Great Lakes Open Lakes Trend Monitoring Program: Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs)
Log-linear regression of Environment Canada data show the continued long-term annual declines of 5% in Lake Trout from Lake Superior and 7% in Lakes Huron and Ontario while PCBs in Lake Erie Walleye are declining by 3% per year. Analyses of U.S. EPA data show no significant annual declines of total PCB in Lake Trout from Lake Superior, 4% decline from Lake Huron, 6% from Lake Michigan, 7% from Lake Ontario and 4% from Lake Erie Walleye.
Studies suggest that rates of decline of PCB residues in fish are slowing or have stopped in some lakes (Bhavsar et al. 2007; Carlson et al. 2010). Despite potential changes in annual rates of decline, first-order log-linear regression models are still a good fit to observed concentrations in the lakes through time. Monitoring should clarify whether or not the rates of decline are slowing and statistical methods to assess trends will be altered as required.