully mature technology). In the Emerging Technology base case, IRL
shipments are replaced by CMH, LEDs, and other emerging technologies
that have the potential to replace a greater percentage of recessed can
fixtures. DOE treats the erosion of the IRL market as a base-case
issue, since the market decline is occurring without standards. In the
April 2009 NOPR and in today's final rule, DOE acknowledges that the
differential between employment levels in the Existing Technologies and
Emerging Technologies base cases is large. However, the impact caused
by standards is much less than the difference in employment between the
two base cases. In any scenario, energy conservation standards have a
small impact on the average employment levels in the IRL industry.
    At the NOPR public meeting, GE expressed concern that the GSFL
energy conservation standards could shift production overseas. (GE,
Public Meeting Transcript, No. 38 at pp. 278-279)
    DOE agrees that energy conservation standards will require
significant capital conversion costs that could cause manufacturers to
consider sourcing decisions, but DOE believes that many other factors
could mitigate the decision to relocate production facilities abroad in
response to amended standards. For example, the majority of GSFL are
produced domestically on high-speed lines. The large capital conversion
costs required at higher TSLs involve converting these existing high-
speed lines to ones capable of producing smaller-diameter lamps. While
these capital conversion costs are large, moving production outside the
United States would require additional costs to transport existing
production lines and to build a green field facility, none of which
would eliminate the cost to convert the lines for smaller-diameter
lamps. Furthermore, the highly-capitalized production process causes
the labor content of GSFL to be a relatively small portion of the
overall cost of each lamp. Because the vast majority of GSFL production
costs are material costs, the labor cost savings from moving abroad
would be relatively low. Most of the GSFL labor cost results from
skilled workers that monitor and control the production process. There
are relatively few unskilled workers in the production process, which
further reduces the labor cost savings from relocation. Instead, the
labor content of GSFL represents intellectual capital for GSFL
production, so this would present another hurdle that would need to be
addressed with relocation. A final mitigating factor that could prevent
relocation of domestic production is increased shipping costs. Higher
shipping costs, especially if production required oceanic freight,
would likely outweigh any labor cost savings. For further information
of conversion costs and possible employment impacts due to today's
energy conservation standards, see chapter 13 of the TSD.
    While DOE describes the factors that could mitigate a decision by
U.S. manufacturers to relocate production facilities abroad due to
amended energy conservation standards, DOE also recognizes that access
to rare earth phosphors could also impact sourcing decisions. As
described in section VI.G, most of the current supply of rare earth
phosphors is controlled by China. A drastic change to export quotas or
tariffs could influence the sourcing decision of U.S. manufacturers
more significantly than amended energy conservation standards. If
export quotas continue to decrease, companies could decide to relocate
to China in order to gain access to the available rare earth phosphors
supply, regardless of the energy conservation standard. However, DOE's
direct employment conclusions do not account for the possible
relocation of domestic manufacturing to other countries as a result of
changes in export quotas or tariffs on materials used (e.g., rare earth
phosphors) because the potential for relocation is uncertain.
    During the public meeting, Energy Solutions inquired if the IRL
analysis considered that emerging technology and other IRL replacements
are often made by the same manufacturers (Energy Solutions, Public
Meeting Transcript, No. 38, at pp. 288-289). The CA Stakeholders,
ACEEE, and NRDC commented that DOE's INPV analyses should consider the
positive impacts to lamp manufacturers associated with the increased
sales of the non-covered products resulting from standards. (CA
Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 4) (ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 6) (NRDC, No. 82 at
pp. 4-5) The CA Stakeholders, ACEEE, and NRDC claimed the MIA impacts
are overstated because the IRL and GSFL products that might see a
reduction in shipment volume are generally made by the same
manufacturers who sell the emerging technologies that may see a
resulting increase in shipment volume. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p.
7) (ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 6) (NRDC, No. 82 at pp. 4-5) Accordingly, the CA

[[Page 34127]]

