Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study - PCB Modeling Report

LMMB Study

Overview

The Issue: Are sediments, air, land, and water sources or pathways of contamination that affect the integrity of the ecosystem?
What is the Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study?
Sample Design and Sample Collection

Contaminants

More information
PCB Modeling Report
Atrazine Modeling Report (PDF)
(162 pp, 4.7MB, About PDF)
LM3 Report (PDF)
(347 pp, 3.3MB, About PDF)
MICHTOX Report
Modeling Quality Assurance Plan (PDF)
(243 pp, 2.2MB, About PDF)

You will need the free Adobe Reader to view the files on this page.
See EPA's PDF page to learn more. If you have questions about the
contents of the PDF documents please contact Ronald Rossmann.

On this page:

Table of contents and front matter to the Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study PCB Modeling Report
Part 1 - Introduction
Part 2 - LM3-Eutro
Part 3 - Level 1 Models
Part 4 - LM2-Toxic
Part 5 - LM Food Chain
Part 6 - Comparison of Model Results
Part 7 - Appendices
The entire PCB Modeling Report in a single PDF download

Table of Contents and Front Matter (PDF) (42 pp, 670K) (includes the abstract, list of figures, list of tables, executive summary, etc.)

Part 1 Introduction:

Chapter 1 Project Overview (PDF) (15 pp, 342K)
Chapter 2 PCBs Modeling Overview (PDF) (10 pp, 292K)
Chapter 3 Information Management (PDF) (5 pp, 91K)
- 1.3 Appendices (PDF) (24 pp, 151K)
Chapter 4 Representativeness of the LMMBP Years Relative to Lake Michigan’s Historic Record (PDF) (11 pp, 555K)
Chapter 5 PCBs in the Lake Michigan Ecosystem (PDF) (27 pp, 424K)
Chapter 6 Congener Pattern Matching of Data Collected for the Lake Michigan Mass Balance Project (LMMBP) (PDF) (17 pp, 1.4MB)
Chapter 7 Hindcasting and Forecasting Functions for PCBs in the Lake Michigan Ecosystem (PDF) (10 pp, 356K)

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Part 2 LM3-Eutro:

Chapter 1 Conclusions (Executive Summary) (PDF) (3 pp, 66K)
Chapter 2 Recommendations (PDF) (2 pp, 56K)
Chapter 3 Model Description (PDF) (5 pp, 114K)
- Appendix 2.3.1 Development of LM3-Eutro Equations (PDF) (10 pp, 277K)
Chapter 4 Model Input and Field Data (PDF) (17 pp, 455K)
- Appendix 2.4.1 Modeled Versus Measured Variables (PDF) (2 pp, 71K)
Chapter 5 Calibration (PDF) (9 pp, 622K)
Chapter 6 Model Confirmation (PDF) (3 pp, 189K)
Chapter 7 Results Application of Model (PDF) (11 pp, 1.1MB)
Chapter 8 Results Provided for LM2-Toxic (PDF) (1 pp, 49K)

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Part 3 Level 1 Models:

Chapter 1 MICHTOX PCB Model Executive Summary (PDF) (2 pp, 57K)
Chapter 2 MICHTOX Recommendations (PDF) (1 pp, 41K)
Chapter 3 MICHTOX PCB Fate and Transport Modeling (PDF) (15 pp, 950K)
Chapter 4 MICHTOX Food Chain Modeling (PDF) (11 pp, 303K)
- Appendix 3.4.1 Derivation of a Hypothetical Lake Michigan Lake Trout Fish Consumption Criteria for PCBs (PDF) (4 pp, 204K)

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Part 4 LM2-Toxic:

Chapter 1 Executive Summary (PDF) (5 pp, 220K)
Chapter 2 Recommendations (PDF) (2 pp, 52K)
Chapter 3 Model Description (PDF) (23 pp, 761K)
- Appendix 4.3.1 Lake Michigan Resuspension Field Data Set
- Appendix 4.3.2 Notes From Nathan Hawley on the Data Set in Appendix 4.3.1 (PDF) (2 pp, 49K)
Chapter 4 Model and Field Data (PDF) (38 pp, 719K)
- Appendix 4.4.1 Sample Data Interpolation for the LMMBP (PDF) (5 pp, 100K)
Chapter 5 LM-2 Toxic Calibration and Confirmation (PDF) (46 pp, 2.6MB)
- Appendix 4.5.1 Results From Thermal Balance Model (PDF) (12 pp, 537K)
- Appendix 4.5.2 Calibrated Results for Organic Carbons (PDF) (16 pp, 2MB)
- Appendix 4.5.3 Calibration Results for PCB28+31 and ΣPCBs (PDF) (53 pp, 7.5MB)
- Appendix 4.5.4 Simulation Results From Chloride (PDF) (8 pp, 307K)
- Appendix 4.5.5 Primary Production for the LM2-Toxic (PDF) (4 pp, 177K)
Chapter 6 The LM2-Toxic Application and Interpretation (PDF) (14 pp, 565K)
Chapter 7 LM2-Toxic Sensitivity Analysis (PDF) (9 pp, 317K)

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Part 5 LM Food Chain:

Chapter 1 Executive Summary (PDF) (2 pp, 47K)
Chapter 2 Recommendations (PDF) (2 pp, 61K)
Chapter 3 Model Description (PDF) (8 pp, 301K)
Chapter 4 Description of Data, Constants, and Other Information Necessary to Run Model (PDF) (27 pp, 380K)
Chapter 5 Calibration (PDF) (10 pp, 386K)
- Appendix 5.5.1 PCB Concentrations (PDF) (14 pp, 76K)
- Appendix 5.5.2 Agreement Between Modeled and Observed PCB Concentrations (PDF) (10 pp, 896K)
Chapter 6 Model Verification (PDF) (2 pp, 61K)
Chapter 7 Model Sensitivity and Uncertainty (PDF) (8 pp, 536K)
Chapter 8 Model Application (PDF) (8 pp, 598K)

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Part 6 Comparison of Model Results (PDF) (8 pp, 411K)

Part 7 Appendices:

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Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study PCB Modeling Report (PDF) (621 pp, 25.6 MB)
This is the entire document, consisting of 621 pages. It is a very large, 25.6 MB, file. To download this file to your computer, right-click on the link and select "Save Target As..." (Internet Explorer) or "Save Link Target As..." (Netscape) or "Save Link As..." (Firefox).

Lake Michigan Mass Balance Study - PCB Modeling Report

LMMB Study

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