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  2. Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in Water Bodies

Climate Change and Freshwater Harmful Algal Blooms

Scientists continue to document many effects of climate change on freshwaters, estuaries, and marine environments, and those effects are predicted to be exacerbated in the future. These effects, along with nutrient pollution, might cause algal blooms to become more severe and to occur more often in more waterbodies. Blooms with the potential to harm human health, pets, livestock, or aquatic ecosystems are referred to as harmful algal blooms, or HABs, and they can also have wide ranging economic impacts. 

In freshwaters, cyanobacteria (microscopic photosynthetic bacteria previously known as blue-green algae due to their color) are the most common HAB producers. Some cyanobacterial HABs, or cyanoHABs, produce toxins that cause illness in humans and other animals.

Climate Factors That Affect HABs:

Warming water temperature

blue-green algae on rocks
Toxic cyanobacterial bloom

HAB forming cyanobacteria thrive in warm, slow-moving water, and typically occur when water temperatures are warmer. As a result, increases in water temperature with climate change are expected to increase the magnitude and duration of cyanoHABs. Warmer water temperatures favor cyanoHABs in several ways, including:

  • CyanoHAB species grow faster than other algae at warmer temperatures
  • CyanoHABs migrate up and down the water column better than other algae. They get nutrients from the cooler, dark, bottom layers and use them to grow in the warmer, upper layers where there is more light. Other algae cannot do this and are shaded by the CyanoHAB species.
  • CyanoHABs absorb sunlight and release heat, making surface waters even warmer, further increasing their advantages.

Changes in salinity

In some regions, climate change is predicted to reduce freshwater runoff due to drought and increased evaporation. These effects will combine to increase salinity in inland waters. This can impact irrigation, harm crops, contaminate drinking water, and allow the invasion of salt-tolerant and marine algae to inland lakes. In the southwestern and south-central United States, more salt-tolerant algal HABs known as “golden algae” have regularly recurred, expanded into lagoons, and killed fish in freshwater lakes since 2000.

In other regions, increased runoff from more intense rainfalls may increase freshwater flows to coastal areas. This freshwater sits on top of saltwater because it is lighter. This can prevent mixing of oxygen rich surface water with deeper layers where the oxygen has been removed by the decomposition of HABs after they die and sink to the bottom layer. These low oxygen (or hypoxic) zones harm or kill animals that require oxygen to live, including many commercially important species.

Higher carbon dioxide levels

Algae need carbon dioxide to survive. Higher levels of carbon dioxide in the air and water can lead to rapid growth of algae, especially cyanoHABs that can float to the surface of the water and use the increased carbon dioxide. Increased levels of carbon dioxide also increase the acidity of the water, which affects competition among algal species and impacts the organisms that graze on algae. These effects can combine to increase the competitive advantage of HAB species.

Changes in rainfall and resulting increases in nutrient loadings

Lake Erie HABs
A satellite image of a cyanoHAB -taken on October 8, 2022-  in the western basin of Lake Erie. (Image credit: European Space Agency)

Climate change is affecting rainfall patterns, increasing both rainfall intensity and the duration of drought. Increased rainfall causes higher nutrient runoff from land into waterbodies fueling HABs like those observed in Lake Erie in 2011 and 2015. If followed by extended drought, waterbodies can retain those nutrients for longer, favoring HAB species that compete better under higher nutrient conditions.

Moreover, increases in extreme rainfall and subsequent increases in freshwater flows may flush large loads of nutrients, freshwater HABs and their associated toxins into estuaries and marine areas. As a result, estuarine and marine waters may be at greater risk of developing HABs or seeing an exacerbation of existing HABs.

Sea level rise

Scientists predict that sea level could rise one meter by the year 2100. This would increase the area of shallow, stable coastal waters that provide more favorable conditions for HABs.

Coastal upwelling

Coastal upwelling occurs when wind pushes warm, surface water offshore and deep, nutrient rich waters rise to replace it. Climate change is expected to alter the timing and intensity of coastal upwelling. Along the west coast of the United States, excess nutrients delivered by upwelling might lead to more algal blooms, including HABs, especially when combined with increased runoff of nutrient pollution from the land.

  • Learn more about harmful algal blooms
    • EPA: Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in Water Bodies
    • NOAA: Harmful Algal Blooms
  • Learn more about climate change’s impacts on water resources

Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) in Water Bodies

  • Basic Information on HABs
    • Learn about HABs
    • What Causes HABs
    • Exposure to HABs
    • Effects of HABs
    • What You Can Do
  • Trends, Monitoring Results & Forecasts
    • HAB Monitoring and Trends
    • HAB Forecasts
    • HAB Advisories
  • Managing HABs
    • Managing HABs in Surface Water
    • Managing Algal Toxins in Drinking Water
    • Managing Algal Toxins in Recreational Waters
  • HAB Laws, Tools and Data
    • HABHRCA
    • HAB Tools
    • HAB Data
  • HAB Methods & Research
    • HAB Methods
    • HAB Research
  • HAB Resources
    • EPA Outreach on HABs
    • Labs that Analyze for Cyanobacteria and Cyanotoxins
    • State & Tribal HAB Programs and Resources
    • State & Tribal Toxin Thresholds and Assessment Methods
    • HAB Resources from Other Federal Agencies and Organizations
    • Recent Papers, Upcoming Meetings and Webinars
Contact Us about HABs
Contact Us to ask a question, provide feedback, or report a problem.
Last updated on February 26, 2025
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