Stakeholders agreed with the petitioners'\43\ argument in appealing
that the Secretary must fully consider, ``the economic impact of the
standard on the manufacturers * * * of the products subject to such
standard.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)I). The CA Stakeholders stated
that because one of the impacts ``of the standard on the
manufacturers'' of IRL and GSFL products will be increased sales (at
higher markups) of exempt or non-covered lamps made by the same
manufacturers, the statutory language requires that these positive
impacts also be taken into account. Similarly, EEI commented that
manufacturer impacts should account for the lost sales of baseline
products as well as increased sales of high-efficiency products. (EEI,
No. 39 at p. 4)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \43\ (States of New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, and
California, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, City of New York, and
California Energy Commission) in the United States Court of Appeals
in a petition regarding DOE's Furnace Rulemaking (State of New York
v. U.S. Dep't of Energy, No. 08-0311 (2d Cir. filed January 17, 2008))
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In response, the Emerging Technologies scenario describes how
emerging technologies may erode the market for covered products in the
base case, absent standards. The penetration of emerging technology
reduces the number of covered lamps sold in future years in the same
manner as a reduction in commercial floor space over time might reduce
demand for covered IRL and GSFL lamps. The level of base-case reduction
in lamp sales is independent of the energy conservation standard. The
Emerging Technologies base case has lower energy savings in the NIA and
lower base-case INPV in the GRIM, as compared to the Existing
Technologies scenario.
    The situation described for the furnaces and boilers rulemaking
only exists for IRL in this rulemaking. In the furnaces and boilers
rulemaking, the MIA analysis captured the product switching from gas
furnaces to electric heat pumps induced by amended energy conservation
standards. 72 FR 65136, 65158-61 (Nov. 19, 2007). The analogous
situation for IRL occurs when the higher prices of covered lamps induce
sales of non-covered BR lamps and R-CFLs. This migration from covered
IRL to non-covered products was modeled in the April 2009 NOPR in the
Product Substitution scenario. 74 FR 16920, 16969-70 (April 13, 2009).
For the final rule, this situation was modeled in both the BR Product
Substitution scenario and the R-CFL Product Substitution scenario.
Thus, DOE modeled the impacts on the IRL industry from reduced sales of
covered IRL due to price effects. The difference in INPV of including
or excluding the sales of non-covered products was found to be small.
Including these sales in the GRIM is not a major driver of the INPV results.
    Instead, the larger declines in INPV in the Emerging Technologies
scenario (compared to the Existing Technologies scenario) are not due
to the exclusion of emerging technology sales from the analysis or to
the declining sales of covered products, since the covered products are
also declining in the base case. Instead, the larger impacts are caused
by the overinvestment in the standards-compliant technology. In the
Emerging Technologies scenario, manufacturers must invest in production
levels anticipated for 2012, but the sales of covered products
immediately begin to fall. In the base case, sales of covered products
also decline, but manufacturers do not need to make extraordinary
capital expenses. These extraordinary capital expenses cause the
industry's cash flow to decrease significantly in comparison to the
base case, causing an overall decrease of estimated INPV.
    The CA Stakeholders claimed that by focusing on decreased sales of
the specific technology being regulated, DOE is interpreting the
statute to favor the status quo over more-efficient alternative
technologies that are not being specifically regulated. According to
the CA Stakeholders, there is nothing in the statue that limits DOE's
review to only consider the impacts on regulated IRL and GSFL. (CA
Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 8) The CA Stakeholders recommended that DOE
should focus its analysis on the economic impact on lighting
manufacturers as a whole, rather than on the impacts of the specific
technology being regulated. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 8)
Similarly, Earthjustice commented that the INPV results shown in the
MIA should be bounded around the corporation, not the profit center
that makes the covered products (Earthjustice, Public Meeting
Transcript, No. 38, at p. 295). Agreeing with Earthjustice, the
Appliance Standards Awareness Project stated that INPV impacts shown in
the MIA should be bounded around the corporation and added that the
difficulty in analyzing the impacts at the corporation level does not
remove DOE's obligation to do so (ASAP, Public Meeting Transcript, No.
38, at pp. 290-291 and pp. 295-297). EEI also commented that DOE should
not try to analyze the impacts of the lighting standard on all
operations of manufacturers, especially those with multiple product
lines and multiple global production facilities. EEI stated that such
an analysis would take too much time and could possibly delay the
issuance of a standard. (EEI, No. 39 at p. 4)
    In response, DOE recognizes that the energy conservation standards
may induce sales of non-covered products which are in whole or in part
manufactured by the same manufacturers as the products covered by this
rulemaking. These sales will increase the revenues and possibly
increase the profits of the manufacturers that make covered IRL and
GSFL. To include these revenues and profits in the GRIM analysis
requires the same level of information about the product costs,
required investments to increase sales, and the profitability as
covered products. This information greatly increases both the
complexity and uncertainty of the analysis of the products covered by
this rulemaking. Much of this analysis is also outside the scope of
this rulemaking. However, understanding that this can be a major driver
of the GRIM results for some rulemakings, DOE attempted to bound the
potential impact of the product substitutions on the industry value.
For this reason, in the April 2009 NOPR, DOE ran the No Product
Substitution scenario in the GRIM analysis. For today's final rule, DOE
ran both the BR Substitution and the R-CFL Substitution scenarios. The
difference in impacts between the Product Substitution and No Product
Substitution scenarios represented the lost sales and profits to
manufacturers. The difference in industry value from including the
revenue from induced sales of BR lamps in the BR Product Substitution
scenario and excluding the revenue represents the potential benefits of
these sales to manufacturers of covered IRL. The difference in industry
value from including the revenue from induced sales of R-CFL lamps in
the R-CFL Product Substitution scenario and excluding the revenue
represents the potential benefits of these sales to manufacturers of
covered IRL. DOE reports these differences and qualitatively describes
those factors which might mitigate the impact on those firms which
produce both types of produces. The analysis shows that the inclusion
of the additional revenues has minimum impacts on the estimated INPVs.
For further qualitative and quantitative information on the scenarios
and results for the MIA, see chapter 13 of the TSD.
    Although IRL manufacturers may receive revenue from additional
sales of R-CFL and exempted BR lamps, it is not certain that this would
be a net benefit to manufacturers. In both the R-CFL

