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Peconic Bay Esturary and Nutrient Over-Enrichment Environmental Protection Agency

Condition of the Peconic Estuary and Prognosis for the Future

Fortunately, about 97% of the Peconic Estuary is meeting environmental standards and guidelines with respect to dissolved oxygen and nitrogen. However, due to poor tidal flushing and high nitrogen inputs, the environmentally sensitive western estuary is critically stressed (specifically, the Flanders Bay area including the tidal Peconic River, Meetinghouse Creek, and East Creek in Riverhead). Studies and monitoring suggest that nitrogen stresses may exist in Great Peconic Bay and Little Peconic Bay and numerous tidal creeks along the Estuary.

Aside from current documented problems and threats from existing nitrogen loadings, there is a significant amount of land in the watershed that can still be commercially and residentially developed, which could greatly increase the nitrogen load to the system. Build-out estimations and computer modeling predict that if current trends continue, the overall nitrogen loading could increase by up to 40% and widespread water quality problems will occur. While reducing loads from existing sources and land uses needs to be addressed, loads from possible future development must also be taken into account, and managed and minimized as well.

Until recently, the basis for most land use decision-making with respect to nitrogen has been to protect groundwater as a source of drinking water. There is now a growing body of evidence that planning based only on achieving the drinking water standard in groundwater will be insufficient to ensure the continued health of our estuaries.

Nitrogen management is not only an important topic for the Peconic Estuary Watershed, but also for neighboring coastal waters in the Peconic Region, including Long Island Sound and Long Island's South Shore Estuary System.

Reducing the Nutrient Loadings

The Peconic Estuary Program is leading and participating in both regulatory and non-regulatory programs efforts to limit and reduce nitrogen loads, including:

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