[[Page 34128]]

Substitution and BR Substitution scenarios, covered IRL sales are not
completely replaced by the additional sales of R-CFL and exempted BR
lamps.. To provide an upper bound of the potential benefit to IRL
manufacturers, DOE includes the revenue from R-CFL and exempted BR
lamps but does not consider any capital conversion costs to increase
sales of these products. In any scenario, the potential benefits of
these sales to IRL manufacturers have far less impact on INPV than the
capital and product conversion costs needed to reach higher TSLs for
covered IRL. In any of the April 2009 NOPR and today's final rule
substitution scenarios, the large capital conversion costs are the
biggest driver of the large, negative impacts on INPV. Thus, any
additional benefit from sales of non-covered IRL products are not
enough to mitigate the impacts on INPV due to the necessary estimated
capital and product conversion costs.
    The CA Stakeholders, ACEEE, and NRDC commented that the American
Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) has tax provisions that
could possibly mitigate the impacts on manufacturers due to energy
conservation standards. Specifically, the commenters cited provisions
in ARRA offer low-interest ``industrial development bonds'' for
expanding manufacturing capabilities, as well as an advanced energy
project tax credit for manufacturers of covered products. According to
the commenters, these provisions would help manufacturers cover
possible conversion costs associated with energy conservation
standards. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 7) (ACEEE, No. 76 at pp. 5-6)
(NRDC, No. 82 at p. 3)
    DOE acknowledges that manufacturers of GSFL and IRL may qualify for
the industrial development bonds and advanced energy project tax credit
programs. If GSFL and IRL manufacturers do apply and receive the bonds
and/or tax credit, these benefits could help mitigate some of the
impacts of energy conservation standards. However, structures for the
industrial development bonds and advanced energy project tax credit
programs have not been finalized, and there is insufficient information
available to do a thorough analysis of their potential impacts.
Accordingly, DOE cannot determine with certainty that manufacturers of
covered IRL and GSFL are eligible for either program. Any quantitative
analysis of the industrial development bonds program or the advanced
energy project tax credit program and their possible impacts on the
GSFL and IRL industry would be highly speculative. Therefore, DOE did
not include the bonds or tax credit in its analysis of potential
impacts on the GSFL and IRL industries.
    According to the CA Stakeholders and ACEEE, the MIA does not
consider pending legislation that could help mitigate the impacts due
to energy conservation standards. Specifically, the CA Stakeholders
cite three examples of pending legislation that could help to mitigate
the impacts on GSFL and IRL manufacturers due to amended energy
conservation standards: (1) Restoring America's Manufacturing
Leadership through Energy Efficiency Act of 2009; (2) 21st Century
Energy Technology Deployment Act of 2009; and (3) American Clean Energy
and Security Act of 2009. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 7) (ACEEE, No.
76 at p. 6)
    If adopted in present form, DOE acknowledges that the proposed
legislation cited by the CA Stakeholders could potentially mitigate the
impacts of energy conservation standards on GSFL and IRL manufacturers
if they were to qualify for the benefits in the proposed legislation.
However, because the legislation is pending and has not become public
law, passage of such proposed legislation or the final form of those
provisions are the matters of speculation. Therefore, DOE does not
include the proposed legislation's potential to mitigate the impacts on
GSFL and IRL manufactures in its analysis nor has it considered the
pending legislation in its decision for today's rule.
    The CA Stakeholders commented that energy conservation standards
have consistently spurred innovation, resulting in even higher-
efficiency products. However, in its analysis, DOE assumes that high-
lumen T8 lamps represent the only opportunity for manufacturers to
maintain profit margins through 2042. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p 13)
Additionally, the CA Stakeholders and ACEEE argued that DOE did not
consider that GSFL manufacturers at TSL 4 and TSL 5 will be able to
maintain high margins on a variety of other covered and non-covered
products in their portfolio. These other covered products include T5s
and extremely-high-lumen T8s, while non-covered products include solid
state lighting such as LEDs. According to the CA Stakeholders, ACEEE,
and NRDC, GSFL have other characteristics that could command higher
margins besides efficacy, including long life, low wattage, resistance
to high and low temperature, and low mercury content. If any of these
upsell opportunities commanded higher markups, the positive impacts on
INPV would be significant and should be reflected in DOE's analysis.
(CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at pp. 13-14) (ACEEE, No. 76 at p. 4) (NRDC,
No. 82 at p. 3).
    In response, DOE recognizes that manufacturers will attempt to
devise product differentiation strategies to compensate for a
compression of the efficacy range of their product lines as a result of
energy conservation standards. These strategies may include redefining
efficacy tiers to more narrow bands, introducing more efficacious lamps
than are currently offered, or stressing product attributes other than
efficacy. The great number of assumptions required to model all
possible markup strategies in the GRIM would not add to DOE's
qualitative description of how these upsells would impact INPV. As
described previously, the Flat Markup scenario captures the INPV
effects, assuming that manufacturers fully compensate for a reduced
range of efficacy values in their product portfolio. Thus, DOE's
consideration of the factors evoked by the CA Stakeholders and ACEEE is
encompassed in the inclusion of a Flat Markup scenario and in its
discussion of the relative weight it places on the markup scenarios for
each of the TSLs.
    In comments on DOE's April 2009 NOPR, the CA Stakeholders stated
that based on a sensitivity analysis of the GSFL GRIM, DOE's concern
that standards could eliminate higher margins currently earned by more-
efficacious products was a significant driver in determining the total
impacts on the GSFL industry. The CA Stakeholders pointed out that the
Four-Tier markup scenario had the greatest effect in determining the
INPV impacts on the GSFL industry. (CA Stakeholders, No. 63 at p. 12)
    For the April 2009 NOPR, DOE modeled two different markup scenarios
to capture potential pricing schemes manufacturers apply to their
products. 74 FR 16920, 16977 (April 13, 2009). The Flat Markup scenario
applies a single markup to all products regardless of their efficacy.
This scenario also assumes that manufacturers maintain their gross
margin as a constant percentage throughout the analysis period,
regardless of standards. The Four-Tier markup scenario applied a
different markup to four different tiers of products (that correspond
to the four phosphor series). As higher efficacies are required by
energy conservation standards, manufacturers' product portfolios are
reduced, squeezing the gross margins of higher-efficacy products as
they are ``demoted'' to lower-relative-efficacy-tier products.

[[Continued on page 34129]]

 
 


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